Thrilled to look like an idiot right now for jumping the gun and thinking he said no. Great addition, he can talk all he wants. The EvanMiya data projects him at a 2.1, which ranks 5th of the current MAC commits (only including portal guys from other D1 schools). The current top 5 is:
1. 3.15 - Kyler Dagustino (IU Indy to Ohio)
2. 2.54 - Rob Lee Jr (Lamar to Western Michigan)
3. 2.54 - Stevie Elam (Milwaukee to Miami)
4. 2.33 - Drew Steffe (Southern Illinois to Buffalo)
5. 2.10 - Kolton Mitchell (Idaho to Ohio)
The Kyler and Kolton duo to go along with the international guys is a really good start to the rebuild.
Quant - what do your numbers say on Ball State's transfer adds? I'm keeping an eye on them because they've basically had to retool their entire roster and brought in some interesting pieces.
I forget where I saw it (may have been here) but the reports are that the Ball State coach got a $1 million rev share budget which absolutely makes them a threat. So far they have 6 D1 portal commits and a high school signee, and they rank out on the EvanMiya projections as:
1. 1.53 - Babatunde Durobola - F - 6'8 (Temple)
Purely a paint player who played in 64 games at Temple over 2 years. In actual game data, his EM ratings were 1.04 (2025/26) and -0.33 (2024/25). Solid offensive player and an above average defender.
2. 1.33 - Javion Guy-King - G - 6'6 (Central Arkansas)
Played in 59 games in 2 seasons at Central Arkansas. His EM ratings were 1.37 (2025/26) and -0.49 (2023/24) and rates out as a good defensive player who is okay offensively.
3. 0.21 - K'jei Parker - G - 6'2 (UMass)
Played in 61 games in 2 seasons at UMass and FAMU. His EM ratings were 0.37 (2025/26) and -6.07 (2023/24). Had a very efficient scoring year at UMass and averaged nearly 41% from 3 on 5 attempts per game. Not a good defensive player but an elite shooter.
4. -0.19 - Trey Lewis - G - 6'6 (WMU)
Played in 73 games in 3 seasons at Loyola, PFW, and WMU. His EM ratings for the 2 seasons he played meaningful minutes (PFW and WMU) were -0.53 (2025/26) and -1.32 (2024/25). Very weak defensive metrics but has back to back seasons of shooting 38% from 3. So another 3 point specialist.
5. -0.51 - Jaden Smith - C - 6'11 (Saint Joseph's)
Played in 11 games for Fordham in 24/25 and 36 games for St Joes (averaged 9 mins per game) in 25/26. His EM rating for St Joes last season was a -2.38 and he was by far the lowest-ranked person on his team. St. Joes ran an 8 man rotation and their best 4 all rated better than a 2, their 5/6 rated better than 0.5. The metrics show that he is an okay offensive player but a liability defensively and had the lowest defensive rebounding % on his team despite being 6'11. There is upside, but doesn't project out to be a clear impact player.
6. -1.32 - Aaron Fine - G - 6'2 (Purdue)
His "projection" is low but it is because I would flag him as a volatile projection and a player without real playing time. The EM Data defaults them to somewhere around -1, but those players can easily turn into a Daniel Freitag and be an All-MAC guy or they could also be an Ike Cornish and struggle for minutes.
HM - Their recent high school signee (G - Kam McGilveary) will be a player with a really high ceiling. His offers included: Maryland, Oklahoma State, Arizona State, TCU, SMU, Nebraska, LSU, Cal, and Miss State. I have to assume that if Ball State is getting a guy with that many P4 offers, he is probably going to play right away and the selling point was "come get playing time here and position yourself to transfer up."
The other school that is making some serious moves in the portal that you might not expect is Western Michigan. They've got 4 guys coming in that all rank higher than any player they had last year.
When the portal season finishes up and I update the Analysis thread, I'll include in that something that I did last year where I analyzed the 2025 Transfer Portal projections against the actual 2025/2026 ratings.The findings were that coaching and system fits can really elevate those projections. There were a few MAC teams where most of the transfers outperformed the projections.