According to ESPN's Daily RPI, which should not change much before tomorrow's announcements here are the Top 100 RPI teams for BBuster:
Home Teams: Road Teams
Wichita State (16) Creighton (31)
Belmont (20) North Dakota State (64)
Indiana State (55 - tie) South Dakota State (65)
St. Mary's (59) Eastern Kentucky (76)
Akron (72) Stephen F. Austin (81)
Valparaiso (89 - tie) Detroit (89 - tie)
Murray State (93)
Ohio (98)
UIC (99) Evansville (100)
Other Home Teams Of Note:
Long Beach State (110)
Davidson (124)
Western Illinois (138)
Wright State (144)
Loyola Ill (165)
Youngstown State (174 - tie)
Some thoughts in guessing the opponent:
-I think the only thing we are guaranteed here is Creighton @ Belmont as the primo game.
-This year's field is overloaded with home teams. Wichita State and St. Mary's should be double digit favorites over whoever they play.
-I lean toward S Dakota St @ Wichita St as the next game. SDSt beat NDSt last night.
-Speaking of which, shame on the MAC for its scheduling this year. Scheduling is usually of no significance other than it is cool to play your rivals down the stretch. This year the MAC intertwined the first set of division games with the set from the opposite division. In the preseason, the MAC favorites were clearly Ohio and Akron, followed by Kent State. They should have made sure to have these teams play each other once before BBuster announcements. A pre-BBuster announcement Ohio-Akron matchup could have helped both teams. Again, I reference the
NDSt@SDSt game last night. Kudos, Summit League.
-I think any Top 100 team is a win for Ohio, with the exception of UIC. Let's hope this does not come down to a regional flavored-game with
OU@Wright State.
-Is Wichita State out of the picture? I don't think so. ESPN should want the best storylines featured in TV games. Show me a more marketable road team besides Creighton. Sweet 16 team with everyone back. DJ Cooper moving up NCAA career lists. Top assist team in the nation. Can't you just see the ESPN Full Screens now?
-OK, Wichita State is probably too bold. But what about bumping up Ohio to go play @St Mary's. It doesn't make sense regionally, but then again, who makes sense to send to St Mary's? Best regional matchup for St Mary's is Montana (RPI #121 and undefeated in conference play).
-One other storyline that could make sense:
Ohio@UIC... DJ Cooper returns to Chicago. This is a worst case scenario, IMO. Here is a 4-4 Horizon team with losses at Miami and at Toledo.
That said, here are my most likely BBuster matchups:
S Dakota St @ Wichita St
Creighton @ Belmont
N Dakota St @ St Mary's
Ohio @ Indiana St
Detroit @ Murray St
Eastern Kentucky @ Akron
Evansville @ Valparaiso
Stephen F. Austin @ UIC
And % chances of Ohio opponent:
Indiana St (25%)
Murray St (20%)
Valparaiso (15%)
UIC (10%)
Wichita St (6%)
St Mary's (5%)
Wright St (5%)
Davidson (4%)
Western Illinois (2%)
Loyola Ill (2%)
Belmont (1%)
Someone Else (5%)