I still think we'll yet see your breakout Casper. I know you always complain about the lack of 3-star recruits, and while I don't think the "stars" are as accurate as you do, I understand what you mean. In general, better players mean a better team, and you can only get so far with unknown players. I personally think that stars are accurate at the high end (3 stars, and especially 4-5 star players), but at the 2-star level they aren't worth much. I think at the lower levels, the better indicator is how many other offers a player had. Here's a historical track record of Freshmen Recruits that shows the average numbers of other offers the incoming players have had from FBS schools:
Avg Offers #Freshmn Impact Years
2005 - .10 25 2008-2009
2006 - .82 17 2009-2010
2007 - .72 20 2010-2011
2008 - 2.00 15 2011-2012
2009 - 1.18 17 2012-2013
2010 - .92 13 2013-2014
2011 - 2.50 22 2014-2015
2012 - 2.64 14 2015-2016
2013 - 2.33 18 2016-2017
2014 - 2.36 22 2017-2018
The "impact years" are the years when the classes were/will be fourth and fifth year players.
Early on, under Solich, Ohio was basically recruiting players that had few if any other offers from FBS schools. Sometimes they were able to find hidden and overlooked talent, people like Carrie and Brazill, that had no other offers, but sometimes they ended up with players that didn't work out.
Once Ohio proved they could win, the recruits started getting better in 2008-2009, but then 2010 was an off year. Sure enough, the "impact yeas" of the 2008-2009 classes, 2011-2012, I think most of us would agree the teams were better in terms of talent than the ones that preceded them. Even though the 2012 season wasn't as good as hoped, I think most of us believe they had the talent to have done better had they not had so many injuries.
Next came a dip in talent in 2010, which was a small class to begin with. Worse, most of those are gone from the program, and only Carpenter, Cochran, Kristoff, and Ingol remain from that group. You'd expect a dip in overall team quality in 2013-2014 to match the dip in recruiting in 2010, and I think we've seen that.
Then comes a second spike in the talent level of recruits in 2011 and it has continued into the years following. I expect that the teams of the next few years will reflect that. I think 2014 will be a rebuilding year, but 2015 and beyond we'll be looking at the best Bobcat teams we have yet seen under Solich.
I think the future looks bright, and I think it's a great time to be a Bobcat fan.
Last Edited: 5/2/2014 1:48:28 PM by L.C.