I just don't feel unreasonable in the least. We're in year four and it sucks. SP is either the highest or second-highest paid coach in the MAC. This program sells the most tickets in the MAC*. It puts the most butts in the seats in the MAC* (*poised to change). If you're cool with two seasons of 11-7 and no tournament final followed by the wilderness campaign of this season, then your expectations are exceptionally low.
The fact is, that as of right now, Miami is on the rise and this program is floundering. You're right that we're not Miami because they're in better shape right now.
I didn't consider the previous two seasons to be disappointments. If the results would have been the same last year, after losing Tony in January, I would have been disappointed. But there's the reality of losing him that made last year's results....okay with me. Not exceptional, but not disappointing. This year has been a big disappointment, no question. But to say "we're Miami" is a silly to me. Yes, Miami is better this year, but I'm saying 5-6 years in a row like Ohio is this year when I say we're not less than Miami. They've been bad, until this year, for several years in a row.
Look at every year, historically, since 1985, when the tournament went to 64+ teams. Since those years, 11-7 in the MAC has been the norm, with around 19-20 wins. That's where I'd set the realistic expectation level personally.
Beyond that, I went into the Ohio Basketball record book, link below, and popped the year over year win/loss numbers since 1980 into Excel to do a quick look at history. To me, that norm, over the last 37 years (not including this year because it's not complete) is what, within a little reason, the "expectations" should be. That 37 year average is 19.23 wins, 12.72 losses overall, 10.26 wins, and 7.01 losses in conference. Six NCAA Tournament appearance since 1980. I don't argue with your ROI comments regarding his contract and the extra investment causing a little loftier expectations, but how much more is realistic?
Further average numbers by coach:
Nee: 17.8-11.2; 12-5.67 (two NCAA's in 6 years)
Hahn: 14-15; 7.33-8.67 (three seasons)
Hunter: 17-12.33; 10.25-7.25 (1 NCAA in 12 years)
TOS: 17.14-13.57; 9.29-8.14 (1 NCAA in 7 years)
Groce: 21.25-14; 8.5-7.5 (two NCAA's in 4 years)
JC: 24.5-11; 12.5-4.5 (two seasons)
Saul: 19.23-12.73; 9-9 (3 seasons - I left out this year since it's not complete)
http://static.psbin.com/0/3/6j5k96ia30mtyv/ohio_mbb_1718_...
Last Edited: 1/18/2018 10:59:09 AM by OU_Country