Ohio Football Topic
Topic: Official Game 7 Thread: Western Michigan
Page: 2 of 5
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L.C.
10/12/2022 12:18 PM
71 BOBCAT wrote:expand_more
I doubt that many of us were pleased with TA being elevated, however, we really had no choice based on the timing of Franks retirement. Thankfully TA was only guaranteed 2 years. With year 1 at 3-9 year 2 needs to show big improvement, AKA, a winning record for him to stay on.
We stand at 3-3 with 6 games left, so TA needs to go 4-2 just to have a winning record.
We can start the countdown on Sat.




GO BOBCATS

First, going 3-3 and winning in a bowl would also be a winning record, so no, 4-2 is not required for a winning record. Second, I'd like to think that the requirement for retaining him is more nuanced than such a simple test. How is recruiting now compared to last year? How in the morale of the team? Is the team improving as the season progresses? Is TA doing a good job of representing the University? Any or all of those could be positive or negative factors in the decision to retain him.

It's not my call, so I plan to just watch the season unfold, and see what happens.
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OhioBobcat
10/12/2022 12:59 PM
WMU is down this year and won't be able to keep pace with Ohio, they simply don't have the offense to score with Ohio. I think Ohio wins this game by double digits.
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RufusCat09
10/12/2022 6:12 PM
OhioBobcat wrote:expand_more
WMU is down this year and won't be able to keep pace with Ohio, they simply don't have the offense to score with Ohio. I think Ohio wins this game by double digits.
Would love for this to be true. It is telling that we are favored, even just the slightest (-1) on the road at WMU.

Assuming we get a few players back in the secondary this week, would be nice to not give up like 30+ points.
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BillyTheCat
10/12/2022 7:37 PM
RufusCat09 wrote:expand_more
WMU is down this year and won't be able to keep pace with Ohio, they simply don't have the offense to score with Ohio. I think Ohio wins this game by double digits.
Would love for this to be true. It is telling that we are favored, even just the slightest (-1) on the road at WMU.

Assuming we get a few players back in the secondary this week, would be nice to not give up like 30+ points.
Just win baby!!! Just win!!!! OSU fans bemoan their margin of victory! Just win!
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L.C.
10/13/2022 3:07 PM
BillyTheCat wrote:expand_more
Just win baby!!! Just win!!!! OSU fans bemoan their margin of victory! Just win!

Winning is also good, but I'd like to also see the entire team continue to show improvement. The defense could improve in many areas, but other areas can improve as well. For the offense, I'd like to see improvement in their 3d down conversion percentage, which is only at .338 so far. On special teams, I'd like to see some improvement in net punting, where, at 31.46 yards per punt, Ohio is 129th out of 131 teams.
Last Edited: 10/13/2022 3:09:04 PM by L.C.
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BillyTheCat
10/13/2022 6:47 PM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
Just win baby!!! Just win!!!! OSU fans bemoan their margin of victory! Just win!

Winning is also good, but I'd like to also see the entire team continue to show improvement. The defense could improve in many areas, but other areas can improve as well. For the offense, I'd like to see improvement in their 3d down conversion percentage, which is only at .338 so far. On special teams, I'd like to see some improvement in net punting, where, at 31.46 yards per punt, Ohio is 129th out of 131 teams.
Would you either look better Saturday and lose to Western or win? Do you go to a Bowl game with "moral victories"? Do you win MAC titles with "moral victories"?
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Deciduous Forest Cat
10/14/2022 9:51 AM
BillyTheCat wrote:expand_more
Just win baby!!! Just win!!!! OSU fans bemoan their margin of victory! Just win!

Winning is also good, but I'd like to also see the entire team continue to show improvement. The defense could improve in many areas, but other areas can improve as well. For the offense, I'd like to see improvement in their 3d down conversion percentage, which is only at .338 so far. On special teams, I'd like to see some improvement in net punting, where, at 31.46 yards per punt, Ohio is 129th out of 131 teams.
Would you either look better Saturday and lose to Western or win? Do you go to a Bowl game with "moral victories"? Do you win MAC titles with "moral victories"?
He said also, not instead of.
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L.C.
10/14/2022 12:05 PM
Deciduous Forest Cat wrote:expand_more
He said also, not instead of.

Correct. I agree with BTC that winning is what is important, and that the margin of victory is not a concern. I was simply adding to that that, while I don't see the margin of victory as important, in addition to winning, I hope we see the team continue to improve. The goals presumably are:
1. Win the MACC
2. Win the MAC East
3. Go to a bowl game

To accomplish any of these, they need to continue to improve. To accomplish either of the first 2, they probably need to win all remaining games, and that will require improvement.

Make no mistake, these goals are not impossible. In the MAC, any team can win it in any given year, and the Bobcats, while not a favorite, are certainly in the running. Team Rankings gives them a 1 in 15 chance of winning the MAC East, and a 1 in 59 chance of winning the MACC. Those are low, but they are not zero.

In regards to net punting, Wieland was the primary punter the first three games. His net punting average was 30.5 yards. Last year he averaged 40.2 yards. The last few games, Wilson has been the punter, and his average for the year on net punting is 33.1, also down from last year, where he averaged 35.7, and from 2020 where he averaged 36.9. So:
1. Both punters are capable of better than they have done so far this year.
2. Clearly the coaching staff is making changes to address this area
3. The average in FBS is about 39 yards
4. Things have improved, and I hope they continue to improve

Also in the special teams area, I note that Ohio has returned 32 kickoffs, far more than anyone else in FBS. Number 2 is Arkansas State at 26. Ohio's average return yardage is 18.5 yards per return, in the lower half of FBS. Granted, Ohio has allowed opponents to score 40 times (31 TDs, 9 FG), so they are going to have a lot of chances to return kickoffs, but perhaps Ohio should fair catch kickoffs more often?
Last Edited: 10/14/2022 12:55:22 PM by L.C.
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OhioCatFan
10/14/2022 11:03 PM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
. . . Also in the special teams area, I note that Ohio has returned 32 kickoffs, far more than anyone else in FBS. Number 2 is Arkansas State at 26. Ohio's average return yardage is 18.5 yards per return, in the lower half of FBS. Granted, Ohio has allowed opponents to score 40 times (31 TDs, 9 FG), so they are going to have a lot of chances to return kickoffs, but perhaps Ohio should fair catch kickoffs more often?
Thought this many times. It's almost like they don't know about this rule that was instituted several years ago. Are our coaches to "old school" to want to take advantage of it?
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MonroeClassmate
10/15/2022 8:58 AM
OhioCatFan wrote:expand_more
. . . Also in the special teams area, I note that Ohio has returned 32 kickoffs, far more than anyone else in FBS. Number 2 is Arkansas State at 26. Ohio's average return yardage is 18.5 yards per return, in the lower half of FBS. Granted, Ohio has allowed opponents to score 40 times (31 TDs, 9 FG), so they are going to have a lot of chances to return kickoffs, but perhaps Ohio should fair catch kickoffs more often?
Thought this many times. It's almost like they don't know about this rule that was instituted several years ago. Are our coaches to "old school" to want to take advantage of it?
I like seeing returns, if that is old school so be it. It is all a judgement thing by the receiver. Judge how high the kick is and where it is going to land in time to make the decision. It would appear that OUr guys lack in quickly determining whether to fair catch. And to be fair, that is a NEW skill that players in the past didn't have to consider.

An example of a poor decision was last week vs Akron when the Bobcat return team tried a little razzle dazzle that went nowhere. OUr guys decided to do it on a line drive kick where the reverse happened too soon and all Zips were still in their lanes. Had it been a high kick that would have sucked the Zips to a smaller area on the field, a reverse may have worked better.

Gotta keep practicing and know what kicks to try to return. Of course they know they have Rourke and Company to back them up as the returners try to do their thing.

Go Bobcats; Break the Broncos.
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71 BOBCAT
10/15/2022 9:05 AM
They're strong D will determine who wins this game. Period





GO BOBCATS
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L.C.
10/15/2022 9:50 AM

MonroeClassmate wrote:expand_more
...
I like seeing returns, if that is old school so be it.  It is all a judgement thing by the receiver.  ...

As BTC has pointed out, if they fair catch it every time, they will average taking the ball at slightly better than the 25, once you factor in kicks out of bounds and onside kicks. In an effort to see how the players are applying their judgement, I went back and looked at the play-by-play of all the games, to see how many times Ohio has elected to fair catch a kickoff this year. I may have missed something, but this is what I found:
                Kickoffs      Returns      Touchbacks  Out-of-bounds  Onside  FairCatch
FAU              7                 5                     1                     1                 0             0

PSU              8                 5                      3                     0                0              0

ISU               9                 6                      3                     0                0              0

Fordham       9                 7                      2                     0                0              0 

Kent             5              3                  2                 0             0           0 

Akron        7              5                  1                 0             1           0

It appears that Ohio receivers aren't exercising judgement, but rather automatically returning every kick. How is that working out? Well, they do have one long TD from a return, and a couple balls at the 40 or so, but almost all of the other returns have been short of the 25. Let's look at the Akron game to see the latest progress. Other than the touchback and the onside kick, the five returns went to the 11, 20, 22, 40, and 19, or an average of the 22 yard line. The chance of injury are higher on kickoffs than on other plays, so returning all kicks is a risky strategy. Are they getting a reward?

      

 

 

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Rufusbobcat94
10/15/2022 12:31 PM
This is a game the Bobcats can and should win. Unfortunately, to me, it feels like one of those games historically that we should win but lose. Hope I am wrong.

This week and next week versus NIU are games Ohio can build confidence on defense and we will see if it happens.

WMU had two halves of good offense this year against Ball State and New Hampshire and an OK second half against EMU. WMU is averaging 22 points per game facing a tough Pitt defense but also padding the stats against the worst defense I've seen this year (except for possibly Murray State), New Hampshire.

The weakness of the Bobcats' defense is obviously pass defense and explosive plays but the passing game is also WMU's weakness.

If Ohio can keep the explosive plays to a minimum, the Bobcats defense should get some sacks against WMU's evolving offensive line.

As long as Ohio takes care of the ball on offense it is hard to see how WMU can score enough points to win. To lose this game i think the Bobcats would need to lose the turnover battle,or give up some defensive or special teams scores.

I think WMU's defense will test the bobcats pass blocking with some blitzing, so if Ohio can give Rourke some decent time, there is no reason he couldnt pick apart WMUs pass defense if EMU did.

Fingers crossed we just play to OUr capabilities and dont give it away
Last Edited: 10/15/2022 12:32:53 PM by Rufusbobcat94
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MonroeClassmate
10/15/2022 2:22 PM
On a side note; Kent has a huge game today vs Toledo. Miami currently struggling vs BuGs. Could be in good position in the East with things playing out to OUr advantage! Gotta win in KalamazooZooZooZoo.
Last Edited: 10/15/2022 2:23:42 PM by MonroeClassmate
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Victory
10/15/2022 3:12 PM
Victory wrote:expand_more
This line opened at WMU favored by 3. It has already moved to zero. Vegas implied predicted score is 30-30.
We are a one point favorite now.
This got all the way to Ohio by 1.5 and has swung back to WMU by 2.
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Cats5
10/15/2022 3:24 PM
Any ideas on who’s back from injury?
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Cats5
10/15/2022 3:52 PM
Gonna need the offense to put up 50+ again
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shabamon
10/15/2022 4:10 PM
Cats5 wrote:expand_more
Any ideas on who’s back from injury?
They mentioned Torrie Cox is back.
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Cats5
10/15/2022 4:16 PM
Undisciplined
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bobcatsquared
10/15/2022 4:17 PM
#23 has caught 3 passes and fair caught a punt. #23 is listed as Julian Ross on the roster but I don't think it's Ross. And there is no last name on the back of his jersey. Anyone have a thought on who it might be?
Last Edited: 10/15/2022 4:34:35 PM by bobcatsquared
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shabamon
10/15/2022 4:33 PM
Alec Burton is back too. I think Wiglusz is now wearing 23, the announcers are saying it's Julian Ross, but that's wrong.
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bobcatsquared
10/15/2022 4:35 PM
Last Edited: 10/15/2022 4:35:38 PM by bobcatsquared
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Cats5
10/15/2022 4:49 PM
Keye can’t back peddle and keep up with WR’s
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AlumDadDad
10/15/2022 5:07 PM
Cats5 wrote:expand_more
Keye can’t back peddle and keep up with WR’s
Appeared that he should have had help over the top, but didn't get it.

Offensive missteps later in the half can't happen if Ohio is going to win this game.
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Casper71
10/15/2022 5:14 PM
Where is that one safety that never gets beat deep?

I am becoming more convinced it’s the new scheme that is bad and not necessarily the players.

Looks like they go ahead on this possession
Last Edited: 10/15/2022 5:21:15 PM by Casper71
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