Well, well, Ohio will apparently be #26. The clue he gave did not appear to fit, though it almost did, but apparently he was using different data for the 1896 and 1898 seasons than the data in the Ohio Media Guide, and he intended the clue to point to Ohio.
Now that we see Ohio ranked at #26 by Presnapread, and at #31 by Phil Steele, the question arises, how good does the team need to be to justify that kind of rating, given the parity in college football? Turning to the Sagarin ratings, which I like for their transparency, last year's numbers:
#26 team - 79.91
#51 team - 73.88
#76 team (Ohio) - 69.81
The preseason consensus seems to place Ohio at about #51. To achieve that, Ohio will need to be about 4 points better than last year. Is that possible? Definitely. I think the offense will be about the same, but the defense will be a few points better. In fact, a 4 point improvement, is just about exactly what I expect.
What about a #26 rating? To approach the top 25, Ohio will need to improve a full ten points over last year. That's a huge jump. Ohio has jumped 10 points before a couple times, from 2005 to 2006 and from 2010 to 2011, plus the 2008 to 2009 jump was close. A ten point jump will be hard, though starting from as good as they were last year. That's going to be tough.
What will it take? Well, for starters, an extra year with the Frankenstein offense should be worth a couple more points. TT's experience will help, too. The young receivers, and the young offensive tackles will have to pick up where last year's receivers left off. The defense will also have to get better, and make significantly fewer bad plays, and get more sacks. Is it possible? Well, I won't be the one to say they can't do it, but I'm not ready to say they belong at #26 yet, either.
Go Ohio!
Last Edited: 8/8/2012 4:43:57 PM by L.C.