Which conferences have the strongest home-field advantage in conference games?

Congrats to the Pac-12 on a perfect 1–0 start, but it’s the @MACSports that stands out. Home teams win nearly 70% of the time! pic.twitter.com/QuFW2nrAUW

— Sickos Committee (@SickosCommittee) November 13, 2025

Eastern Michigan up 17-3 on Ball State at the half. According to my probability calculator that gives them a 90.89 percent chance of winning the game. From the eye test it looks higher than that as Ball hasn't been able to capitalize on short field opportunities.

https://calculatorshub.net/sports-calculators/football-wi... /

Our loss at Ball State was/is inexplicable and inexcusable.

If I'm processing the math right here (and I hope I am lol):

*Ohio wins out
*Akron win @ BG lets us off the hook with Toledo?
*Either Miami winning or Kent State winning helps us
*Ball State beating Toledo would also help

Tuesday finals:

OHIO 42-UMass 14
WMU 35-NIU 19
Akron 19-BG 16


WMU moves to 6-1; Ohio is 5-2.

I could definitely see Kent knocking off CMU...their trajectory this season has been impressive.

Ask Bobcat1996 this one.

They keep saying tonight with Miami that if they win out and tie with us that would have a tiebreaker with us because of their win over western. I missed the other teams involved though. Maybe Toledo

This is incorrect. CMU is about to beat Kent. If Toledo beats Ball State then I am almost positive we are eliminated. We would lise the tiebreakers to both at that point and since they play each other one has to win.

Ancient memory. It might date to 1969 and the first year of the state playoffs. In that first year, relatively few teams qualified for the playoffs. In the Northern Ohio League, Shelby, Tiffin Columbian and Norwalk all finished the regular season at 9-1. They "round-robined," Shelby beating Norwalk, Norwalk beating Tiffin and Tiffin beating Shelby. I have no recollection how points were awarded, but only Norwalk qualified for the playoffs - and won a state championship.

Wednesday finals:


MOFO 37-Buffalo 20
CMU 28-Kent 16


So now:

WMU is 6-1
OHIO, CMU, and MOFO are 5-2
Toledo is 4-2
Buffalo is 4-3

After reading the details of Kiefer's article, I think that we did hear that from ESPN and they are correct. The three way head to head, I think, only applies if all teams play each other. If you have a situation where one team is 1-0, on 0-0, and one 0-1, it might not be fair to the 0-0 team to promote the 1-0 team. In THIS case if Toledo and Ohio HAD played each other Miami would lose the tiebreaker no matter who won. So it feels like you should eliminate Miami and then apply the Tiebreaker between Toledo and Ohio which is now Toledo's based on their higher ranked won over Ball State. But apparently head to head is bypassed and Miami wins based on their highest common opponent win over WMU.

People are like a championship game "settles in on the field". We can settle it with tiebreaker nonsense just as fairly. Playing a game after a tiebreaker is no more of a hocus pocus way than applying it after all games are played. IMO, it a situation where a team in alone in first place settling it on the field is just awarding the title to WMU and avoiding this nonsense. I know that can't happen because of TV contracts and such but I think saying this sort of convoluted tiebreaker thing in this situation is more fair because we are "settling in on the field" is insane. Sure the championship game was the most fair thing last year with a two way tie but they'll be a clear first place this year and not a clear second.