So with BSU beating Buffalo tonight, Ohio will finish all alone in 3rd place in the East; BG can tie for fourth with a win Friday.
Also, the entire MAC West is bowl eligible. It's the first time an entire division was bowl eligible since the SEC West did it in 2015.
That says as much about how bad the East is as it does about the West. There will be eight eligible MAC teams which has certainly happened before. I think only once did eight MAC teams get to play and I think that was a result of La. Tech screwing themselves accidentally by not wanting to play UL-Monroe in the Independence Bowl. They let the MAC have that spot with the secondary contract. When NIU made the BCS the MAC had seven other bowls they could cover and no other spots were open. Could the MAC get eight again?
I'm looking at the projections on team rankings. Their projections sum to 81.3 eligible teams which means there is a realistic chance all eligible teams could get a bowl.
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/projections/standings /
They have 73 eligible teams. Then there are 22 other teams have a chance. If half if them win then 2 eligible teams would sit. The thing is most of them should apparently be underdogs this week. We have seen in the past where slightly more 5-6 teams pull upsets than you might expect but it doesn't always happen. I don't know if that's a real motivational affect against an opponent where the difference between 7 and 8 wins might not matter as much.
Here are the 22 chances.
W Virginia 94.60%
Florida 72.30%
Old Dominion 69.80%
Rutgers 63.00%
Memphis 61.80%
Fla Atlantic 59.50%
Middle Tenn 40.50%
Troy 38.80%
Maryland 37.00%
LSU 35.60%
VA Tech 35.00%
Charlotte 30.20%
Florida St 27.70%
Tulsa 23.20%
Hawaii 23.10%
San Jose St 21.60%
USC 21.10%
Syracuse 20.90%
North Texas 16.80%
California 14.40%
TX Christian 13.70%
S Alabama 13.00%