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Topic: Marshall versus Ohio talent comparison-one method of comparison
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Gallia Cat
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Posted: 9/20/2013 12:20 PM
penn2moss wrote:expand_more
Win loss stuff means nothing.

Cato true freshman versus a redshirt sophomore is obviously not fair.

Let's compare last year alone.

Cato: 4201 yards, 69.5% completion percentage, 37TDs w/ 11 Int

TT: 2844 yards, 62.1% completion percentage, 18 TDs w/ 4 Int

Tyler is a very very good player. Most years I would kill for a guy like TT. Cato will own every passing record in the books by the time he is done here. He led the nation in passing yards per game a year ago. He was the only underclassman to win CUSA MVP in conference history. And this conference has had some pretty darn good players.

I know you think your guy is better. What fan wouldn't. But Herd fans have every right to think our guy is better.
Win loss stuff means nothing? Says the fan of the team that is not winning.
Bobcats1991
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Posted: 9/20/2013 12:24 PM
Gallia Cat wrote:expand_more
Win loss stuff means nothing.

Cato true freshman versus a redshirt sophomore is obviously not fair.

Let's compare last year alone.

Cato: 4201 yards, 69.5% completion percentage, 37TDs w/ 11 Int

TT: 2844 yards, 62.1% completion percentage, 18 TDs w/ 4 Int

Tyler is a very very good player. Most years I would kill for a guy like TT. Cato will own every passing record in the books by the time he is done here. He led the nation in passing yards per game a year ago. He was the only underclassman to win CUSA MVP in conference history. And this conference has had some pretty darn good players.

I know you think your guy is better. What fan wouldn't. But Herd fans have every right to think our guy is better.


Win loss stuff means nothing? Says the fan of the team that is not winning.


I'm glad you said something, because I was about to say the same thing
Ohio69
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Posted: 9/20/2013 1:45 PM
Meh.  Not sure I like this comparison.  By this measure, Ohio Univeristy and say, Capital University, have the same talent on the basketball court.  Meaning, no NBA players the last 5 years.
Monroe Slavin
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Posted: 9/20/2013 2:19 PM
The post-game silence (lack of appearance) on these threads by stupd cow fans is deafening.
OUVan
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Posted: 9/20/2013 3:46 PM
Marshall's high-water mark over the last 10 seasons are two 7-6 records.  They are no longer who they think they are.  To paraphrase, "Randy Moss is not walking through that door."    They need to face the facts. They are a lower tier CUSA program.  They had a nice run in the 90s but they had to cheat to accomplish what they did and they paid the price.  They thought they were headed to bigger and better things when they left the MAC but it hasn't worked out since the league is such a cluster-eff now.
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Posted: 9/20/2013 3:46 PM
Ohio69 wrote:expand_more
Meh. Not sure I like this comparison. By this measure, Ohio Univeristy and say, Capital University, have the same talent on the basketball court. Meaning, no NBA players the last 5 years.
as I said, this is only One way to compare and I think it's a valid one. Is it the only one, of course not. As for your NBA comment, perhaps we should look at players who tried out for the NBA or who are playing professionally someplace.
L.C.
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Posted: 9/20/2013 4:40 PM
The same holds true for football - you can extend the comparison lower. You could get a list of Free Agents signed, players that signed in Canada, etc. The NFL comparison was apt, though, because if Marshall has significantly better talent, they should have significantly more players getting drafted. If they have slightly better talent, they should have more free agents signed, and more signing with Canada.
penn2moss
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Posted: 9/20/2013 8:32 PM
You assume good college players translate to good NFL players.  While often true, not always.  Dobson was drafted in the second round last year and wasn't even close to being our best player.

Tim Tebow was one of the greatest college football players ever.  He can't even make a team.
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Posted: 9/20/2013 8:57 PM
penn2moss wrote:expand_more
You assume good college players translate to good NFL players. While often true, not always. Dobson was drafted in the second round last year and wasn't even close to being our best player.

Tim Tebow was one of the greatest college football players ever. He can't even make a team.
I certainly don't think that. Many players thrive because of the system they're in or the competition they play, among other things. It's just one indication of talent level.Quite a few players change positions as well. I'm not making a big deal out if this, just saying its one indication of talent level, nothing more.
perimeterpost
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Posted: 9/20/2013 11:15 PM
we can't use wins or losses to measure talent, we can't use career statistics either if it involves a freshman, and we can't use NFL draft picks because college talent doesn't always translate to the NFL.

but Marshall fans are positive that their players are far superior to Ohio's. We just have to take their word for it.
L.C.
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Posted: 9/20/2013 11:22 PM
At this point we have given several good reasons for why we don't think Marshall has clearly more talent than Ohio now, as opposed to a decade ago. Perhaps, if penn2moss is one of the Marshall fans that believes Marshall still has significantly more talent than Ohio, he can tell us how he came to that conclusion.
penn2moss
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Posted: 9/21/2013 12:42 AM
Nation's leading passer (1st team all conference)
4th in the nation in receptions, school record holder for receptions (1st team all conference)
nation's leader for TD receptions by TE (1st team all conference)
CUSA freshman of the year/ freshman all American RB
freshman all American LB

We signed 4 4-star athletes last year alone.  Not counting the 4 star transfers we got.

have you guys had a 4 star in your entire school history?  Honest question

You can look at past draft picks all you want.  We flat out sucked talent wise pre 2011.  Doc has been stock piling talent.

i don't think the difference is as big as some Herd fans act like.  I think you guys win 10 games this year.  You are good.
Monroe Slavin
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Posted: 9/21/2013 1:33 AM
And I thought that the better team was determined on the field.


It's good for the rivalry that you are bringing in talent.  It's good for your school and fans.

But if we beat you, we're probably better than you. 

If we beat you three in a row...


And if you think that Coach is not bringing in talent at OHIO, then re-read this post from the start.
OUVan
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Posted: 9/21/2013 3:52 AM
penn2moss wrote:expand_more
Nation's leading passer (1st team all conference)
4th in the nation in receptions, school record holder for receptions (1st team all conference)
nation's leader for TD receptions by TE (1st team all conference)
CUSA freshman of the year/ freshman all American RB
freshman all American LB

We signed 4 4-star athletes last year alone.  Not counting the 4 star transfers we got.

have you guys had a 4 star in your entire school history?  Honest question

You can look at past draft picks all you want.  We flat out sucked talent wise pre 2011.  Doc has been stock piling talent.

i don't think the difference is as big as some Herd fans act like.  I think you guys win 10 games this year.  You are good.


Those are some great numbers and some great recruits.   It's a shame for you guys that how ESPN or Phil Steele or Mel Kiper or whatever recruiting guru you decide is your guy, rates a guy hardly matters. What matters is what your coach does with them and your four star recruits suck against Ohio and our FCS-quality athletes.

Here are numbers that matter:

2 winning seasons (both 7-6) since 2005
2 losing seasons since 2005

Which of the above two lines is better?

Let's face it. In D-1A Marshall's glory years were essentially a six year run.  Other than that six year run Marshall is one of the worst D-1A programs in history. 
C Money
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Posted: 9/21/2013 7:47 AM
OUVan wrote:expand_more
Let's face it. In D-1A Marshall's glory years were essentially a six year run.


A six year run with several asterisks.
L.C.
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Posted: 9/21/2013 8:33 AM
penn2moss wrote:expand_more
Nation's leading passer (1st team all conference)
4th in the nation in receptions, school record holder for receptions (1st team all conference)
nation's leader for TD receptions by TE (1st team all conference)
CUSA freshman of the year/ freshman all American RB
freshman all American LB

We signed 4 4-star athletes last year alone.  Not counting the 4 star transfers we got.

have you guys had a 4 star in your entire school history?  Honest question

You can look at past draft picks all you want.  We flat out sucked talent wise pre 2011.  Doc has been stock piling talent.

i don't think the difference is as big as some Herd fans act like.  I think you guys win 10 games this year.  You are good.

Thanks for the reply. Yes, Ohio has had some 4-star recruits. Here's one, and here's another.

I'm curious. Have you ever found much correlation between the recruiting rankings and how players and teams actually perform? I keep a database of Ohio recruits, and I periodically try to correlate on the field performance to the various recruiting rankings, and sometimes I think I see a weak correlation, sometimes there doesn't seem to be any correlation at all.  I end up wondering if that is because of flaws in the recruiting rankings, or if it is because Ohio's staff cherry-picks 2-star recruits that really should be 3 or 4 star recruits.

For example, suppose you had a guy that was the MVP in the California High School Championship game. You'd think he'd be at least 3 stars, maybe 4 or 5, right? Yet, suppose he didn't play football before mid-way through his senior year in high school, and the recruiting services missed him entirely. He ends up at Ohio, rated 2 starts, but is on the Jim Thorpe watch list, all conference, and will certainly be drafted. He's the reason that your star receiver had few catches against Ohio, by the way. Does his 2 stars mean he has less talent? Or, does his play on the field speak for itself?

In the end I think you'll find that Ohio has more talent that most people give them credit for. If they didn't, you'd be right, they could not be missing 8 starters, and still go toe-to-toe with Marshall, and stay with them, even with the turnovers.
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Posted: 9/21/2013 8:35 AM
Come on guys.  Let us move along, nothing to see here.  New game day.  Time to refocus.
Ohio69
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Posted: 9/21/2013 9:22 AM
penn2moss wrote:expand_more
You assume good college players translate to good NFL players.  While often true, not always.  Dobson was drafted in the second round last year and wasn't even close to being our best player.

Tim Tebow was one of the greatest college football players ever.  He can't even make a team.


Agreed.  Christian Laettner is one of the greatest college basketball players ever.  Journeyman NBA career for him.

But, I guess it is one way to judge.
OhioCatFan
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Posted: 9/21/2013 10:12 AM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
And I thought that the better team was determined on the field. . . . 


This a very difficult and way too abstract concept for some people to understand, Monroe.  I tried without success to explain it to folks on the basketball forum last year and the year before.  There were those who claimed that Michigan was a better basketball team after we had made them MichiGONE in the NCAA tournament.  Better stick with concrete things like computer rankings, pundits' pronouncements, and high school player rating services.  
JSF
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Posted: 9/21/2013 11:12 AM
Bcat2 wrote:expand_more
Come on guys.  Let us move along, nothing to see here.  New game day.  Time to refocus.


Refocus? On what? The conversations on this board have no bearing on the team. We can talk about whatever we want.
perimeterpost
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Posted: 9/21/2013 11:33 AM
penn2moss wrote:expand_more
Nation's leading passer (1st team all conference)
4th in the nation in receptions, school record holder for receptions (1st team all conference)
nation's leader for TD receptions by TE (1st team all conference)
CUSA freshman of the year/ freshman all American RB
freshman all American LB

We signed 4 4-star athletes last year alone.  Not counting the 4 star transfers we got.

have you guys had a 4 star in your entire school history?  Honest question

You can look at past draft picks all you want.  We flat out sucked talent wise pre 2011.  Doc has been stock piling talent.

i don't think the difference is as big as some Herd fans act like.  I think you guys win 10 games this year.  You are good.


I would expect a lot of passing yards from a 5-7 team with no run game that is playing from behind most of the time. you're trying to equate popularity with quality, like McDonalds, Justin Bieber, and Fox News.
penn2moss
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Posted: 9/21/2013 10:50 PM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
Thanks for the reply. Yes, Ohio has had some 4-star recruits. Here's one, and here's another.

I'm curious. Have you ever found much correlation between the recruiting rankings and how players and teams actually perform? I keep a database of Ohio recruits, and I periodically try to correlate on the field performance to the various recruiting rankings, and sometimes I think I see a weak correlation, sometimes there doesn't seem to be any correlation at all.  I end up wondering if that is because of flaws in the recruiting rankings, or if it is because Ohio's staff cherry-picks 2-star recruits that really should be 3 or 4 star recruits.

For example, suppose you had a guy that was the MVP in the California High School Championship game. You'd think he'd be at least 3 stars, maybe 4 or 5, right? Yet, suppose he didn't play football before mid-way through his senior year in high school, and the recruiting services missed him entirely. He ends up at Ohio, rated 2 starts, but is on the Jim Thorpe watch list, all conference, and will certainly be drafted. He's the reason that your star receiver had few catches against Ohio, by the way. Does his 2 stars mean he has less talent? Or, does his play on the field speak for itself?

In the end I think you'll find that Ohio has more talent that most people give them credit for. If they didn't, you'd be right, they could not be missing 8 starters, and still go toe-to-toe with Marshall, and stay with them, even with the turnovers.


we have never had a 4 star that has panned out to be a great player for us.  But I also consider that we get so many more 2 and 3 stars that the sample size isn't really fair.  We have some 4 stars now that seem like they are going to be stars.  One was CUSA freshman of the year.  Cato and Shuler are easily our best players and not 4 stars.  Chad Pennington had one other scholarship offer and 0 FBS offers.

What receiver are you talking about?  Shu had 9 catches for 95 yards.
L.C.
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Posted: 9/21/2013 11:37 PM
NVM, my error. I looked back at the box score, and you're right. It was was the NTSU receiver (Chancellor) that Carrie shut down. Against Marshall they used a lot of zone coverages. Cato was mostly working on the corner on the other side, Devin Bass, who was expected to be 3rd string before the season, but who got the start against Marshall because of injuries and suspensions. Bass ended up with a pick, 5 passed defended and 11 tackles, so he was a busy guy. Carrie, on the other side, had only 4 tackles. It will surprise me a great deal if Carrie doesn't get drafted.

I agree on the stars. The four star players have been OK, but not necessarily the best players Ohio ever recruited. Instead, every one of the Ohio players that has been drafted has been a 2-star recruit, which is kind of odd. Ohio is starting the last few years to get a fair number of 3-star players, so it will be interesting to see how they fare.

Nice game at VT today, by the way. Too bad you didn't come away with the win.
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Posted: 9/22/2013 12:04 AM
We had them on the ropes and didn't pull it out.  O well, on to the next one.

I think both of us are good enough to win our conferences.
L.C.
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Posted: 9/22/2013 8:30 AM
I agree that both teams are good enough to win their conferences, but Marshall also has a favorable schedule. The only other game you might lose is @Tulsa, and even if you lose that, you should still win CUSA-East. For Ohio to win, they will have to beat Bowling Green on the road, which will not be easy.
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