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Topic: 11/26/12 Polls
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Chicken George
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Posted: 11/27/2012 10:03 AM
Pull out our OOC schedule and then compare it to Gonzaga's if that's who you wish to compare to:

2011-12
West Virginia University
Clemson
Oklahoma
Davidson
Illiniois
Kansas State
Baylor
Oklahoma State
Butler

2010-11
Notre Dame
Illinois
Michigan State
Oral Roberts
Arizona
Butler
Xavier

2009-10
Kansas State
Marquette
Illinois
Notre Dame
Baylor
Xavier
Oklahoma State
Wake Forest
Memphis

Have a weak conference?  Have a strong team?  Want recognition?  Want At-Large Consideration if you don't win the WCC?  Go out and prove it vs. racking up a bunch of Wins over teams that won't get you anywhere in the long run.
The Optimist
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Posted: 11/27/2012 10:16 AM
I prefer a strong schedule, but this was Murray State's last year....   
Fri, Nov 11
  • vs
  •  
  • Harris Stowe
1-0 (0-0)
Mon, Nov 14 2-0 (0-0)
Thu, Nov 17
  • vs
  •  
  • TENN Temple
3-0 (0-0)
Sun, Nov 20 4-0 (0-0)
Wed, Nov 23
  • @
  •  
  • Alaska Anchorage
5-0 (0-0)
Fri, Nov 25 6-0 (0-0)
Sun, Nov 27 7-0 (0-0)
Thu, Dec 1 8-0 (0-0)
Sun, Dec 4 9-0 (0-0)
Sun, Dec 11 10-0 (0-0)
Thu, Dec 15 11-0 (0-0)
Sat, Dec 17 12-0 (0-0)


They entered the AP Top 25 December 12th the day after beating Memphis.  They were not receiving any votes to start the season.  Note that when they were 5-0 they were coming off a big 2-point life on the road win @ Alaska Anchorage.  
Last Edited: 11/27/2012 10:23:27 AM by The Optimist
JSF
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Posted: 11/27/2012 10:28 AM
Recovering Journalist wrote:expand_more
WCC also has BYU and St. Mary's. San Diego had a strong run a few years ago, too. Maybe not the best comparison.


It's not the worst either. They're not too far from the MAC, and we know what the NIUs of the world do to the MAC's ranking.

Edit: That was an old example. Sorry. Maybe it wasn't the best comparison, but I still stand by my point that a team can rise, Boise State football style, above its conference with consistent excellence.


A great example is Ohio volleyball.
OUVan
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Posted: 11/27/2012 10:40 AM
Chicken George wrote:expand_more
Just another case in point that if OHIO's goal is to "go to the next level" as we've been hearing, you must:

1.  Somehow get yourself out of the MAC.  The only way you can be a Sweet 16 team, return everyone, be 5-0 and only get 10 votes is to be in a MAC type conference. 
2.  If you can't get out of the MAC and know you'll be buried in MAC obscurity effective October 9th--you must go out and play a schedule that gives you a chance to get noticed, especially if you return this kind of team.  This "safe" schedule can get you there, but it'll be a slow grind with little room for error.
3.  Win and win a lot.


Disagree with most of this. 3 is the only valid point IMO.  Being noticed in November is hardly what you are striving for. And the MAC hasn't been holding us back. We haven't won a regular season title in nearly 20 years.  We have been holding us back. If you want to be one of "those" programs like Gonzaga or Butler you've got to do a couple of things.

#1  Increase spending on basketball.  We have already started to do that and if we can keep it up the rewards will come.
#2. Play a schedule that is tough enough to keep your RPI as high as possible but not too tough where you lose a lot of games.  Playing home games is key here.  Playing too hard of a schedue will kill you.

By doing these two things we should be good every year and our RPI and profile will be consistenly good enough where better teams will play in Athens. 
OUVan
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Posted: 11/27/2012 11:09 AM
Chicken George wrote:expand_more
Pull out our OOC schedule and then compare it to Gonzaga's if that's who you wish to compare to:

2011-12
West Virginia University Home
Clemson Neutral
Oklahoma Neutral
Davidson Neutral
Illiniois Home
Kansas State Neutral
Baylor Home
Oklahoma State Away
Butler Away

2010-11
Notre Dame Home
Illinois Away
Michigan State Home
Oral Roberts Home
Arizona Neutral
Butler Home
Xavier Away

2009-10
Kansas State Neutral
Marquette Neutral
Illinois Neutral
Notre Dame Road
Baylor Neutral
Xavier Home
Oklahoma State Home
Wake Forest Away
Memphis Home

Have a weak conference?  Have a strong team?  Want recognition?  Want At-Large Consideration if you don't win the WCC?  Go out and prove it vs. racking up a bunch of Wins over teams that won't get you anywhere in the long run.


I've added where they played these teams.  They either play neutral courts or play home and homes.  I'm all for that kind of scheduling. But as it stands today nobody is going to come to Athens.
The Optimist
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Posted: 11/27/2012 11:48 AM
I would take a 2-1 to get programs like that to Athens.
Ozcat
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Posted: 11/27/2012 11:51 AM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
If you're one of those people who still can't figure out why Groce would ever leave Athens for Champaign, look at where they're ranked.

I believe OUr boys would have the same record as the Illini against that schedule, but I doubt we'd get as much notice either
.



Ewww...this smacks as a person who bowls to the holy grail of thebigten.  This is bad procedure.

Yes, I wrote that because I love the Big Ten.  Bingo . . .  It surely has nothing to do with the fact that they have 7 wins against a pretty lame schedule thus far and magically jumped to #22.

The Optimist wrote:expand_more
I think most people understand why Groce left for Illinois.

Most people do.  Monroe is not 'most people'.
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Posted: 11/27/2012 12:48 PM
#2. Play a schedule that is tough enough to keep your RPI as high as possible but not too tough where you lose a lot of games.  Playing home games is key here.  Playing too hard of a schedue will kill you.

By doing these two things we should be good every year and our RPI and profile will be consistenly good enough where better teams will play in Athens. 

The three thousand pound gorilla in the room is the O.U. attendance. O.U. ranked 99 of the top 100 teams last year in average home attendance. Now, before anyone mentions that those home attendance figures include home games played during winter break, when I excluded those games, average home attendance increased a little more than one-hundred attendees per game, which would have bumped them to ninety-four.

Of those top one hundred teams, only Louisville, O.S.U., Creighton, UTEP, Oregon, Colorado, Auburn, and Hawaii played more home games than O.U. The national champs only had fifteen home games. My hunch is that no matter how O.U. does against better opponents, it probably will not lead to more home games because better teams want some gaurantee they will play in front of double digit crowds. I would agree they probably would in the Convo., but I think a major player wants some better history.

At the end of the day, I think O.U., in the short term, needs to give up some home games in order to get in some pre-season tournaments on neutral sites. I'm not going back to look at the schedules, but my guess is that beginning with sometime in the TOS regime, a decision was made to not play pre-season tournaments, play an easier non-conference schedule with more home games, rack up a very good non-conference record, and then hope for the best in the conference.

I agree with the idea that O.U. needs to schedule a couple more tougher games from the bigger conferences, but the question is whether the powers that be are willing to give up two or three home games to do it.
JSF
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Posted: 11/27/2012 1:06 PM
Michigan State going to Bowling Green is a refutation of this.
Chicken George
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Posted: 11/27/2012 2:17 PM
Couple Responses:

*My understanding is that OHIO will not do 2 for 1's and while I understand the logic/pride, I probably would've struck this deal if I could've got these seniors one premier home game this year, in return for a couple trips the next couple years.  These would need to be strategically picked.  I hear IU gave us this offer and picking the #1 team in the land probably isn't the right team, but other are.  And in response to those who say you can't pick/ensure who's up or down to know who to schedule--I think you can to some degree as much of each basketball schedule is constructed in the months leading up to the season.

*If you don't schedule up a bit for the kind of team we had coming back this year, when would you?  I keep hearing the day will come when we do this, that, or the other (win our conference, dominate the MAC, etc...). Kind of like remembering my father telling me tomorrow, on your birthday, for Christmas as excuses to delay something I wanted as a kid.  Im not saying we do this every year, but once again--we had the entire squad returning from a Sweet 16 team.  We beat Georgetown in the NCAA's the year before that.  It was a good enough run to get Groce $1.0 million+ and a promotion.  Why wasn't it good enough to justify a bump up this year?  If anything, just for a year?  I see where racking up a great record in the OOC, beating a Memphis and dominating MAC action would ultimately put us in the position we want to be in.  But once again, it leaves little room for error.  Case in point, last year two bad loses on the road in MAC play was deemed enough to knock us out if we didn't win the tournament title.  WInthrop, Maryland Eastern Shore, etc... just seem like a waste of time.  Bascially like questions on a test that get you no points.  Honestly, I wouldn't have scheduled @Robert Morris either.  Yes, a little RPI jump.  But it's a higher risk, lower reward type game.  You could easily  lose what will be probably be a tough game, which would hurt all together.  But if you win, what do you get in regards to respect points if you're trying to get to the next level?  Is anybody on that selection committee going to look at Robert Morris as a quality win?  We will, they won't.  And while we were excited to beat Richmond to see if that got noticed, the polls told us few got excited.    Plain and simple, this team stood little to lose by having a holiday tournament, or another couple at Memphis type games this year.  Likewise, it stands little to gain (and more to lose) by playing most of the rest of the OOC schedule. 
mf279801
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Posted: 11/27/2012 2:25 PM
Most 2-for-1 deals wouldn't have us playing as the home team for the first meeting. That would be the 2nd or 3rd meeting (and always carries with it the risk that the "bigger name/conference" team will cancel)
Chicken George
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Posted: 11/27/2012 2:38 PM
mf279801--I think you're probably correct and I also would guess that the person scheduling would be aware of the team we have returning and not wish to come this year.  At the same time, my only point is that I don't think we do these deals ever.  And while I can understand our stance, I woud've bent those rules this year in an attempt to capitalize on the resources we have on the roster RIGHT NOW.  I said no IU, but I could argue that as well.  Could you imagine IU in the Convo say Dec 8th instead of Oakland?  Low risk, high reward.  I'd exchange that opportunity for a couple beat downs in the next 2 years in Bloomington.  Sell out?  You bet ya.   Opportunity to go from 10 votes to 80 in one game--that opportunity would be there.  If that really was an offer, I would've taken it this year just for the opportunity.    Season changer?  Yes.  IU would be low risk, high reward.  Oakland is some risk, little to no reward.  Take your pick? 
Ozcat
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Posted: 11/27/2012 3:22 PM
CG, I love your enthusiasm, but there is nothing really wrong with our schedule this year.  The goal is not to garner votes.  The goal is get into the Big Dance.  Our schedule sets up well for us to earn an at-large, so long as we take care of business.

Replacing Oakland and Winthrop with IU and Kansas sounds great.  But if you lose both of those games by 20 points, what exactly is the gain?

We have a boatload of home games (which make us money) against solid, respectable teams.  I'll take it.
Last Edited: 11/27/2012 3:23:31 PM by Ozcat
Monroe Slavin
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Posted: 11/27/2012 3:26 PM
Changing to a 'better' conference and scheduling the 'name' teams is as simple as snapping one's fingers.  So, keep advocating for those as solutions.



The only way to move up is to win, win, win so the name is developed and there's cache/karma/prestige in playing us.
Ted Thompson
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Posted: 11/27/2012 3:28 PM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
Changing to a 'better' conference and scheduling the 'name' teams is as simple as snapping one's fingers.  So, keep advocating for those as solutions.



The only way to move up is to win, win, win so the name is developed and there's cache/karma/prestige in playing us.


Unless you're in a media market (see Tulane). Since Ohio is not, it must win and build a larger fan base.
JSF
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Posted: 11/27/2012 3:59 PM
Ozcat wrote:expand_more
Our schedule sets up well for us to earn an at-large, so long as we take care of business.


Unless everyone on the schedule keeps losing...
Chicken George
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Posted: 11/27/2012 4:01 PM
OzCat--
1.  Agreed, current schedule can get us there, albeit if we're near flawless or win MAC tournament.  It certainly is the safer route. 
2.  How much do you gain or lose if you beat Oakland and WInthrop by 20 versus losing to a couple Top 20 schools?  How's the risk vs. reward ratio?  What do you get beating Oakland/Winthrop vs. what do you get if you lose to a Top 20 school vs. what do you get if you beat a couple Top 20 schools.  I'd play those odds a few times with this squad vs. other years. 
3.  Part of this is that I'm a capitalist.  My company started small and it's motto is "you get bigger, by getting better."  However, there are key points in our history where we saw an opportunity, rolled the dice a bit as compared to the extreme conservatist philosophy we normally follow and capitalized.  My assertion is not that we go crazy from this point forward, but with the success of the past 2 of the last 3 years and the entire team back--I would've taken a bigger swing at a home run or triple vs. playing small-ball.  See an opening and attempt to seize it with a few more aggressive choices in hopes of the big hit.  What do I consider a big hit?  How about playing in one of those Holiday Tournaments and winning it?  Check and see what that's done for Mr. Groce so far at Ill?  Neutral court and would've been a nice aggressive opportunity.  Not one you expect every year, but when opportunity knocks.


Monroe--
1.  How has the "win a bunch" strategy worked in the history of OHIO to this point?  You see shuffling along the safer route of comfort eventually getting us there based on our history?  How many Sweet 16's does it take?

Ted--
1.  I'd agree our fan base has grown the past few years and continues to grow.  Any idea what I believe helped accelerate that growth?  Yes winning, but what kind of winning?  I'd say Pitt, Georgetown, Penn State, South Florida, Michigan and even close to UNC.  When you check the GameWatches to see what is energizing fans across the country to get together to cheer on the Cats, what game do you see listed?  See St Bonnie GameWatch?  See Robert Morris GameWatch?  No and No.  You only see "Memphis GameWatch" listed.  Our fans like some of those games from time-to-time and giving yourself an opportunity to achieve those memorable moments don't happen very often and this team has the capability to continue doing it.  Unfortunately, I wouldn't be surprised if there are only two regular season basketball GameWatches all season--Memphis and maybe Oklahoma. 
Last Edited: 11/27/2012 4:03:52 PM by Chicken George
JSF
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Posted: 11/27/2012 4:09 PM
Chicken George wrote:expand_more
Monroe--
1.  How has the "win a bunch" strategy worked in the history of OHIO to this point?  You see shuffling along the safer route of comfort eventually getting us there based on our history?  How many Sweet 16's does it take?


I would say minimum three in a five year span.
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Posted: 11/27/2012 4:16 PM

Beyond the benefits a win over a top program like IU would provide in a given  season to our resume, I think playing a home game like that is just as crucial to building the fan base long-term.  If an IU came into the Convo, that place would be beyond electric.  That is an easy way to get a ton of new fans.  Atmosphere is something we have going for us with the fanbase we already have... We need to leverage that.
 

I'm not arguing we start doing 2 for 1s 6 times a year.  How about 2 or 3 of these games spaced so we can get a marqee home game every year.  Forget the results on a year to year basis, because teams like this year make up for any loses we suffer from these games otherwise.  We are already playing "buy" games.  I'm willing to give up a million for two away games to Oklahoma for 1 home from them.  And PLEASE have this game with students here... I don't say that selfishly as a student... I say this because students make the atmosphere special for everyone else.  I'm coming even if the game is December 22

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Posted: 11/27/2012 4:19 PM
Chicken George wrote:expand_more
What do you get beating Oakland/Winthrop vs. what do you get if you lose to a Top 20 school vs. what do you get if you beat a couple Top 20 schools.  I'd play those odds a few times with this squad vs. other years.

You get Ws beating Oakland/Winthrop.

Everyone on this board would like to play some better programs.  It's just not that easy.  It's common knowledge that they tried to schedule up this year, and nobody wanted to play us. 
Monroe Slavin
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Posted: 11/27/2012 4:52 PM
CGeorge--First, we haven't established 'the winning.'  Gotta have a MAC regular season title in there.  Season title means winning means notice during the year.  I think that our next deep run in the NCAA's gets us there.  So, I don't think we need 3 Sweet 16's as JSF suggests (though that would not hurt).

Let's say we have a good run this year (and it certainly seems we are primed), then the question will be about how we can keep that up (espec after this year's seniors are gone).

A heckuva lot of schools want to 'schedule up.'  So, the competition to do so is fierce.  Can't talk ya way into it.  Gotta win. 

Now, we do have the potential to offer a LARGE arena.  Attendance/sellout and seat pricing as particular allure--well, that's a further discussion.
Chicken George
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Posted: 11/27/2012 5:58 PM
Embarassed for myself for not dropping this topic from the day the schedule came out.  Nothing we can do about it like it or hate it and it "can" get us to where we want to be if we execute it without many hitches.  My ending theme is simply that I think mid-majors such as OHIO return entire teams like this very rarely, or at least not since I can remember.  Adding one at a minimum, 3 at a maximum, games/tournament would've been perfect in my opinion.  I think the majority of the season tickets holders would want it; the general fan looking for a reason to come to the Convo would embrace it; the students would want it; the Selection Committee if it comes to that will like to see it; and I bet the players if they read this thread wanted it.  I wanted it so bad I'm flying my tail to Memphis to watch the one big OOC chance (while at the same time I won't bother going to Robert Morris Saturday).  Bottom line, it is what it is and it'll be fun either way.  Go Cats!
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Posted: 11/27/2012 6:01 PM
I want my cake and I want to eat it, too. We must go on the road. Period. Or wait until the MAC tourney and hope you win it. I'm okay with that if that's you're goal and where you want to be.
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Posted: 11/27/2012 6:43 PM
Let's face it. O.U. does not get to the next level unless they are playing teams at the next level. If you want to get into the party, you better have a pretty lady on your arm. O.U. will never get to the next level by playing a weaker out of conference schedule, and then, what many consider to be, a weaker conference schedule. At some point in the season you need to play teams from the next level. Memphis and Oklahoma are okay starts, but I agree that with the team they had returning this year, and with the experience they gained last year, now was a golden opportunity to play some of the bigger schools, even if away, and perhaps on a neutral court, to highlight the program to a national audience. If the administration's position is that they will not play 2-1, then good luck in playing many of those bigger programs.

I would even argue that bringing premier teams to the convo. really does not do much. O.U. is pretty much the only game in town in Southeast Ohio, and while I'd like to have more fans, I'd also like to have more blue chip players or second tier players looking at O.U., and that only happens if you establish yourself as being able to play with the bigger teams. Which you can't really establish unless you play them.

And I am not sure why we keep talking about at-large bids. They are a fantasy in the MAC in the present age. If a Trent team that beats UConn and VIrginia, both elite teams the year O.U. beat them, and they still did not get an at-large bid with those wins, ain't no way anyone can count on an at-large bid. I think this team is the best team at O.U., from top to bottom, that I've seen in watching O.U. hoops in twenty-five plus years. I just think it is a shame that one or two more elite teams could not have been added to the schedule.
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Posted: 11/27/2012 9:10 PM
That Trent team was not very good by season's end; Boals injury killed.

This team probably won't need it but absolutely gets an at large bid if it performs to its capabilities (which pretty much means it won't need one). 
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