A coin flip? I don't think so. The Gophers are absolutely the better team and they're playing at home. I agree that Ohio can win but it's much less than a 50/50 chance. My gut tells me Ohio is playing the Gophers at the worst possible time and the Gophers win going away rather easily. I'll be surprised if Ohio reaches 10 points but even if they do manage to get to 17 on our D I'm confident the offense scores over 20 and probably over 30. After last week's embarrassing performance this team will be the most focused they've been all year. ...
I agree in part, and disagree in part. I do agree that Minnesota has the better chance, probably an 80-90% chance, especially since it's at home for them. The part where I disagree is that that your thoughts are Gopher-centric, only taking into account how Minnesota will play, and not considering how Ohio will play.
I don't doubt that Minnesota will be focused this week, and will play better. What you miss is that the converse is also true. The Bobcats have an excellent defense, perhaps the best one that Burrow has had at Ohio, and they are not pleased at having given up 14 points to Southeastern Louisiana. I look for them to be very focused, and to play much better this week, more along the lines of how they played against Marshall.
As for Ohio's offense, the same holds true for the Ohio Offensive line and running backs. They were not pleased with their performance against Southeastern Louisiana, and I also look for them to play better this week.
In the end I look for both teams to play significantly better this week than either played last week. Whoever wins will have to win it because neither team is going to give it away. I am expecting a very, very physical game on both sides of the ball, and I'm not expecting a lot of points from either team.
I would add one other thing. No one here will hold your close win against Kent State against you. Kent State, especially their defense, always seems to play mysteriously well againt Ohio, and mysteriously badly against everyone else, so we can certainly sympathize. Our recent games against them:
2014 Ohio 17, Kent 14 (FG at the very end wins it)
2013 Kent St 44, Ohio 13
2012 Kent St 28, Ohio 6
2011 Ohio 17, Kent St 10
2010 Kent St 28, Ohio 6
2009 Kent St 20, Ohio 11
Ohio was bowl eligible all of these 6 years. Kent State was only once, in 2012, yet in these 6 years Ohio averaged 11.6 points, and never exceeded 17.
Last Edited: 9/24/2015 2:32:56 PM by L.C.