ESPN's prediction:
Ohio wasn't far away from a much better season than its record indicated, going 2-5 in games decided by 10 points or fewer. Nathan Rourke is a talented dual-threat quarterback who should be able to have success against Nevada's defense. Nevada coach Jay Norvell did a good job getting his team to seven wins, but the Wolf Pack are really banged up and limited on both sides of the ball. Frank Solich wins his third straight bowl game.
Prediction: Ohio 28, Nevada 17
Ohio holding Nevada to 17 points would be shocking. Absolutely shocking.
This isn't the defense from a year ago that you could see getting better as they drew towards season's end ... that eventually shut out San Diego St.
This defense got the luxury of facing BG and Akron to end the year .... and BG went up and down the field with ease in the 1st quarter of that game.
If Ohio wins ... I'm guessing it'll look more like 34-31 or something like that.
I'd be very surprised if Ohio covered the touchdown. They've been pretty awful all year ATS.