Let this sink in for a moment, Ohio was 6-0 at home and averaged 52 points per game while doing it. They came up short of winning the championship but they destroyed MAC foes this season. Five of the eight MAC games were high octane destruction. Three others were close within a FG and the Cats ended 1-2 in those. They didn't let anyone run them off the field regardless of a slow start in a couple of games. Its unbelievable to be this good and not make it to the MACC but I think the program is showing potential beyond what was thought possible.
Actually ... they averaged 49 points per game in going 6-0 at home.
Regardless ...
The fact that 5 of 8 MAC games were absolute annihilation is why the other three are incredibly puzzling? But I get it ... teams have off-days/nights and stuff happens.
But what's most puzzling is the way in which it happened in two of those games. You can toss the Kent game into the "they just had an off-day" bucket. But they overcame it and won.
The NIU and Miami losses are really, really tough to swallow. 14-point 4th quarter lead at NIU ... poof! I think you can definitely point the finger at coaching in that one. You just cannot let that kind of lead evaporate. They continued to try and run the ball into the teeth of the NIU defense in the 4th quarter when it was obvious it was not working. Ouellette had 11 carries for 16 yards in that game ... by far his worst game maybe of his career at Ohio. And you just can't let their QB run wild on you when you know that is their best source of offense. Very little adjustments made in that 4th quarter after playing solid football for three quarters. That loss stings.
But not as much as the Miami game. That loss ultimately cost them the East title. There is certainly blame to go around. A big share goes to the MAC for their absolute trash philosophy on scheduling. Miami had 8 days between games ... Ohio had 6. What a way to decide a league champion! But scheduling aside, to come out and drive the ball down the field on the first drive for a TD and then go silent on offense the rest of the half was tough to watch? Any adjustments? Not until halftime when they came out and moved the ball up and down the field. It was the reverse on defense .... four straight Miami drives where they looked like the LA Rams in the 1H ... and Ohio did little to adjust. But after the half, thanks in large part to Miami going into prevent mode, they shut them down.
Once again, in a huge November spot with the MAC East on the line, Ohio didn't do what needed to be done to win. 2010 vs. Kent ... 2012 BG, Ball, Kent ... 2013 UB, BG, Kent ... 2017 vs. Akron ... almost 2016 vs. Akron ...
November's have not been great for the Solich era
2018 3-1 (loss cost them MAC East)
2017 1-2 (loss cost them MAC East)
2016 2-1 (9-3 win over Akron in finale ... barely enough to win MAC East)
2015 3-1
2014 2-1
2013 1-3 (played themselves out of MAC East)
2012 1-3 (played themselves out of MAC East)
2011 4-0 (MAC East Champs)
2010 2-1 (loss cost them MAC East)
2009 3-0 (MAC East Champs)
2008 2-1
2007 2-1
2006 3-0 (MAC East Champs)
2005 0-3
Total: 29-18 in November
A closer look ... in season's where they were out of running for MAC (2005, 2007, 2008, 2014, 2015) ... 9-7
So in years when MAC East is on the line, Ohio is 20-11 in November ... win percentage of 63%
Break that down even further ... opponents records in each November
2018 (W 7-5, L 6-6, W 10-2, W 4-7)
2017 (W 11-3, L 7-7, L 6-6)
2016* (W 2-10, L 6-7, W 5-7)
2015 (L 10-4, W 3-9, W 3-9, W 8-6)
2014 (W 5-6, L 11-2, W 2-10)
2013 (L 10-4, L 8-5, L 4-8, W 1-11)
2012 (W 2-10, L 8-5, L 9-4. L 11-3)
2011* (W 9-4, W 3-9 W 5-7, W 4-8)
2010 (W 2-10, W 8-4, L 5-7)
2009* (W 5-7, W 7-6, W 9-4)
2008 (L 6-6, W 5-7, W 2-10)
2007 (W 4-8, L 4-8, W 6-7)
2006* (W 1-11, W 5-7, W 2-10)
2005 (L 9-3, L 7-6, L 7-4)
So, in November ... Solich is 8-10 vs. teams with winning record and 21-8 vs. teams that finish .500 or worse.
During the MAC East title years (2006, 2009, 2011, 2016)....
vs teams finishing .500 or worse: 9-1
vs. teams with winning records: 3-0
So in those MAC East title years, Ohio only faced 3 teams with winning records out of 13 games in November's home stretch.
During the years where they didn't contend for the MAC East (2005, 2007, 2008, 2014, 2015)...
vs teams finishing .500 or worse: 8-2
vs. teams with winning records: 1-6
During the year when they blew the MAC East (2010, 2012, 2013, 2017, 2018) ...
vs teams finishing .500 or worse: 4-5
vs. teams with winning records: 4-4
So it's pretty simple to see ... Ohio doesn't win the MAC East when they struggle in November. 17-17 in the non-MAC East champion years. 12-1 in the title years.
The years Ohio really let the MAC East slip away, they failed to get the job done against inferior opponents going just 4-5.
Three separate times a loss to a team that finished .500 or less has cost Ohio the MAC East title (2018, 2017, 2010)
That's pretty significant. 7 MAC East titles in 14 years (including back-to-back-to-back from 2009-11) would really had strengthened Solich's legacy ... and quite possibly the trajectory of the program. Ohio had strong teams in 2012 and 2013 and crumbled in November, going 2-6. Wonder if that happens if they're coming off three straight MAC East titles?
That's how close Ohio is to being THE elite team in the MAC East and ultimately the MAC. 0-4 in MACC is the reality. But I doubt it would be 0-7, right? You'd think they would have gotten 1 or 2 if given a few more opportunities?
That's what's frustrating about the program ... they are on the doorstep of dominance in the MAC and just can't climb that last few feet. Instead, they toil around the 3rd or 4th best team in the standings each year ... when in fact, it's obvious to see they are maybe the most talented some years.
I know it's light years better than where they were in the 80s & 90s .... NOBODY is disputing that.
But how many years of being THISclose does it take until some of us are "allowed" to expect Ohio to climb those last few feet?
And to state the obvious ... no player has 14 year of eligibility. Some games you can point to failure to execute on the field. But a 14-year sample size with the same coaching staff in place ... when does some of the accountability fall on them during these November swoons?