Ohio Football Topic
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cc-cat
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Posted: 9/18/2015 2:09 PM
Bringing a point in from another thread.

When leading at the half, since 2009, the Cats are:

42-1

The only time we gave up the lead - Detroit.

We lose any other of the 43 but that one, and this and other threads do not even exist. The second half of that game was an aberration. Unfortunate action at an unfortunate time. Does that excuse not having a MACC? No, there are other years, but most agree that was our most talented and deserving team. That said, I also have a difficult time calling for the head of a coach whose teams have held on to that victory 98% of the time. Our team has consistently been put in the position to compete for the MACC - the best opportunity we had...the 1 in 43. Be disappointed, but to be bitter or angry makes little sense.
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Posted: 9/18/2015 2:23 PM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
LC: Isn't regression to the mean predicated on largely similar factors of production, or resources? I think Ohio has moved forward in a way that isn't going to change dramatically once Coach Solich retires. I can't see us going back to an undesireable destination for recruits, maybe a hundred people tailgating, and crowds normally under 10,000.

Of course, there is a danger of regressing if we make a bad hire. Or if we get a new university president who doesn't see much value in athletics.
Certainly the facilities upgrades such as the IPF and the Academic center will change the dynamics from the past. The same can be said for the fan-building efforts, which has spread Bobcat fandom to the north and west, and the closer ties to high school programs across the state.

That's why I've said that the contributions Solich have made go far beyond "coaching", and constitute "program building". To merely focus on what has (or hasn't been) achieved on the field significantly understates the contributions that Solich has made to Ohio long term.
I don't think anyone could argue that. That's indisputable. At some point though, I think as an administration and program starved for a championship they would want to see a trophy in the case after the money spent. Then again, that may not be what the administration is all about. I wonder what the faculty thinks? (Ducks head)
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Posted: 9/18/2015 2:30 PM
Mike Johnson wrote:expand_more
In my post that led off this discussion, I said what I like about the Solich era is going to a game believing that Ohio has a legitimate chance to win. During his era there have been outcomes that have deflated me much as a pricked birthday balloon. Examples: Wyoming was set to run a 4th down play as time was expiring; the play was an incomplete pass and, voila!, victory was in hand. But wait. Frank had called a timeout. Wyoming got a mulligan - and a win. That was an instantaneous deflation. A much slower and more painful deflation was watching Ohio lose a 20-0 halftime lead against that Dekalb bunch.

But the following during the Solich era rank high on my personal thrill-o-meter:
* Topping Pitt in OT. Even my wife was high-fiving everyone in sight.
* Topping Illinois as the clock neared 00:00. Love the AP photo of holder hugging kicker.
* After a thunderstorm delay at Kent, watching the Cats clinch a division title.
* Coming from 9 pts down to top BG with a FG as time expired.
* Falling behind and looking over-matched against Utah State and then watching a fearless bunch of Bobcats come roaring back for Ohio's first bowl win.
* Logging onto a computer in France and seeing a headline: Bobcats Top Lions.
* All wins over Miami and Marshall. Edit: Temple too.

I'm certain that another division title clinching game or a MACC would send my pulse rate soaring. Meanwhile I'll continue enjoying adding outcomes to my personal thrill-o-meter.
Schreveport, La. December 28, 2012. "Ohio Football picked up its second straight bowl win on Friday afternoon, earning a dominating 45-14 victory over the University of Louisiana-Monroe in the 2012 AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl. The Bobcat offense exploded in the win, amassing a bowl-record 556 total yards and setting multiple additional Independence Bowl records in the process."

Ohio rushes for 200+, passes for 300+, scores 45, 9 yards per play, 9 yards per freeking play, four rushing TDs for Beau. A healthy Tremayne Scott played cat and mouse with their QB Browning. Our, mine and the wife's, best experience at a game so far.

Conservative = boring, my arse.

http://www.ohiobobcats.com/sports/m-footbl/recaps/122812a...
Last Edited: 9/18/2015 3:40:23 PM by Bcat2
Brian Smith (No, not that one)
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Posted: 9/18/2015 2:42 PM
I've been frustrated at times (Remember my Austin Everson rants? No? Well, I do.) but the only time I've ever actually questioned whether Solich should be coaching the program was at Louisville. It was clear to me he didn't believe in the team that day. Stewing in 98-degree heat and having to watch that turd of a game didn't help, either.

The thing I've come to respect is he can diagnose a game better than a whole lot of other Power 5 coaches. That shouldn't be a surprise I suppose given his time in an option system, which requires you control a game's tempo and style more than other more open systems. Time after time, I've wondered why he chose the style we play in the first quarter, but by the fourth quarter we've either shortened the game or worn out the other team to the point that it's clear Frank Solich knew what it would take to win that game. So many games I watch on TV, that doesn't happen. Frank Solich is the shortstop who knows exactly how much time he has to get the throw over to first base based on the baserunner. Once in a great, great while somebody will fool him and bust it down the line. But most of the time, he's Omar Vizquel, in that respect.

His game management is his superpower. He's a middling recruiter. He's too conservative for my liking and unwilling to make changes in his staff. But he's a game-manager extraordinaire. I appreciate that more and more as I get older.
Last Edited: 9/18/2015 2:46:27 PM by Brian Smith (No, not that one)
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Posted: 9/18/2015 4:20 PM
The Optimist wrote:expand_more
I'm amazed at the sector of the fanbase that sat around while very little of significance was accomplished in the 30+ years preceding Frank.
We were (are) some loyal folks....
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Posted: 9/18/2015 4:35 PM
Delete Pending wrote:expand_more
I've been frustrated at times (Remember my Austin Everson rants? No? Well, I do.) ...

I probably was on the receiving end of those, because I spent the 9 months between the end of the 2005 season and the start of 2006 arguing that AE was going to be fine, and the people were going to be surprised at how much better he looked. Don't ask me how I knew that...it was just a hunch, and for some reason I had confidence in him.
Monroe Slavin
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Posted: 9/18/2015 9:39 PM
No win over a MAC school what ended up with a winning record n 2.5 years must also be factored in, So must the fact that somewhere between 3-5 games a year are cannot lose games for us (Idaho, tomorrow, Miami, kents, 'kron this year, I imagine).

I've posted that we've generally played well and the D against stupd cow this year was great. So, I think I'm reasonably balanced (unlike bcat2).

Why should someone be fired (didn't say Solich) for the lousy short-clock management. Because it's been here forever. For those of you who see most of our games, do you see 2-4 times a year such bad clock management?

If we glory in our 3-0 home record vs. stupd cow recently, fairness demands an answer to this:

What's our record over the last 6-8 years vs stupd cow at their place or neutral?
Mark Lembright '85
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Posted: 9/18/2015 9:55 PM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
LC: Isn't regression to the mean predicated on largely similar factors of production, or resources? I think Ohio has moved forward in a way that isn't going to change dramatically once Coach Solich retires. I can't see us going back to an undesireable destination for recruits, maybe a hundred people tailgating, and crowds normally under 10,000.

Of course, there is a danger of regressing if we make a bad hire. Or if we get a new university president who doesn't see much value in athletics.

Certainly the facilities upgrades such as the IPF and the Academic center will change the dynamics from the past. The same can be said for the fan-building efforts, which has spread Bobcat fandom to the north and west, and the closer ties to high school programs across the state.

That's why I've said that the contributions Solich have made go far beyond "coaching", and constitute "program building". To merely focus on what has (or hasn't been) achieved on the field significantly understates the contributions that Solich has made to Ohio long term.

Most MAC coaches come in with the plan to come in and coach for a few years, hopefully do well, and then move up and out. Maybe that was what Solich has in mind when he arrived, I don't know, but what he has actually done, from day one, is to constantly try to build the fan base, facilities, and ties to Ohio high school programs across the state, which is something only someone with a long term perspective would do. If you're only planning on being at a place 3-4 years, why worry about an IPF, which would take 5 years of lobbying to get started, a couple more years to raise money, and then another 1-2 years to build?

Because of where Ohio is, I agree, Jeff, I don't think that there is any chance that Ohio will regress to the extent that they were in the 90s. Yet, look at Ohio's history, and you see that after Peden came Widdoes who was pretty good, but not quite as good as Peden. Similarly, after Hess came Burke, who was pretty good, but not quite as good as Hess. (I know I skipped Wise and Kappes who were both very short term). That's more what I was picturing when I talked about regression to the mean, a coach who was close, but not quite as good. Another similar example from another school would be at CMU, where it took a few coaches for them to regress, but they regressed from the top of the MAC to the middle of the MAC West.

In any case, my point is, Ohio could continue to move up, but they could also go the other way. A move in either direction is certainly not a given, and it will be interesting to see how it develops.
I agree LC and I sure hope Ohio progresses, but it seems just as likely they could regress, regardless of the improvements to the facilities. Louisville has pumped tens of millions into their football program recently and they're off to their worst start in over 20 years. Vanderbilt's regressed too. Unless Ohio hires a very good coach after Coach Solich it most certainly will regress.
Last Edited: 9/18/2015 9:56:49 PM by Mark Lembright '85
OhioCatFan
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Posted: 9/18/2015 10:00 PM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
. . . What's our record over the last 6-8 years vs stupd cow at their place or neutral?
"In the deed the glory!"
Bcat2
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Posted: 9/18/2015 10:11 PM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
No win over a MAC school what ended up with a winning record n 2.5 years must also be factored in, So must the fact that somewhere between 3-5 games a year are cannot lose games for us (Idaho, tomorrow, Miami, kents, 'kron this year, I imagine).

I've posted that we've generally played well and the D against stupd cow this year was great. So, I think I'm reasonably balanced (unlike bcat2).

Why should someone be fired (didn't say Solich) for the lousy short-clock management. Because it's been here forever. For those of you who see most of our games, do you see 2-4 times a year such bad clock management?

If we glory in our 3-0 home record vs. stupd cow recently, fairness demands an answer to this:

What's our record over the last 6-8 years vs stupd cow at their place or neutral?
You think you are balanced. You have an example of one series that you don't like in a 21-10 win over Marshall and "someone needs to be fired." You are worried about some record vs MAC schools when Marshall, the team they just beat, handily defeated NIU the defending MAC Champions three games ago. Catch up Monroe, this is a healthy Solich team, the type he fielded to beat Pitt, Penn State, and brought Ohio Bowl wins for the first time in it's history. I know you want MACtion, but, not under Solich and that does not mean anyone needs fired.

Ohio 21 - Marshall 10. Monroe says "Someone needs to be fired." Riiiight.
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Posted: 9/19/2015 1:02 AM
Jeff McKinney wrote:expand_more
LC: Isn't regression to the mean predicated on largely similar factors of production, or resources? I think Ohio has moved forward in a way that isn't going to change dramatically once Coach Solich retires. I can't see us going back to an undesireable destination for recruits, maybe a hundred people tailgating, and crowds normally under 10,000.
The athletics mall has become a great front door for the university and South Green Drive has become the prettiest stretches of campus outside of college green. Athletics facilities were rated #12 in the country I believe in one of the publications. Uptown has spirit stores and sports bars. OU feels like a sports school these days. The next coach in Athens I suspect will be another big name with FBS experience since that approach worked last time. Ohio these days is within the Top 10/Top 15 jobs outside of the power 5 conferences.
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Posted: 9/19/2015 7:11 AM
Uncle Wes wrote:expand_more
LC: Isn't regression to the mean predicated on largely similar factors of production, or resources? I think Ohio has moved forward in a way that isn't going to change dramatically once Coach Solich retires. I can't see us going back to an undesireable destination for recruits, maybe a hundred people tailgating, and crowds normally under 10,000.
The athletics mall has become a great front door for the university and South Green Drive has become the prettiest stretches of campus outside of college green. Athletics facilities were rated #12 in the country I believe in one of the publications. Uptown has spirit stores and sports bars. OU feels like a sports school these days. The next coach in Athens I suspect will be another big name with FBS experience since that approach worked last time. Ohio these days is within the Top 10/Top 15 jobs outside of the power 5 conferences.
Please provide source link about the facilities. Does Ohio pay commensurate to "the Top 10/Top 15 jobs outside of the power 5 conferences."?
L.C.
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Posted: 9/19/2015 8:44 AM
Uncle Wes wrote:expand_more
... The next coach in Athens I suspect will be another big name with FBS experience since that approach worked last time. Ohio these days is within the Top 10/Top 15 jobs outside of the power 5 conferences.

Actually, I would say that it didn't work the last time. The last time Ohio hired a coach with experience at a "Major" school it was Jim Christian, and he showed the risk of that approach, i.e. merely using Ohio as a springboard back.

There is no magic "best approach" to hiring a new coach. It comes down to the judgement of the AD.
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Posted: 9/19/2015 3:06 PM
Bcat2 wrote:expand_more
LC: Isn't regression to the mean predicated on largely similar factors of production, or resources? I think Ohio has moved forward in a way that isn't going to change dramatically once Coach Solich retires. I can't see us going back to an undesireable destination for recruits, maybe a hundred people tailgating, and crowds normally under 10,000.
The athletics mall has become a great front door for the university and South Green Drive has become the prettiest stretches of campus outside of college green. Athletics facilities were rated #12 in the country I believe in one of the publications. Uptown has spirit stores and sports bars. OU feels like a sports school these days. The next coach in Athens I suspect will be another big name with FBS experience since that approach worked last time. Ohio these days is within the Top 10/Top 15 jobs outside of the power 5 conferences.
Please provide source link about the facilities. Does Ohio pay commensurate to "the Top 10/Top 15 jobs outside of the power 5 conferences."?
The Princeton Review last year had Ohio's facilities ranked #8 and its campus ranked #17 in the country. That to me says you've automatically have to be a Top 15 job at the G5 level. Solich's salary is at the very top of the MAC and so is Saul Phillips. That is why I'm confident saying Ohio is the best job in the MAC. It carries the state name of the 7th most populated state so its a great brand to sell on the recruiting trail.

http://www.athensnews.com/news/local/has-ou-lost-its-part...

OU Director of Intercollegiate Athletics Jim Schaus said he's glad to see the No. 8 ranking for athletic facilities. "We take great pride as a staff in providing our student athletes with facilities that will allow them to compete at the highest level," Schaus said. "It is nice to be recognized by the Princeton Review for our current facilities. With that being said, we are always striving for continued excellence in that area."
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Posted: 9/19/2015 3:12 PM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
... The next coach in Athens I suspect will be another big name with FBS experience since that approach worked last time. Ohio these days is within the Top 10/Top 15 jobs outside of the power 5 conferences.

Actually, I would say that it didn't work the last time. The last time Ohio hired a coach with experience at a "Major" school it was Jim Christian, and he showed the risk of that approach, i.e. merely using Ohio as a springboard back.

There is no magic "best approach" to hiring a new coach. It comes down to the judgement of the AD.
Schaus went right back at it hiring Saul Phillips the head coach of North Dakota State after he won a game in the NCAA tournament. How many schools have the ability to hire a Round of 32 coach outside of the power conferences?
Athens
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Posted: 9/19/2015 4:46 PM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
Because of where Ohio is, I agree, Jeff, I don't think that there is any chance that Ohio will regress to the extent that they were in the 90s. Yet, look at Ohio's history, and you see that after Peden came Widdoes who was pretty good, but not quite as good as Peden. Similarly, after Hess came Burke, who was pretty good, but not quite as good as Hess. (I know I skipped Wise and Kappes who were both very short term). That's more what I was picturing when I talked about regression to the mean, a coach who was close, but not quite as good. Another similar example from another school would be at CMU, where it took a few coaches for them to regress, but they regressed from the top of the MAC to the middle of the MAC West.

In any case, my point is, Ohio could continue to move up, but they could also go the other way. A move in either direction is certainly not a given, and it will be interesting to see how it develops.
College Football isn't like derivative trading where historical volatility can be compared with implied volatility to predict the likelihood of price movement. As a general rule football programs are constantly improving year to year on talent evaluation, facilities and technology. When programs do drastically decline it happens for a reason. SMU fell apart with the death penalty and that event was a huge boost to TCU's program. UConn's program has slipped from 5 years ago because they need to be in a BCS conference to get the players up to Storrs. Miami's program has dropped as Cincinnati's program has risen. The improvement at UC started in the 90's in CUSA but Miami's program stayed strong for a while afterwards on coaching continuity but UC's recruiting accelerated moving into the Big East. That made UC an automatic loss on the schedule for Miami and led to coaching turnover at Miami that made the program collapse further. Ohio had latent potential in the MAC with its student support and over time built a great atmosphere other MAC programs can't touch giving it an edge on recruiting in-state players. With the academic center coming online its going to give the next Bobcat coach even more ability to recruit.
Alan Swank
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Posted: 9/19/2015 5:02 PM
Uncle Wes wrote:expand_more
LC: Isn't regression to the mean predicated on largely similar factors of production, or resources? I think Ohio has moved forward in a way that isn't going to change dramatically once Coach Solich retires. I can't see us going back to an undesireable destination for recruits, maybe a hundred people tailgating, and crowds normally under 10,000.
The athletics mall has become a great front door for the university and South Green Drive has become the prettiest stretches of campus outside of college green. Athletics facilities were rated #12 in the country I believe in one of the publications. Uptown has spirit stores and sports bars. OU feels like a sports school these days. The next coach in Athens I suspect will be another big name with FBS experience since that approach worked last time. Ohio these days is within the Top 10/Top 15 jobs outside of the power 5 conferences.
Please provide source link about the facilities. Does Ohio pay commensurate to "the Top 10/Top 15 jobs outside of the power 5 conferences."?
The Princeton Review last year had Ohio's facilities ranked #8 and its campus ranked #17 in the country. That to me says you've automatically have to be a Top 15 job at the G5 level. Solich's salary is at the very top of the MAC and so is Saul Phillips. That is why I'm confident saying Ohio is the best job in the MAC. It carries the state name of the 7th most populated state so its a great brand to sell on the recruiting trail.

http://www.athensnews.com/news/local/has-ou-lost-its-part...

OU Director of Intercollegiate Athletics Jim Schaus said he's glad to see the No. 8 ranking for athletic facilities. "We take great pride as a staff in providing our student athletes with facilities that will allow them to compete at the highest level," Schaus said. "It is nice to be recognized by the Princeton Review for our current facilities. With that being said, we are always striving for continued excellence in that area."
It's funny when we use the Princeton Review when we like the ratings but dismiss it as unscientific rubbish when we don't (party school). You can't have it both ways.
Alan Swank
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Posted: 9/19/2015 5:04 PM
Uncle Wes wrote:expand_more
LC: Isn't regression to the mean predicated on largely similar factors of production, or resources? I think Ohio has moved forward in a way that isn't going to change dramatically once Coach Solich retires. I can't see us going back to an undesireable destination for recruits, maybe a hundred people tailgating, and crowds normally under 10,000.
The athletics mall has become a great front door for the university and South Green Drive has become the prettiest stretches of campus outside of college green. Athletics facilities were rated #12 in the country I believe in one of the publications. Uptown has spirit stores and sports bars. OU feels like a sports school these days. The next coach in Athens I suspect will be another big name with FBS experience since that approach worked last time. Ohio these days is within the Top 10/Top 15 jobs outside of the power 5 conferences.
Not sure when you were last on campus but South Green Drive is far from pretty. As for feeling like a sports town, you have to be kidding me. I was in Columbus this morning and that is a sports town, at least on Saturdays. Sitting on the home side and looking across at the student side, you would be hard pressed to tell what the school colors are.
L.C.
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Posted: 9/19/2015 6:42 PM
Uncle Wes wrote:expand_more
... As a general rule football programs are constantly improving year to year on talent evaluation, facilities and technology. ...

Sorry Wes, but since the comparison from one team to the next is relative, not absolute, it is inherently true that for every team that goes up, another one has to go down.
Monroe Slavin
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Posted: 9/19/2015 10:15 PM
Uncle Wes wrote:expand_more
Because of where Ohio is, I agree, Jeff, I don't think that there is any chance that Ohio will regress to the extent that they were in the 90s. Yet, look at Ohio's history, and you see that after Peden came Widdoes who was pretty good, but not quite as good as Peden. Similarly, after Hess came Burke, who was pretty good, but not quite as good as Hess. (I know I skipped Wise and Kappes who were both very short term). That's more what I was picturing when I talked about regression to the mean, a coach who was close, but not quite as good. Another similar example from another school would be at CMU, where it took a few coaches for them to regress, but they regressed from the top of the MAC to the middle of the MAC West.

In any case, my point is, Ohio could continue to move up, but they could also go the other way. A move in either direction is certainly not a given, and it will be interesting to see how it develops.
College Football isn't like derivative trading where historical volatility can be compared with implied volatility to predict the likelihood of price movement. As a general rule football programs are constantly improving year to year on talent evaluation, facilities and technology. When programs do drastically decline it happens for a reason. SMU fell apart with the death penalty and that event was a huge boost to TCU's program. UConn's program has slipped from 5 years ago because they need to be in a BCS conference to get the players up to Storrs. Miami's program has dropped as Cincinnati's program has risen. The improvement at UC started in the 90's in CUSA but Miami's program stayed strong for a while afterwards on coaching continuity but UC's recruiting accelerated moving into the Big East. That made UC an automatic loss on the schedule for Miami and led to coaching turnover at Miami that made the program collapse further. Ohio had latent potential in the MAC with its student support and over time built a great atmosphere other MAC programs can't touch giving it an edge on recruiting in-state players. With the academic center coming online its going to give the next Bobcat coach even more ability to recruit.


So, you're saying that miami sucks?
Mark Lembright '85
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Posted: 9/19/2015 11:04 PM
My recollection may be incorrect but I was under the impression that the Princeton Review's ranking of athletic facilities referred to the athletic facilities meant for use by the general student population (Ping Athletic Center, tennis courts, golf course, etc.) and not the athletic facilities for the varsity sports teams.

There is no way in you-know-where that Ohio's facilities for its varsity sports team are the 8th best in the country, no way. Omit the Big 10, the Big 12, the SEC and the PAC 10, in reality most of the P5 schools, just Louisville and Cincinnati's facilities alone are better. Akron's facilities are as good or better than Ohio's (Akron has a better football, IPF and state-of-the-art soccer stadium, Ohio has a better basketball arena). Ohio might be in the top half of the MAC but top 8 in the nation? I don't think so.
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