... Does anybody think that we can win, if so how would that happen?
Well, Ohio was a pretty good team for a part of the season, from NTSU to EMU. After EMU the wheels fell off, though, playing worse against Miami, worse still against Buffalo, even worse at BG, and worst of all against Kent. They got it back together, though, and played a decent game against U.Mass. The question is, which Ohio team will show up? The one with pride, and fight? If so, Ohio will come ready to play, and will give EMU a battle. Ohio has played well in bowls in recent years. I think they will again.
Meanwhile, ECU has been a better team at home than on the road this year. They did play well close to home, at NC and NC State, but not as well on longer trips to Tulane, FIU, Marshall and MTSU.
I don't see this as an easy win, at least for Ohio. If Ohio plays badly, it could be an easy win for ECU. If Ohio plays well, and I think they will, it will be a hard fought game, and I think Ohio has a reasonable chance of coming out on top.