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Topic: 2012 Bowl Projections
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Antonio Pierce
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Posted: 10/24/2012 9:09 PM
The Optimist wrote:expand_more

As far as BCS goes, it now looks more likely we'd pass up the Big 10 champ not the Big East champ.
 

As always, undefeated is the biggest obstacle.  Penn State is really helping us more than anyone ever dreamed after Virginia... The computer points we get if they beat OSU will be massive.



http://www.cleveland.com/datacentral/index.ssf/2012/10/oh...


Cleveland.com has a nice article out today, providing good info on our BCS chances.
Last Edited: 10/24/2012 9:10:58 PM by Antonio Pierce
Bobcat1995
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Posted: 10/28/2012 10:56 PM
MariettaCatFanatic wrote:expand_more
I figured we could get this started and follow it week to week as the season goes on.

After Week 8:

Scout says Potato Bowl vs. La-Tech
http://cfn.scout.com/2/557866.html


USAToday.com says Pizza Bowl vs. Arizona/GoDaddy.com vs. La-Monroe

http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaaf/2012/10/03/bowl-projections-bcs-title-game/1609731/


Phil Steele says GoDaddy.com vs. Western Kentucky

http://www.philsteele.com/bowls/12-13/bowlprojections.html


Orlando Sentinel says GoDaddy.com vs. La-Lafeyette.

http://www.orlandosentinel.com/sports/blogs/college-gridiron-365/os-fbc-week-eight-college-football-bowl-projections-20121021,0,2278322.post?track=rss


CBS says GoDaddy.com against La-Lafeyette.

http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/bowls/predictions


ESPN: Brad Edwards and Brad Schlabach say Pizza Bowl vs.Minnesota

http://espn.go.com/college-football/bowls/projections


College Sports Madness says Pizza Bowl vs. Purdue

http://www.collegesportsmadness.com/football/bowl-projections


SB Nation says Potato Bowl vs. La Tech

http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2012/10/21/3533296/bowl-game-projections-2012-oregon-alabama-kansas-state-notre-dame

Bump for an update -- I've seen Pinstripe, Beef O'Brady, Pizza and Potato. Any others? 
bobcat28
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Posted: 10/30/2012 3:14 PM
I would say there is almost 0% chance we go back to Idaho. I would say most likely destination is GoDaddy against a Sun Belt team.
MariettaCatFanatic
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Posted: 10/30/2012 3:48 PM
It's sad that we need to lose a few more games to get into a higher paying bowl against a better team in a better destination.
bostonbobcat
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Posted: 11/1/2012 11:29 PM
Phil Steele has us in Nashville for Music City Bowl vs. Tennessee. - last updated on Monday
DayvidGallagher
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Posted: 11/5/2012 4:35 PM
bostonbobcat wrote:expand_more
Phil Steele has us in Nashville for Music City Bowl vs. Tennessee. - last updated on Monday


I'm curious, under what scenario does this happen?  With the 3 conference tie-ins I assume we would have to go unpicked through those 3 bowls. Then get picked up as a leftover for a bowl who doesn't have tie ins?
sargentfan
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Posted: 11/5/2012 4:43 PM
DayvidGallagher wrote:expand_more
Phil Steele has us in Nashville for Music City Bowl vs. Tennessee. - last updated on Monday


I'm curious, under what scenario does this happen?  With the 3 conference tie-ins I assume we would have to go unpicked through those 3 bowls. Then get picked up as a leftover for a bowl who doesn't have tie ins?


My guess is he assumes we miss out on the MACC, with the MAC West winner getting picked up by Detroit and the MAC East winner getting picked up by Mobile.  Boise then takes the 2nd place MAC West team, thus leaving us to be a free agent bowl team.  So this means he is expecting us to lose to one of our next three opponents and be the 2nd place MAC East team.  

The Big East, Big Ten and maybe C-USA should all have at least one or two bowl tie-ins each they can't satisfy.
MariettaCatFanatic
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Posted: 11/5/2012 7:37 PM
To be honest, the Music City Bowl would be a best case scenario for us. Great destination, great payout, good opponent, and a date that I could attend.
Pete Chouteau
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Posted: 11/6/2012 7:46 PM
There's all sorts of horse trading that will go on when it gets narrowed down to which conferences can't fill what slots.

My money is on Ohio in the Military Bowl.
Mountain State Cat
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Posted: 11/7/2012 10:36 AM
Music City would be my selfish dream, because I love Nashville. Lived in the area a couple years, met my wife there. But I understand how far-fetched that one is.

I agree with you Pete. My second choice, understanding in no way do I have a choice or say so, would probably be the Military in D.C. for travel reasons and it makes for a good destination as in you can truly make a trip of the sights. Third would be St. Petersburg, the Beef O'Brady's one.
 
I've seen at least one where a prognosticator picked an Ohio-Utah State rematch in Idaho. I can't imagine that happening.

I also don't see Little Caesars taking us if Toledo and NIU are available, maybe even Kent. Who knows how Kent may travel to its first bowl game in forever. I know the Kent homecoming crowd against Ball State, I believe, was paltry, but weather may have played a factor. Maybe Little Caesars takes us if we win out, including the MACC, but I really only see in that scenario.

Would not be surprised at all to make a return trip to GoDaddy bowl. Put a gun to my head and I think that's where we'll end up vs. La. Lafayette or Western Kentucky.
Maryland Bobcat
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Posted: 11/7/2012 11:21 PM
MariettaCatFanatic wrote:expand_more
To be honest, the Music City Bowl would be a best case scenario for us. Great destination, great payout, good opponent, and a date that I could attend.


Agreed.  There's really no motivation to win the division or MAC at this point.  A conference championship is nice, but meaningless.  If it meant qualifying for a playoff that would be great, but it just means either Mobile or Detroit.  Not winning the division and having 8 or 9 wins makes us an attractive team for a misc. at-large bowl (just like our trip to the New Orleans Bowl).   Although if any bowl reps watched tonight's game they may feel otherwise. 
PalmerFest
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Posted: 11/7/2012 11:23 PM
We do not belong in a bowl this year.  
Casper71
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Posted: 11/7/2012 11:38 PM
We will be lucky if we are #6 in the MAC.  Both Miami and BG along with Kent will be higher than us based on head to head competition.  Then, there is Toledo and NIU.  And, if we fal at Ballsie that makes us #7. 
Maryland Bobcat
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Posted: 11/7/2012 11:41 PM
PalmerFest wrote:expand_more
We do not belong in a bowl this year.  


It's hard to argue that right now, but they've earned the right with eight wins to participate in a bowl.  Obviously they are not playing well at all, and after watching this game tonight I almost want them to decline to save them from embarrassment,  but the reality of the ridiculous bowl system is that even the most mediocre of teams qualify.  9-3 or 8-4 puts us well in front of many others, so we might as well take advantage of going someplace that isn't Detroit, Mobile or Boise, and reward the seniors on this team who have helped turned the program around. 
Maryland Bobcat
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Posted: 11/7/2012 11:44 PM
Casper71 wrote:expand_more
We will be lucky if we are #6 in the MAC.  Both Miami and BG along with Kent will be higher than us based on head to head competition.  Then, there is Toledo and NIU.  And, if we fal at Ballsie that makes us #7. 


That very well could be, but there are a LOT of bowls.  PSU and OSU open up two spots from the Big Ten bowls tie-ins, too.  I think we have to beat either BSU or Kent to guarantee one, but the fact remains that we do have some name recognition at this point, and we have some of the better fans, if not the best fans, in the MAC.  That helps when it comes to at-large picks. 
sargentfan
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Posted: 11/8/2012 10:16 AM
I think we are guaranteed a bowl with 8 wins, though getting to 9 would lock it down tight.  About the only nice thing about being left of the MACC now is that we are probably definitely not going to be selected by the MAC tie-in bowls.  So our destination and bowl opponent could be much better than if we were a 1-loss team. 
Hypatia
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Posted: 11/8/2012 10:20 AM
If OU loses the next two, they do not go to a bowl game at 8-4, going 1-4 down the stretch.  I hope I'm wrong, but that's my biggest worry.

They win 1 of the next two, they lock up a bowl game. 

The MACC is out. 
MariettaCatFanatic
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Posted: 11/8/2012 10:34 AM
Guys, we are going to a bowl game even if we lose out. People are worried about not having enough bowl eligible teams to fill all the slots. 8 wins is more than a lock. The loss last night also nearly locks up the fact that we will not be going to Detroit, Mobile, or Boise. As to where we will land, your guess is as good as mine.
Maryland Bobcat
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Posted: 11/8/2012 11:45 AM
MariettaCatFanatic wrote:expand_more
Guys, we are going to a bowl game even if we lose out. People are worried about not having enough bowl eligible teams to fill all the slots. 8 wins is more than a lock. The loss last night also nearly locks up the fact that we will not be going to Detroit, Mobile, or Boise. As to where we will land, your guess is as good as mine.

 

Exactly.  There are so many bowls and there are "power conferences" not being able to fill their slots.  I mentioned the Big Ten earlier with OSU and PSU not taking their usual spots.  The ACC is hurting, too (see article below).  Maryland is now out since they lost all four QBs on their roster and is starting a linebacker in that spot.  No way they win two more. 

The ACC currently has only three bowl-eligible teams, Florida State, Clemson and Duke. They will pick up a fourth team this week with the winner of the Wake Forest vs. North Carolina State game, since both have five victories. It gets problematic after that. If Wake loses, the Deacons would have to beat either Notre Dame on the road or Vanderbilt to become bowl-eligible. N.C. State, if it slips against Wake, plays at Clemson next week but has Boston College at home to end the regular season. The only other five-victory team is Miami, which plays Virginia, South Florida and Duke. The Hurricanes should be able to win at least one of those. There are three four-victory teams, Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech and Maryland, and only the Hokies seem to have a path to a 6-6 record.

Maryland Bobcat
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Posted: 11/8/2012 11:47 AM
"The ACC isn’t alone in the struggle to field enough bowl-eligible teams. Nationwide, there are 48 bowl-eligible teams entering this week’s games, with 22 open spots in the 35 bowl games. The Big East currently has only two bowl-eligible teams, the Big Ten four, the Big 12 and the Pac 12 five each and the SEC seven."

They're actually discussing the rules now on who can qualify with 6-7 records.  We'll be fine.

http://www.al.com/sports/index.ssf/2012/08/ncaa_creates_bowl-eligibility.html
Last Edited: 11/8/2012 11:48:07 AM by Maryland Bobcat
Monroe Slavin
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Posted: 11/8/2012 9:26 PM
PalmerFest wrote:expand_more
We do not belong in a bowl this year.  


Our team needs to play with more emotion.  Our fans, apparently, need to post with less.


We are a good team.  We deserve to go to a bowl game.  Period.
oldkatz
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Posted: 11/9/2012 8:24 AM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
We do not belong in a bowl this year.  


Our team needs to play with more emotion.  Our fans, apparently, need to post with less.


We are a good team.  We deserve to go to a bowl game.  Period.



Nicely stated, Mo.
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Posted: 11/9/2012 9:06 AM
Pete Chouteau wrote:expand_more
There's all sorts of horse trading that will go on when it gets narrowed down to which conferences can't fill what slots.

My money is on Ohio in the Military Bowl.


I'd bet on Pete, because he mockingly predicted the FIPB last season and that's where we ended up.
UpSan Bobcat
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Posted: 11/10/2012 3:05 AM

The No. 4 MAC bowl team is supposed to go to either the BBVA Compass Bowl (Birmingham, Ala., Jan. 5), New Mexico Bowl (Dec. 15) or the Beef O'Brady St. Petersburg Bowl (Dec. 21) if any of those bowls cannot fill their obligations. I'm not sure really sure which bowl gets the MAC if more than one of them does not meet its standard. Last year it was the New Mexico Bowl taking Temple.

The No. 5 MAC team is supposed to play in the Ticket City Bowl in Dallas (Jan. 1) if it cannot fill its slot (which seems extremely likley considering one of the teams is supposed to be from the Big Ten). Last year, the No. 5 MAC was supposed to take part in the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl (San Francisco) if needed, but that bowl actually was able to fill its spots with its regular tie-ins.

After that, the MAC would fill in wherever a spot is open. The Military Bowl (D.C., Dec. 27) has been one that has had an opening that went to a MAC team two out of the past three years. Army is slotted for it this year, so there will be at least one opening there, but the MAC has no contract to take part in the bowl in any way. There are a number of other bowls that undoubtedly will have openings.

I think the MAC will get at least six bowl slots this year. It's still conceivable an eligible MAC team gets left out. Even having lost to Miami, Ohio will get picked ahead of Miami. The RedHawks will be lucky to become bowl eligible. They need to win two of three against Kent State, CMU and Ball State. Western Michigan could become bowl eligible by beating EMU and Buffalo. Central Michigan would have to beat EMU, Miami and UMass to get to 6-6. In the event these teams do get eligible, they'd have a legit shot of going to a bowl because there will be barely enough eligible teams to fill all the slots.

PalmerFest
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Posted: 11/10/2012 9:37 AM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
We do not belong in a bowl this year.  


Our team needs to play with more emotion.  Our fans, apparently, need to post with less.


We are a good team.  We deserve to go to a bowl game.  Period.


I'll accept that and correct it for the future.  Thanks. 
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