I think L.C. is on target by saying we should try to hold NIU under 30 and then score over 30 ourselves.
If NIU scores less than 30 and Ohio scores more than 30, I like the Cats chances of pulling this one out.
But, what if we succeed in only one of those two? Which gives us a better chance?
Note that it is equally true that if Ohio fails at both goals, they can not win the game, however the result is indeterminate if Ohio succeeds at one goal but not the other.