Ohio Football Recruiting Topic
Topic: Thoughts on the last couple year's recruiting
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TWT
7/5/2013 12:33 PM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
I'm with colobobcat on this.  While we get guys with potential and coach them up...the ONLY way to be a consistent Top 30-40 or better team is to START with better players.  Imagine if we started with what Toledo has and coached 'em up.  When I see that (lots of 3 star guys), I will know we have reached the "next level".

Some years ago I posted a complete list of recruits over the prior few years sorted by the number of stars. I haven't found a great deal of correlation between any of the ratings and actual on-the-field performance. There certainly is evidence that on the whole 5 star recruits are more likely to be drafted than 4 star ones, and 4-stars ones more likely than 3-stars, and 3-star ones more likely than 2-star ones.  Why then is there no correlation at Ohio?

My answer is this? The two-star recruits that Ohio takes are probably somewhat better than the average 2-star recruit. They are not only 2-stars, but they are approved by the Ohio staff. Conversely the 3-star recruits taken by Ohio are probably somewhat worse than the average 3-star recruits. Many/most 3-star recruits end up at BCS schools, and presumably those 3-star recruits that don't are, on average, worse than those that don't. By the time its all done, however, you take better than average 2-star recruits, and worse than average 3-star recruits, and in the end there isn't much difference.


Its my impression that stars are mainly camp driven assessment. If a player excels at a big time camp and is given multiple BCS offers then he's rated 4/5 stars. What if he just had a great week? What we do know is Ohio runs its own camps and see things they like from the players participating every year. They have certain traits they are looking for in every unit and when they see it they add to their wish list. There is some general correlation between talent and stars but a program can be a Top 20 program taking the unheralded approach capable of knocking off ranked teams. Can you win a 4 team playoff without a roster full of 4/5 star guys, probably not.
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TWT
7/5/2013 12:56 PM
colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
It a total mistake to just look at stars and make an assumption that Toledo is out recruiting us because you know that the Ohio staff is more concerned about mentality than H.S. stats and potential at the college level. It is my belief that many of the guys offered and landed are camp guys and many of the offers from other MAC schools are the result of knowing that Ohio is in on a kid so they must know what they're doing. Take for instance Buffalo offers, why is UB throwing an offer to half the guys we offer? Its like Michigan State throwing an offer to half the guys Ohio State is looking at. A better indicator for how we are recruiting in a particular year is what percentage of players are instate because the state of Ohio is target #1. This year we've been able to recruit the state at will. How is Miami looking right now? Do you remember a few years ago when Miami got off to all of these hot starts on the recruiting trail and out of know where had that fluke 2010 MAC Championship? This year they are behind Ohio with only a few commits what I also find interesting is they are losing MAC recruiting battles they used to always win. Facilities are pretty important in the MAC recruiting battles. Bowling Green's Sebo Center is probably the prime reason why they continue to recruit well. Ohio has decked out the Peden Tower and dirt is moving on a new IPF. Ohio's location I would contend is the best for tapping into both the Central Ohio and SW Ohio football hotbeds out of all the Ohio MAC schools. N.E. Ohio is not what it used to be so the Swank theory that Akron is set doesn't really hold.
sorry, we are not recruiting the state at will. How many top 100 athletes in the state of Ohio do we have? Comparing to Miami doesn't cut it any more as Toledo and probably BG are way ahead of Miami right now. I think that we are the last or next to last MAC school to have a IPF, so we are still catching up there. It is getting a little tiring to hear all this " we can out coach everybody once we get them here" kind of talk. We still lag behind the top teams in all league players. Lets face it, Ohio is doing better that it probably has done since the 1960's and that is great. We have still not won the MAC or if I remember correctly, not beaten a top 25 program since Frank has gotten here. We continue to have the weakest schedules of any of the top MAC teams. My summary-while we've come a long way we still have a long way to go.
I'll step back and wait for the total thrashing for stating the facts.


There isn't a lot of data on Top 100 state recruits but 24/7 has the two guys from Ohio listed #81 and #97 respectively in state rank. We don't compete with Ohio State for recruits. If you're looking to win recruiting wars against OSU then we have a lot of work to do. Frank does not settle for players instate that he doesn't want and doesn't think can eventually become a starter in his system. That is the real difference between recruiting now at Ohio and how it was done years ago. If he can't recruit the state well like he failed to do a few years ago he will go out of state. The only schools that have built a permanent structure IPF in the last 15 years have been WMU and Akron. Yes Bowling Green and Kent State built field houses in the 80's but its hard to compare that impact with Ohio's brand new IPF. While you say we have a long way to go the question is how far do you think we can go? Can we pull a Texas A&M on OSU by moving to the SEC? What potential do you think we have exactly? A MAC Championship and a Top 25 win? Frank has come very close to that and there is no reason to think he can't eventually obtain those heights.     

Just  wanted to get it straight that we are not getting a lot of the top players in Ohio, and we're losing to various "BCS"league schools, not just OSU.

We are making progress on many fronts-bowl wins, players drafted, top league attendance, national TV exposure, but my wish list below:

As for where I would like to see Ohio-multiple MAC championships-multiple top 25 wins- at least 1 end of season top 25 ranking every 3 years-top APR in MAC-most all--MAC players every year-schedule home and away with "BCS" team every year-expansion of Peden - multiple players drafted every year-an All America player (first 3 teams) every couple years-Solich to retire with all time Ohio FB coaching record- no need to say Ohio University when talking about Ohio.  I could add more, but those to start.


I don't know what having the most all MAC players really means because it might be an indicator of a lack of depth on your team with a few standouts racking up the statistics. A Top 25 ranking means more to me than a Top 25 win which Frank achieved for a brief period last year. Looking beyond Solich the goal for every Ohio coaching regime should be at least 1 MAC Championship to build continuity within the program. I would say a regular presence in the Top 40 is important which we've mostly had the last 4 years. Ohio has enough going for it that it should be in a bowl every year out of the MAC but should it win the MAC every year? There is more of an edge for Ohio in the MAC East and Solich has 3 titles but some of those MAC West programs NIU, WMU or CMU, Toledo have an edge too. I'm starting to wonder if 2011 was our year but we couldn't hang on against NIU. This year might be our last shot at a MAC Championship for a while with Tettleton and Blankenship both seniors. 
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Monroe Slavin
7/5/2013 1:02 PM
Robert Fox wrote:expand_more
Unranked, but still, counts. lol

If you're talking about Pittsburgh, they started the season ranked, but had lost the week before. Not sure they were ranked when we played them


That's splitting hairs. Who cares? It was a big win, I won't let a sports writer ranking diminish it.
yeah right, we beat a 5-6 big East team, but little did anyone know how bad Pittsburgh would be in their first season under Wanstadt (so)? It was a big feel good win in Ohio fan eyes, and if that's all that counts , go for it.


Or you can sit back and piss on everything that doesn't rise to your personal level of success. If that's all that counts, go for it.


As usual, I tend to agree with Robert Fox here.

I understand that the 'star' issue is fun to discuss in the off season.  But does it really mean a thing?  It's well-stated (by Uncle Wes, I believe) that a team is not going to be one of the top four teams in the nation without a lot of bigmultistar players.  The top four teams are distinctly better than the rest.  After those top four, though, any of the next 20 or so teams are of about equal talent.  I see no reason we can't be in that mix.

Sure, it helps to get the best players.  We're doing better on that.  You can see it on the field.  And, it certainly appears that our player development and coaching is very good.  Sure, we need to lick the injury bug.  

Generally, it seems to me that our progress is upward steady and a good way to go.

Maybe the bowl win to end last season was a lucky fluke.  Maybe it shouldn't serve to erase the disappointment of the prior 4 or so games.  But the sun seems to be shining on OHIO FOOTBALL..

Enjoy it.  Look where we were for so many years.  Look where we are.  Doesn't the future appear to be solid?



There must be a line from Silver Linings Playbook that I can quote here...Maybe 'I wanted to be romantic.'



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TWT
7/5/2013 2:05 PM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
Unranked, but still, counts. lol

If you're talking about Pittsburgh, they started the season ranked, but had lost the week before. Not sure they were ranked when we played them


That's splitting hairs. Who cares? It was a big win, I won't let a sports writer ranking diminish it.
yeah right, we beat a 5-6 big East team, but little did anyone know how bad Pittsburgh would be in their first season under Wanstadt (so)? It was a big feel good win in Ohio fan eyes, and if that's all that counts , go for it.


Or you can sit back and piss on everything that doesn't rise to your personal level of success. If that's all that counts, go for it.


As usual, I tend to agree with Robert Fox here.

I understand that the 'star' issue is fun to discuss in the off season.  But does it really mean a thing?  It's well-stated (by Uncle Wes, I believe) that a team is not going to be one of the top four teams in the nation without a lot of bigmultistar players.  The top four teams are distinctly better than the rest.  After those top four, though, any of the next 20 or so teams are of about equal talent.  I see no reason we can't be in that mix.


I don't doubt that Ohio could be ranked #4 as an undefeated team knocking off another ranked team in the regular season. Boise State was able to do it on unheralded talent. The question is could we make it past 2 SEC schools in a 4 team playoff without 4/5 star talent? In some ways the old BCS system was better because in 1 game anything can happen. 
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colobobcat66
7/6/2013 8:27 AM
Uncle Wes wrote:expand_more
It a total mistake to just look at stars and make an assumption that Toledo is out recruiting us because you know that the Ohio staff is more concerned about mentality than H.S. stats and potential at the college level. It is my belief that many of the guys offered and landed are camp guys and many of the offers from other MAC schools are the result of knowing that Ohio is in on a kid so they must know what they're doing. Take for instance Buffalo offers, why is UB throwing an offer to half the guys we offer? Its like Michigan State throwing an offer to half the guys Ohio State is looking at. A better indicator for how we are recruiting in a particular year is what percentage of players are instate because the state of Ohio is target #1. This year we've been able to recruit the state at will. How is Miami looking right now? Do you remember a few years ago when Miami got off to all of these hot starts on the recruiting trail and out of know where had that fluke 2010 MAC Championship? This year they are behind Ohio with only a few commits what I also find interesting is they are losing MAC recruiting battles they used to always win. Facilities are pretty important in the MAC recruiting battles. Bowling Green's Sebo Center is probably the prime reason why they continue to recruit well. Ohio has decked out the Peden Tower and dirt is moving on a new IPF. Ohio's location I would contend is the best for tapping into both the Central Ohio and SW Ohio football hotbeds out of all the Ohio MAC schools. N.E. Ohio is not what it used to be so the Swank theory that Akron is set doesn't really hold.
sorry, we are not recruiting the state at will. How many top 100 athletes in the state of Ohio do we have? Comparing to Miami doesn't cut it any more as Toledo and probably BG are way ahead of Miami right now. I think that we are the last or next to last MAC school to have a IPF, so we are still catching up there. It is getting a little tiring to hear all this " we can out coach everybody once we get them here" kind of talk. We still lag behind the top teams in all league players. Lets face it, Ohio is doing better that it probably has done since the 1960's and that is great. We have still not won the MAC or if I remember correctly, not beaten a top 25 program since Frank has gotten here. We continue to have the weakest schedules of any of the top MAC teams. My summary-while we've come a long way we still have a long way to go.
I'll step back and wait for the total thrashing for stating the facts.


There isn't a lot of data on Top 100 state recruits but 24/7 has the two guys from Ohio listed #81 and #97 respectively in state rank. We don't compete with Ohio State for recruits. If you're looking to win recruiting wars against OSU then we have a lot of work to do. Frank does not settle for players instate that he doesn't want and doesn't think can eventually become a starter in his system. That is the real difference between recruiting now at Ohio and how it was done years ago. If he can't recruit the state well like he failed to do a few years ago he will go out of state. The only schools that have built a permanent structure IPF in the last 15 years have been WMU and Akron. Yes Bowling Green and Kent State built field houses in the 80's but its hard to compare that impact with Ohio's brand new IPF. While you say we have a long way to go the question is how far do you think we can go? Can we pull a Texas A&M on OSU by moving to the SEC? What potential do you think we have exactly? A MAC Championship and a Top 25 win? Frank has come very close to that and there is no reason to think he can't eventually obtain those heights.

Just wanted to get it straight that we are not getting a lot of the top players in Ohio, and we're losing to various "BCS"league schools, not just OSU.

We are making progress on many fronts-bowl wins, players drafted, top league attendance, national TV exposure, but my wish list below:

As for where I would like to see Ohio-multiple MAC championships-multiple top 25 wins- at least 1 end of season top 25 ranking every 3 years-top APR in MAC-most all--MAC players every year-schedule home and away with "BCS" team every year-expansion of Peden - multiple players drafted every year-an All America player (first 3 teams) every couple years-Solich to retire with all time Ohio FB coaching record- no need to say Ohio University when talking about Ohio. I could add more, but those to start.


I don't know what having the most all MAC players really means because it might be an indicator of a lack of depth on your team with a few standouts racking up the statistics. A Top 25 ranking means more to me than a Top 25 win which Frank achieved for a brief period last year. Looking beyond Solich the goal for every Ohio coaching regime should be at least 1 MAC Championship to build continuity within the program. I would say a regular presence in the Top 40 is important which we've mostly had the last 4 years. Ohio has enough going for it that it should be in a bowl every year out of the MAC but should it win the MAC every year? There is more of an edge for Ohio in the MAC East and Solich has 3 titles but some of those MAC West programs NIU, WMU or CMU, Toledo have an edge too. I'm starting to wonder if 2011 was our year but we couldn't hang on against NIU. This year might be our last shot at a MAC Championship for a while with Tettleton and Blankenship both seniors.
as far as having most all-MAC players, it seems obvious to me that if you have the most, then you have the most depth of good players-not a lack of depth.
This whole thread was started stating the chance of an "outstanding" team in a few years based on recent recruiting which I questioned and you're saying that our chance of a MAC title in a while is unlikely because of the loss of 2 players. I'll rest my case.
Last Edited: 7/6/2013 8:30:24 AM by colobobcat66
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TWT
7/6/2013 7:06 PM
colobobcat66, I'll concede your point that beyond this year wouldn't be a problem if we had observed talent. A point that I've been thinking about is how concentrated football power is becoming with the new 4 team playoff. In the decade before the national title game mid tier programs like BYU, Georgia Tech and Washington all pulled off national championships because they didn't have to take the toughest matchup possible in their bowl game. During the BCS era other mid tier programs like VT and Oregon at their peak made the national title game only to come up short. They at least had a chance but didn't get it done. In the 4 team playoff model unless you are in the SEC or have a major recruiting base like USC, Texas, Ohio State or Florida State by where you are entering the playoff as one of the very most talented in the country there is almost no chance of prevailing. If this is the environment we're running a program in Ohio is better off keeping one of the weaker schedules in the MAC and shooting for undefeated seasons. Continue to play mid tier Big Ten powers for a money game with a return home game in basketball. Replace the Marshall series with a rotating ACC or Big 12 school in return for a 1 and done at their place in hoops. Use the football program to help basketball scheduling.
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BuddyLee
7/9/2013 6:53 PM
In my opinion we simply don't have the high level athletes yet to compete at a consistent top 25 level.  Our coaching and team chemistry are good enough that we can win some games like Pitt and Penn State, but there are just not enough playmakers on the roster yet.  That seems to be how Solich likes to recruit.  He wants his type of players that fit a system, which is fine, but the tradeoff is that you aren't going to win many games on talent alone.  Fortunately we've had Tettleton carry us for the past 3 years to new heights, but I fear we could take a big step back if we don't have a stud QB really step up after Tettleton leaves. 

Unfortunately some of our most promising recruits the past few years haven't made it to Athens for one reason or another.  But that doesn't mean you stop trying to recruit these types of players and just go the safe route instead.  Our location and conference reputation/exposure does hurt in trying to attract the type of athlete who want to go to most bcs level schools (I hate using that phrase).  But Toledo has recruited very aggressively and taken some risks, and now they look like the clear frontrunner when it comes to current Mac recruiting.  I think we need to take some more chances and expand the boundaries of our recruiting if we ever want to get the type of size/speed ratio athletes to bring us to a new level.  You can only go so far with the hardworking farm raised hustle type players that Solich seems to love.  Give me a few more Glenville products that OSU passes over, or maybe some of that Florida speed like the new BGSU coach has tapped into recently.  We have an old-school coach which is awesome for coaching methodology and gameday planning, but I'm afraid we need a new-school recruiting coordinator in order to get us over the top.
Last Edited: 7/9/2013 6:54:35 PM by BuddyLee
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falconfan
7/9/2013 7:49 PM
No doubt, Wes, nothing happening in BG. Nothing going on on that campus. And we have just run up the white flag in athletics. I just don't know how we can ever get a recruit- or any student- if they are offered by Ohio or visit Athens. Can't even imagine anybody making such an uninformed decision.

I just hope we can win a MAC football game or two over the next three or four years. And just find enough kids to fill those new res halls. My fingers are crossed.

Our new AD just took a leap of faith into a pit of vipers. He must be crazy.

I realize it is an Ohio board. I love the MAC, travel to Athens once or twice a year for games and simply understand that success for all the key programs in the MAC make everyone else stronger. Just tee it up and go at it. Sometimes we win; sometimes we lose. I have fun every game and cheer hard for my Falcons.

Go Falcons!
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BuddyLee
7/9/2013 8:33 PM
I for one think BG can compete with anyone in this conference for football championships.  Year in and year out you have recruited well and always seem to have a solid QB in the pipeline.  Now with Clawson hitting up Florida hard I think you have the potential to pass us by over the next few years.  I would actually use BG as a football recruiting model for Ohio to look at going forward.  Basketball not so much.
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L.C.
7/9/2013 8:44 PM
BuddyLee wrote:expand_more
...You can only go so far with the hardworking farm raised hustle type players that Solich seems to love.[/quote]
I rarely mention anything 'Nebraska', but those are exactly the types of players that Nebraska used to win three National Championships back in the 90's. No, none of their recruiting classes ever cracked the Top 15 - they were usually about #25, but they produced on the field. How far can these types of athletes take Ohio? Further than  you might think.  The same thing is happening at Ohio - with recruiting classes ranked in the 80s, Ohio on the field is producing teams ranking in the 50-60 range now.  If Ohio can bump up to a recruiting rank in the 60's, teams ranking in the 30 range are quite doable, I think.

[QUOTE=BuddyLee]...I'm afraid we need a new-school recruiting coordinator in order to get us over the top..

Maybe like the one at Toledo? Oh wait, nvm, he WAS the recruiting coordinator at Ohio in 2010, not the best class Ohio has ever had.  I think Ohio recruiting is clearly at the highest level it has been in the Solich years. I think you will see some Ohio teams playing very, very well in 2015-2017.
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colobobcat66
7/9/2013 8:46 PM
I don't quite get all the talk about getting a certain kind of player that we can coach up-as if thats all we try. We offer lots of 3 star and up guys-we just don't get many of them.
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falconfan
7/9/2013 9:17 PM
Buddy, exactly. BG can recruit. BG can win. BG can get to bowl games. We are doing that. We have a very good university. This is not 1990 anymore in any number of areas in BG.

Ohio University can do exactly the same thing in football- and is doing it.

Right now, you can't say that about four or six MAC programs. The others? Can win any game they play essentially. Check w Will Muschamp. That was not a mirage last year. We outplayed UF and they didn't block Chris Jones a lick. Likewise, the Bobcats in the emotion bowl at Penn State. Guess what? Bobcats beat em. A little luck on a play or so, but watch the game in its entirety and Ohio was better.

Of course, even better MAC teams can darn near lose any game too.

Facilities- a popular subject on threads- are important. But, in football, head coach and coaching staff are so very very important. And that is where Ohio has an advantage over many. Frank Solich is a very solid coach. Frank Solich, at this point, is going no where. So that is a good point for the Bobcats. Our Coach Clawson is a tremendous football coach. Really good. But w a big season, he could be a popular man.

Go Falcons!
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L.C.
7/9/2013 9:27 PM
Falconfan - indeed, the entire MAC has moved up considerably in the last few years.

colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
I don't quite get all the talk about getting a certain kind of player that we can coach up-as if thats all we try. We offer lots of 3 star and up guys-we just don't get many of them.

What I took him to be referring to is an intangible.  Anyone can measure a kid with a stopwatch, but can you look into his head, and his heart? Will he fight to win, and never give up? Will he work hard to get better? Buddy believes, I think, as I do, that the coaches are looking for more than just speed, and good film. They are looking for someone with a never-give-up attitude, a team mentality, and a willingness to work long and hard to improve. Of course all teams are looking for that, too, but Ohio seems to be doing well at getting players with those intangibles. In turn those intangibles have enabled Ohio to play at a level beyond what just the "recruiting stars" would predict.

Part of "coaching up" is in the teaching, but a big part is in having the types of players that will listen, work hard, never give up, and keep improving. All things being equal, I'd take a 3-star with the right intangibles over a 2-star with them, but I'd probably take a 2-star with the right intangibles rather than a 3-star without them.
Last Edited: 7/9/2013 9:30:50 PM by L.C.
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Monroe Slavin
7/9/2013 10:21 PM
I believe that in his early years at OHIO Coach Solich got burned some by taking lads who were not happy at OHIO.  So, the young men left the program.  I'm not implying in any way that Coach should have known that this was going to happen.  But since then there seems to be a marked attempt to recruit guys who will stay.  This seems to have worked; guys come and stay.  (I'm sure that if my impression is incorrect, someone will provide stats to shoot me down.)

So, yes, Coach recruits 'top' guys.  But the segment of the Top guys who will come and STAY.  Do we get them all or even most of them?  No.  But I'm happy with the progress and the base that we have for the future.

Ready for some ball!



MAC CHAMPIONSHIP
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Casper71
7/9/2013 11:40 PM
L.C., just how does OHIO get those recruiting classes up to the 60s?  Do what colobob says we arent doing now:

Sign more of the 3 star guys we go after.  That is what I have been saying for years.  Some people want to downplay 3 star guys and say we don't need them.  I totally disagree.  We need to sign a lot more of the 3 star guys that will stay at OHIO 4-5 years and produce.
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TWT
7/10/2013 3:25 AM
Casper71 wrote:expand_more
L.C., just how does OHIO get those recruiting classes up to the 60s?  Do what colobob says we arent doing now:

Sign more of the 3 star guys we go after.  That is what I have been saying for years.  Some people want to downplay 3 star guys and say we don't need them.  I totally disagree.  We need to sign a lot more of the 3 star guys that will stay at OHIO 4-5 years and produce.


You're over simplifying the recruiting process after being told several times it doesn't work that way. Coaching staffs don't recruit by downloading the prospect list of Rivals and offer whoever has the most stars. They way they recruit is by running camps and maintaining relationships with High Schools. They make their own draft boards and hand out offers. Stars has all to do with camp performance at the elite schools. That is where you're 4 and 5 stars are born. Players attend camps at both the elite and non-elite schools so its very possible a kid has an unimpressive week due to whatever reason at an elite camp but has a better week at the Ohio camp. The recruit may be assigned 2 stars after the good Ohio camp but may be 4 star material. The best way for Ohio to get more stars in its recruiting class is to elevate to a Top 25 program then all of the sudden the Ohio camp becomes a big deal. I would take the star system more seriously in basketball because a 6'8 athletic shooting guard is going to be more valuable than a 6'2 guy every time. The gap in talent between teams in the NFL is only 1% because the draft spreads everyone around. In the NBA there is a huge talent gaps between the Heat/Spurs and the next 5-6 teams and then yet another noticeable gap after them. Does Ohio have enough talent to be Top 25? They were in the Top 25 last season and won a bowl game by 31 so I would say obviously yes. 
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TWT
7/10/2013 4:04 AM
BuddyLee wrote:expand_more
 
Unfortunately some of our most promising recruits the past few years haven't made it to Athens for one reason or another.  But that doesn't mean you stop trying to recruit these types of players and just go the safe route instead.  Our location and conference reputation/exposure does hurt in trying to attract the type of athlete who want to go to most bcs level schools (I hate using that phrase).  


Its time to quit blaming the conference on our recruiting deficiencies. The problem in recruiting now is that only the Top 10 power programs in college football have any chance in grinding through the semifinals and finals against top flight SEC competition. The only Big Ten team that has a chance at a national championship is Ohio State. Back in the 70's and 80's programs like Pitt and BYU were able to sneak their way to National Championships with only Top 40-50 talent and an easy schedule. Then you could do it with the recruiting boost of a BCS conference as VT and Oregon made title games. All of the recruiting in the future is going to be monopolized by 10 or so power programs that have the most resources and true title talent. Everyone else will be in pretender status. Ohio is finally acting like a mid tier program regularly in the Top 40 and not a bottom feeder which is progress but this is program like all but a select few that maxes out with a BCS bowl. MAC, Big Ten or SEC it doesn't matter, the program caps out at the BCS.
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TWT
7/10/2013 4:17 AM
colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
I don't quite get all the talk about getting a certain kind of player that we can coach up-as if thats all we try. We offer lots of 3 star and up guys-we just don't get many of them.


Nick Saban recruits the same way Solich does. Runs camps, evaluates film and picks the guys he likes starting instate first so Auburn can't get them. He may get a better yield on his offers than Ohio but there are a lot of guys very highly rated nationally that he's not even taking a look at. The players arrive at Alabama in fall camp and then he coaches them up to the championship caliber performance he expects. Saban doesn't spend time in meetings with the recruiting coordinators screaming for 5 star players.  
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L.C.
7/10/2013 11:05 AM
Casper71 wrote:expand_more
L.C., just how does OHIO get those recruiting classes up to the 60s?  Do what colobob says we arent doing now:

Sign more of the 3 star guys we go after.  That is what I have been saying for years.  Some people want to downplay 3 star guys and say we don't need them.  I totally disagree.  We need to sign a lot more of the 3 star guys that will stay at OHIO 4-5 years and produce.

You're already seeing it happening. Look at the progression. In 2005-2007, few if any of the players had any other offers. Ohio was dependent on finding guys with talent that others had overlooked. Most of the class was being filled in January with guys that had been missed, often because they had been hurt. Sometimes that worked out, as with Tettleton. Other times it did not, as with Sweeny, who never really recovered from his injury.

In 2005, Ohio did not really have the facilities or tradition to get where they needed to be. Slowly but surely over the last 8 years the facilities have improved. Attendance and game day excitement has improved. Team performance and national awareness of the program has improved. It happened gradually, but if you compare the last two years to the first two, the difference is dramatic. As they did in 2005-2007, Ohio still is sending out 150 or so offers in Jan-June, but back then, from that 150, they would get perhaps one acceptance. Now they are filling most of the class from those guys, and you no longer see them issuing 50 more offers in December/January, but perhaps only one or two.

Wes makes an important point, though. The stars aren't what matters. What matters is that they are getting the players they want. Eight years ago they were not. Almost none of the initial 150 offers were accepted, and they ended up taking second or third or fourth choices. Today it is much different. Today they are getting the players they want. This year the class is already half full, all from players on the list of players they really wanted.

Are they done? No, I don't think so. I think the program will continue to improve. As I said, I think that in 2015-2017 we are going to see even better teams, because they will be made up of first choices, not second. That in turn will further increase national awareness of the program, which in turn will bring better players to Ohio camps, which then will improve recruiting. This is a slow steady way to improve a program, but it's working, and I believe recruiting will continue to improve in the future.
Last Edited: 7/10/2013 11:13:14 AM by L.C.
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Doc Bobcat
7/10/2013 12:27 PM
Uncle Wes wrote:expand_more
[QUOTE=Casper71]/QUOTE]

You're over simplifying the recruiting process after being told several times it doesn't work that way. Coaching staffs don't recruit by downloading the prospect list of Rivals and offer whoever has the most stars. They way they recruit is by running camps and maintaining relationships with High Schools. They make their own draft boards and hand out offers. Stars has all to do with camp performance at the elite schools. That is where you're 4 and 5 stars are born. Players attend camps at both the elite and non-elite schools so its very possible a kid has an unimpressive week due to whatever reason at an elite camp but has a better week at the Ohio camp. The recruit may be assigned 2 stars after the good Ohio camp but may be 4 star material. The best way for Ohio to get more stars in its recruiting class is to elevate to a Top 25 program then all of the sudden the Ohio camp becomes a big deal. I would take the star system more seriously in basketball because a 6'8 athletic shooting guard is going to be more valuable than a 6'2 guy every time. The gap in talent between teams in the NFL is only 1% because the draft spreads everyone around. In the NBA there is a huge talent gaps between the Heat/Spurs and the next 5-6 teams and then yet another noticeable gap after them. Does Ohio have enough talent to be Top 25? They were in the Top 25 last season and won a bowl game by 31 so I would say obviously yes. 


This.
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L.C.
7/10/2013 1:37 PM
I guess here is another way of looking at it. Over the course of a year, these kids are evaluated many times, by many different people. They are evaluated by recruiting services, like scout.com, 247sports, rivals, and espn. They are evaluated by coaches. No one offers what they this is a kid that can't play, or who they think is so so. Everyone wants 3-star players. By my definition, anyone that makes an offer is saying they think a player is 3-stars. One would think that the more people look at a player, and think he's 3-stars or better, the better the chance he really is. 

When Ohio was recruiting mostly players that had no other offer, that was an indication that Ohio was the only evaluator that though the kid was 3-stars. That didn't mean Ohio was wrong, just that they were the only evaluation with that opinion. Some of those players turned out well, others not so well. Today most 10 recruits have multiple offers, and some have 3 stars from services.  Does it mean that the players are better than 8 years ago? Not necessarily, but probably on average they are.
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Speaker of Truth
7/10/2013 7:41 PM
Recruiting is clearly an art not a science.  For every 5 star that was a 4 year starter, there are ones that never materialize and 3 stars come in and fill their place perfectly.  This can obviously be scaled down to OU.  Solich has a plan:  Recruit players that fit the system, will stay with the program, and are coachable.  He will then take a few chances each year and hope they work out.  

Our recruiting classes have been better each year, all you have to do is look at the growth of the program.  There are other factors involved, but clearly we are getting the right players here.

I disagree with Wes trying to bring ACC schools to play here using basketball.  I don't think that sweetens the pot too much for bigger schools.  Football drives the money and they are going to want more home games.  If they decide to go on the road, they are not going to enter a lose-lose situation by playing mid majors.  Our schedules are realistic: 1 big road game, one FCS team at home, the herd home and home and then one more.  The problem is that last game almost has to be a home and home.  We would never want to get in a situation with only 5 homes games.  The UC and KU games are perfect and with them we have a great out of conference schedule for a mid major.  
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BuddyLee
7/10/2013 8:11 PM
I would have thought that a fairly big name like Frank Solich would be able to attract top 3 level talent in the MAC on a yearly basis, but it just hasn't worked out that way so far based on the consensus rankings of the scouting services.  I know you guys don't want to buy into the star/number ranking systems these services use, but we have to base our recruit analysis on something.  I don't have the numbers all in front of me, but I would venture to say that during the Solich tenure we've generally ended up in the mid to bottom half of the MAC conference yearly based on the final scouting website rankings.  They can't all be wrong can they?  Isn't it possible that we've been able to overachieve and win in spite of mediocre recruiting.  If anybody (LC?) feels enterprising, I would love to see a year by year comparison, beginning with Solich's first class in 2005, of what place we finished in MAC recruiting based on all the major services (Scout, Rivals, ESPN.)  In all those 9 recruiting classes have we ever even finished in the top 3 of the conference?
Last Edited: 7/10/2013 8:14:08 PM by BuddyLee
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Speaker of Truth
7/10/2013 10:42 PM
Buddy,

I agree the numbers mean something.  They are clearly a good way to gauge talent, but the true test is whether they turn out and the results they produce.  If Solich had Toledo recruiting classes would the teams be better?  I don't think so.
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Casper71
7/10/2013 11:23 PM
I'm with Buddy on this one.  You all know my feelings on the "stars" players.  No matter what most of you say or think if we started with MORE BETTER players and coached 'em the way we do we would be light years ahead of the MAC.  Face it, we've been good in the MAC East 'cause most MAC East teams have not had our consistency.   I don't doubt we are getting better.  I'd say we are a consistent Top 5-6 team in the MAC but we are not the Top Cat yet.  Even inb the East, just look at Miami a few years back (with a new coach), Buffalo the one year(with Gill), then Kent (just last year).  Then go to the West and look at NIU, Toledo and now BallsU.  It's just a tuff league 'cause nobody consistently gets a big majority of the top talent.

My comparison would be UC in the now past Big East days.  They went from recruiting like us to getting a whole lot more of the 3-star type guys.  They are now a pretty consistent Top 40-50 team.  I don't think we get to that level without at least 8-10 of the 3-star guys EVERY year.  That's really how UC did it.  And off topic but look at the money UC is throwing into Nippert.  UC is really trying to make a concerted effort to be one of those Top 60 BCS teams.  The jury is out as to whether they can make it or not.  I do think it is POSSIBLE they get a Big 12 or ACC invite next time around if they keep showing off their committment.
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