By the way, for those that want a comparison to see how my forecast for last year turned out, here is that forecast:
http://www.bobcatattack.com/messageboard/topic.asp?FromPa...You will note that the tone is very different. As always, I hoped for the best, but much of my post is "they need to develop some depth" or "someone needs to step up" or "At some positions the need for improvement is pretty significant." Even a year ago I said "That's why I'm looking towards 2015 for the big improvement."
Offense
OL - My biggest miss was probably he offensive line, where I had hopes it would be better than it was. In particular I had hopes for players like Justin Haser (left the team), Zach Murdock (never played, may still be injured), Durrell Wood (out for the season), and Nic Gibbons (missed most of the season with injury). I would not have been nearly as optimistic if I had guessed that 3-4 true Freshmen would play on the offensive line in their places. Note my comment "you should NOT be playing Freshmen on the offensive line".
TE - I said it would be down, and it was
WR - I said it would be a step down, but not too big, and I think that was right
RB - I never guessed that all the returning running backs would fumble, and we'd end up playing a true Freshman, nor that the true Freshman would do just fine
QB - I'd say I had that right with "I think Vick will do fine, if he doesn't get hurt."
Overall Offense - Because I was wrong on the offensive line, and because vick got hurt and missed much of the season, I was wrong on the offense as a whole. It was not on a par with 2013. It was definitely worse.
Defense
DE amd DT - I would say that I was correct. They were very good in 2014.
LB - Like the offensive line, there were a substantial number of players that I expected to play that ended up gone from the team. Russell, Schany, and Wm. Johnson are all gone. The other three I mentioned, Blair Brown, Jovon Johnson, and Quentin Poling, all played surprisingly well, keeping me from missing.
CB - I was about right, though Bass had more issues than I think anyone expected
Nickle/Safety - Again, there were a lot of players that I expected to play who left the team or were hurt. Dyquan Stewart, Carpenter, Devin Jones, Blake Scipio, and Corey Quallen all missed most or all of the season, and Ingol and Kristoff missed time as well. That meant a lot more playing time for Aaron Macer and Toran Davis than I think anyone anticipated.
Defense as a whole - I thought they had a chance to be modestly improved, and I think they were.
Overall Forecast - My projection was for a small improvement from 2013. Instead it was slightly worse, dropping from 7-6 to 6-6. I think I was a little optimistic, but not overly so, and I think my miss was entirely on the offensive side.
Feel free to judge my accuracy yourself. If I post it, it's there for posterity, and open to being judged on it's accuracy a year later. If I was afraid of being told I was wrong, I wouldn't post this stuff. Instead, I think it's a fun challenge trying to guess how things will work out, and then to come back later and look and see if I was right. A year from now, we can come back and judge the accuracy of my predictions for 2015.
Also, feel free to make your own predictions, and we can judge those, too, when we come back.