...Again, I became involved in this debate in response to posts that were stating we were attracting much better students that before our recent athletic success and that those (illusory) gains were somehow linked to athletics.
I, too, am skeptical on any short-term relationship between athletic success and applications. I just don't think its a big priority for kids looking at colleges to go to, in most cases. On the other hand, I do think that it is quite plausible that Athletic success helps lead to a closer tie to alumni, and thus to more alumni giving, as well as to more giving from non-alumni. That was why I looked at the relationship between schools with FBS football teams and endowment growth (which reflects giving).
Do you have any comments on the facts that I posted in another thread that shows that schools with Athletic success are showing about 2% a year higher Endowment growth than schools that do not have FBS football teams? This was not based on Ohio itself, though Ohio was one of the schools with higher endowment growth as well as Athletic success. If Athletic success is boosting Ohio's endowment growth by 2% a year, that means it is leading to perhaps $10m in extra giving a year, a pretty substantial number, though not enough to offset the subsidies.
To me the endowment is the best overall reflection of the health of an institution. With a healthy endowment, a school can fund endowed faculty chairs, scholarships, building programs, etc, and without they are much more dependent on tuition, and on annual giving. Thus, to me, the 12% a year endowment growth Ohio has had in recent years assures that the well is not dry, and the future is bright. If you want to argue that the growth is unrelated to Athletic success, fine, but with the endowment growing, it seems hard to argue that the situation for the University is grim. If Ohio can maintain double digit endowment growth for another 6-7 years, they will be approaching the 1B endowment that would put them among the elite Universities in America.