This belief that college presidents and those who assist in running finances of universities are dumb is astounding to me. Wow.
Change is happening. And, its going to happen organically. The market will change somewhat, with the Columbus State type schools gaining and small liberal arts private colleges losing at first, and then the Ohio's and Bowling Green's and Central State's -- isolated public schools -- struggling next.
Online education is nice but I think it will be a long time before major employers hire individuals with 100% online degrees. So far, it appears online MBA programs are gaining acceptance. Not sure about any others.
I remember listening to Mark Cuban attack higher education not so long ago. But, I'm guessing he doesn't have any University of Phoenix folks working for him at all. Likely exactly the opposite.
Indeed this thread has generated some thoughtful posts.
To clarify, I don't see anyone here alleging that college presidents are "dumb." It is, though, an inescapable fact that many college presidents have no grounding in financial management. How many can look at and understand an income statement or balance sheet and implications for their enterprises (universities)? How many of them possess a body of experience that intuitively enables them to make financially sound choices?
Alan Swank, your point about the increasing numbers of university administrators is spot on. I've seen little or no evidence that university presidents have heard and absorbed messages or lessons related to doing more with less or practicing continuous improvement.
JSF, re your comment about steadily increasing tuitions and fees - ones that have been consistently larger than inflation - having "no downside," and that loans continue to be available. The salient point is that increasing numbers of families are declining to take on crippling debt loads. And thousands upon thousands of students and parents who have taken on such loads have found them to be albatrosses to advancing their quality of life.
Two examples: A niece of mine who graduated from Ohio in 2001. She has been building a good career but still is paying off her student loan and has little in the way of discretionary income. A friend who made the mistake of co-signing a student loan for his Ohio-degreed daughter. She has defaulted on loan repayments and he finds himself on the hook when, now past 65, he is trying to negotiate his way out of this web.
Studies continue to conclude that individuals with college degrees achieve larger lifetime earnings than persons without them. But sharply increasing tuitions and fees and the necessity for many families to take on debt to pay those costs are eroding the advantage conferred by degrees.
The future? Youngish bobcatattack parents would do well to examine the current total cost of a year at Ohio or other state-assisted university. Then consider how many years will pass before your child or children enter college. Then compound that current total cost figure by 6%. Then after the shock dissipates start planning.