Did the Horizon truly do something to make it better than the MAC? Or did Butler just get very good and Cleveland St. hire Gary Waters? The MAC just hired away a coach from the Horizon so I'm not sure there's a lack of investment in the MAC.
Again, what pot of gold shows up if Ohio does away with football?
Last year, Horizon was 14th thanks to Butler being 12th.
The CAA has added 6 teams and lost 3 in the last 10 years so that's not exactly an apples-to-apples comparison.
While Butler has obviously been a big boost to the conference, there is more to it than that, as one good team does not turn a conference that consistently trailed the MAC into one that is now consistently ahead of us. Nor does Gary Waters alone explain it, as Cleveland State has not been consistently good during that stretch. In any event, even if those two alone explain the difference, that doesn't mean that budget hasn't been an issue, since both those programs spend more on hoops that the vast majority of the MAC (as illustrated below).
You keep pointing out the fact that one MAC coach was hired from a Horizon school, but that proves little, just as GMU hiring away Larranga back in 1997 from BGSU didn't mean that the CAA was on par with the MAC in those days. Those are fluke occurrences, as most coaches wouldn't jump from one mid-major league to another. With Kowalczyk, it was a case of a guy fleeing the second lowest budget in the Horizon (Green Bay) for the best budget in the MAC (Toledo).
I believe that a big part of the MAC's fall compared to the Horizon and CAA is budgetary. The average MAC budget for hoops (based on the numbers on bbstate.com) is $1,445,538, compared to $1,552,735 for the Horizon and $1,828,604 for the Colonial. While those gaps don't seem huge at first glance, a lot of that is because all three conferences have some pretty small budgets at the bottom end of the conferences (BGSU, Youngstown State, UNC-Wilmington, etc.). The disparity becomes much more stark if you focus on the top half of each conference's basketball spend.
In the MAC you have Toledo leading the way at $1,934,500, followed by Ohio at $1,787,577, Akron at $1,603,402, and both NIU and Ball State coming in around $1,515,000. Compare that to the Horizon, where the top five budgets are Milwaukee at $2,169,702, Detroit at $2,035,783, Wright State at $1,983,545, Cleveland State at $1,952,828, and Butler at $1,729,754. Therefore, only two MAC schools would place in the top half of basketball spending in the Horizon, and our biggest basketball budget would only rank 5th in the Horizon.
The gap between the top of the MAC and CAA is even larger. VCU spends $2,772,146, followed by Old Dominion at $2,458,897, James Madison at $2,263,835, George Mason at $2,055,164, and Drexel at $2,008,147. Most of the MAC isn't anywhere in that same ballpark.
Those type of disparities will ultimately have a big impact over the course of a decade. In particular, they will also impact the quality of coaching, both in terms of the types of candidates you attract initially, as well as your ability to retain quality coaches. Sure Ohio got its man in Groce, but most up-and-coming, mid-major target coaches will likely hold out for a coaching position in the Horizon and CAA rather than the MAC at this point, due to the resource differential. Those schools likely get candidates (like Shaka Smart, for instance), that wouldn't seriously consider taking a head coach position at a MAC school.
There is no doubt in my mind that that spending disparity ultimately boils down, at least in part, to the MAC's decision to compete at the FBS level in football. The most recent data I found comparing MAC vs. CAA football budgets was a couple years old, but it showed that on average the MAC spent around $1 million more per school on football than the FCS CAA (and that does not factor in the related cost-savings on women's sports). If we took even half of that differential and gave it to basketball, the MAC would easily pass the Horizon and would be right up there with the CAA in basketball spending.
Now that isn't necessarily intended to argue that dropping football down and giving some of the savings to basketball is the most prudent strategy (there are a lot of other factors to consider in that type of analysis). Rather, my point is just that it seems quite clear to me that football has had an effect on basketball, given the above. I still strongly suspect that if we had historical budgetary data, we would see that the differences between the CAA, Horizon, and the MAC in basketball spending would have been quite a bit different 10-15 years ago, before the MAC's concerted emphasis on improving football.
Last Edited: 12/14/2010 1:19:17 PM by Flomo-genized