This essentially means the Bobcats can lose at either BG or CMU and will still win the East as long as they beat Miami.
I think it's even better than that. If Ohio beats CMU and BG and Temple beats Kent St. (which would make BG finish 4th), Ohio would win the 3-way tiebreaker even if it lost to Miami.
Not so fast... BG isn't likely to finish 4th if they lose to Ohio, and in fact will finish last if they lose to Buffalo as well. After a loss to Ohio they will have 5 losses, and if they lose to Buffalo as well, they will have 6, and Buffalo would have 6 or less.
If we assume Ohio beats CMU and BG, and Temple beats Kent, and Ohio loses to Miami, we have a three way tie, where each team is 1-1 against the others, kicking you down to the second tiebreaker. So, who is 4th?? Perhaps Kent, which would have 4 losses, unless they lose to WMU or Akron, but forget them because it doesn't matter where Kent finishes since they would have losses to Ohio, Miami, and Temple.
In this tiebreaker scenario the critical question is who finishes higher, BG, or Buffalo? BG would have wins over Miami and Temple, but a loss to Ohio, so if they finish ahead of Buffalo, Ohio would win the tiebreaker. Buffalo would have a win over Ohio, but losses to Temple and Miami, so if they finish ahead of BG, Ohio is out, and Temple wins the tiebreaker over Miami.
BG only finishes ahead of Buffalo if they beat Buffalo. Thus, if Ohio beats CMU and BG, but loses to Miami, they only win the tiebreaker if Temple beats Kent and BG beats Buffalo.
Last Edited: 11/10/2011 12:42:10 AM by L.C.