I spent my lunch break today chopping up data so I could better convey the message, THE SKY IS NOT FALLING!
I exported the college football score data from sport-reference.com from the year 2013. Using the magic of Excel I was able to cross-reference team wins and losses vs teams with winning records.
The results don't shock me; but they may shock some people who have lost confidence in the OHIO football program.
Last year OHIO won 2 out of 6 games against teams with a winning record.
But how did that accomplishment rank in the 2013 season?
Last year, winning 33% percent of games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 51 out of 123 teams. Winning 2 games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 46 out of 123 teams.
Teams with winning records but only one (1) win against teams with winning records (2013):
Fresno State, 12-2
Ball State, 10-3
Cincinnati, 9-4
San Diego State, 8-5
Arkansas State, 8-5
Boise State, 8-5
Buffalo, 8-5 (OHIO was their only win)
Western Kentucky 8-4
Maryland, 7-6
Kansas State, 8-5
Middle Tennessee State, 8-5
Michigan, 7-6
Texas Tech, 8-5
Teams winning records but zero (0) wins against teams with winning records (2013):
Colorado State, 8-6
Oregon State, 7-6
UNLV, 7-6
MAC and Friends 2013 Record vs. Teams with Winning Records:
NIU 3-1
BGSU 3-3
Marshall 3-4
Toledo 2-3
OHIO 2-4
Ball State 1-3
Buffalo 1-3 (OHIO was their only win)
CMU 1-5 (OHIO was their only win)
Kent 1-6 (OHIO was their only win)
Akron 1-6
Temple 0-5
WMU 0-6
EMU 0-7
UMass 0-7
Miami Sucks, 0-6
---------------------------------
Curiosity got the best of me,
2012 Results:
OHIO winning 40% percent of games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 40 out of 126 teams. Winning 2 games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 43 out of 126 teams.
Teams with winning records but only one (1) win against teams with winning records (2012):
Middle Tennessee State, 8-4
Bowling Green State, 8-5 (OHIO was their only win)
North Carolina State, 7-6
Central Michigan, 7-6
Mississippi State, 8-5
Western Kentucky, 7-6
Ole Miss, 7-6
Teams winning records but zero (0) wins against teams with winning records (2012):
UT-San Antonio, 8-4
Nevada, 7-6
East Carolina, 8-5
MAC and Friends 2012 record vs. teams with winning records:
NIU, 4-1
Kent State, 4-2
Penn State 3-3
Ball State 3-4
Toledo, 3-4
OHIO, 2-3
UL-Monroe, 2-4
WMU, 1-4
BGSU, 1-5 (OHIO was their only win)
CMU, 1-5
Marshall, 1-5
Miami, 1-7 (OHIO was their only win)
Akron, 0-7
Buffalo, 0-6
EMU, 0-8
UMass, 0-6
Temple, 0-5
--------------------------------
At this point I can just churn out the comparisons (aka I got no work done today):
2011 Results:
OHIO winning 60% percent of games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 21 out of 122 teams. Winning 3 games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 28 out of 122 teams.
Teams with winning records but only one (1) win against teams with winning records (2011):
FIU, 8-5
Mississippi State, 7-6
San Diego State, 8-5
SMU, 8-5
Temple, 9-4
Teams winning records but zero (0) wins against teams with winning records (2011):
WMU, 7-6
Nevada, 7-6
Florida, 7-6
Air Force, 7-6
MAC and Friends 2011 record vs. teams with winning records:
NIU, 4-1
Marshall, 3-5
OHIO, 3-2
Ohio A&M, 3-6
Toledo, 3-2
Rutgers, 2-3
Utah State, 2-4
Ball State, 1-5
Temple, 1-3
Bowling Green State, 1-6
Buffalo, 1-2
CMU, 1-5
EMU, 1-4
Kent, 0-6
Miami, 0-6
Akron, 0-5
WMU, 0-5
-------------------------------
2010 Results:
OHIO winning 60% percent of games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 38 out of 122 teams. Winning 2 games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 46 out of 122 teams.
Teams with winning records but only one (1) win against teams with winning records (2010):
TROY
TOLEDO
SMU
UNC
KANSAS STATE
FRESNO STATE
BOSTON COLLEGE
BAYLOR
Teams winning records but zero (0) wins against teams with winning records (2010):
ARMY
UCF
MAC and Friends 2010 record vs. teams with winning records:
NIU, 3-2
MIAMI, 2-3
OHIO, 2-3
TEMPLE, 2-4
KENT, 1-6
MARSHALL, 1-4
TOLEDO, 1-4
AKRON, 0-5
BALL STATE, 0-3
BGSU, 0-7
BUFFALO, 0-7
CMU, 0-7
EMU, 0-6
WMU, 0-4
----------------
2009 Results:
OHIO winning 43% percent of games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 36 out of 122 teams. Winning 3 games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 30 out of 122 teams.
Teams with winning records but only one (1) win against teams with winning records (2009):
WYOMING
TROY
TEMPLE
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE
IOWA STATE
FRESNO STATE
BGSU
Teams winning records but zero (0) wins against teams with winning records (2009):
NIU
MAC and Friends 2009 record vs. teams with winning records:
CMU, 4-2
OHIO, 3-4
MARSHALL, 3-5
BGSU, 1-6
KENT, 1-4
TEMPLE, 1-4
TOLEDO, 1-4
AKRON, 0-6
BALL STATE, 0-7
EMU, 0-5
MIAMI, 0-8
NIU, 0-5
WMU, 0-2
--------------------
2008 Results:
OHIO winning 0% percent of games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 93 out of 122 teams. Winning 0 games against teams with a winning record ranked OHIO 93 out of 122 teams.
Teams with winning records but only one (1) win against teams with winning records (2008):
WMU
TROY
NOTRE DAME
MINNESOTA
LA TECH
KENTUCKY
FRESNO STATE
FAU
BUFFALO
Teams winning records but zero (0) wins against teams with winning records (2008):
N/A
MAC and Friends 2008 record vs. teams with winning records:
BALL STATE, 3-2
CMU, 2-3
MARSHALL, 2-6
BGSU, 1-3
BUFFALO, 1-5
EMU, 1-4
KENT, 1-2
WMU, 1-4
AKRON, 0-4
MIAMI, 0-4
OHIO, 0-5
TEMPLE, 0-6
TOLEDO, 0-5
NIU, 0-6
--------------------------
For the sake of covering the Solich years:
2007 Results:
MAC 2007 record vs teams with winning records:
Ball State, 2-4
Miami, 2-2
BGSU, 1-3
CMU, 1-4
EMU, 1-3
Marshall, 1-7
OHIO, 1-1
Akron, 0-5
Buffalo, 0-4
Kent, 0-4
NIU, 0-4
Temple, 0-4
Toledo, 0-5
WMU, 0-5
----------------------------
2006 Results:
MAC 2006 record vs teams with winning records:
CMU, 3-4
OHIO, 2-4
BGSU, 1-3
NIU, 1-4
Toledo, 1-2
WMU, 1-4
Akron, 0-5
Ball State, 0-5
EMU, 0-5
Kent, 0-2
Miami, 0-5
Marshall, 0-5
Buffalo, 0-6
Temple, 0-7
---------------
2005 Results:
MAC 2005 record vs teams with winning records:
NIU, 4-4
Ball State, 3-6
CMU, 3-3
Akron, 3-3
Toledo, 3-3
EMU, 2-5
WMU, 2-3
BGSU, 1-5
Miami, 1-4
Buffalo, 0-6
Marshall, 0-5
Kent, 0-6
OHIO, 0-7
Temple, 0-10
Last Edited: 10/8/2014 4:39:27 PM by The Situation