Ohio Football Topic
Topic: Fact.
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bshot44
2/15/2016 10:43 AM
I think your fact would've been better stated had it been formed like this:

Ohio has lost 17 games the last three seasons by an average of 22.5 points per game.

Included in that were only four losses by less than 17 points.

And of those 13 double-digit losses, 9 of them came in MAC games by an average of 29 points per game.

When Ohio loses, especially in the MAC, they tend to get their doors blown off more often then not.

Not something you'd like to see from a coaching staff in years 9-11 together.
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doubledribble
2/15/2016 12:34 PM
Yip Yip Yip, Yak Yak Yak ! That noise you hear when you read this thread is the continued beating of a dead horse long after most have tired of the agenda you continue to try to promote! Move on !
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Brian Smith (No, not that one)
2/15/2016 12:42 PM
This thread kidnapped Baird Whitlock AND dropped a nuclear weapon on the Bikini Atoll.
Last Edited: 2/15/2016 12:43:43 PM by Brian Smith (No, not that one)
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The Situation
2/15/2016 12:50 PM
bshot, your version is better stated.

Standard convention requires this information be presented within the context of (at a minimum) the other MAC teams.

IMO, even with relativity established, the specific conditional limitations of the presented information is too subjective for an astute reader.

All this being said,

I still want Monroe to answer my question.

I suspect he is incapable of answering what I would hope many consider to be a reasonable question.

What qualifies as intellectually justified hate?

I ask this question because I suspect that all criticism of Monroe's premise or technical approach is "blind hate". I hope he can answer. But most likely he'll merely approach the question like an asymptote and never satisfy the condition.
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Monroe Slavin
2/15/2016 1:00 PM
Situation--Nothing but love for you, brother.

44--Maybe...but I think it's more a matter of me bringing this up than anything else. That is, if someone other than me had posted my exact words, the reaction would have been different.

The question is not about who will be coach next year or whether there's budget to replace the current staff. I merely asked if we'd hire a staff with this record.
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Monroe Slavin
2/15/2016 1:01 PM
2015

14-49
17-41
24-62
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The Situation
2/15/2016 1:22 PM
Monroe I hope you read my book one day. Surely you'll be discussed at least abstractly. I'll be sure to mail you an autographed copy.

Each chapter will cover a series of phenomenon I've uncovered. There are a number of simple questions that are seemingly impossible for liberals to answer. I'm not talking right or wrong answers. I'm talking liberals literally glitching when asked the question. It's bizzare.

For example, one chapter may ask a liberal to define the word "fair" in the context of the tax code. Another may ask a liberal to define the phrase "same work" in the context of the alleged "gender pay gap". Or something simple like asking a liberal to define the number of "races" in the context of "racism".

Anyway stay posted, I have a long road of unaswered questions ahead.
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L.C.
2/15/2016 1:43 PM
bshot44 wrote:expand_more
...And of those 13 double-digit losses
...

The converse of the double digit losses is that during the last 3 years, in games decided by less than a touchdown, Ohio is 8-3. How would you feel if Ohio had no double digit losses, but was 3-8 in close games?

Neither piece of data is very useful, in my opinion. 2013-14 was a rebuilding period, so data from that time doesn't tell you a lot. The only thing I really get from it is that, because they were rebuilding, Ohio was at times overmatched, but when the game was winnable, they still got it done more often than not. A more useful time period will be 2015-2017, but of course many of those games have yet to be played. I'm very much looking forward to the next couple years.

Getting back to the big losses, though, I attribute them to a large degree to the Cover-4 defense. When it works, it is awesome to watch. When it breaks down, it can be ugly. The Cover-2 was a bend-but-don't break defense, so it didn't end up in big losses very often. I'm very ambivalent about whether that was a good move or not. Over the longer term, defensive recruiting has improved significantly since the switch, so it may well have been a good decision for the long term, even if there is some short term pain.
Last Edited: 2/15/2016 1:48:29 PM by L.C.
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mid70sbobcat
2/15/2016 2:23 PM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
If you met me, you'd find that I don't talk a lot. I learn a lot more by speaking that wagging my tongue. (Learning is big on my list.) And I'm not sure that I have a lot to add to most discussions or that people care for or need my input.

When I do speak or write, I've given it some thought.
Thanks for a chuckle!

You say you don't talk a lot but in the next sentence you say "I learn a lot more by SPEAKING than wagging my tongue" ...

Speaking is talking!! :)

I won't belabor my points. But just to show how choosing a subset of data is nonsensical how about this .... if I didn't have B's and C's while in Athens I'd have graduated with a 4.0!!!

If I didn't make a double bogey and 4 bogeys I'd have shot 68.

If I didn't miss 9 FT's my senior year in high school I'd have shot 100% from the line.

One can go on and on and I hope you get the point.
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Monroe Slavin
2/15/2016 3:49 PM
I realize now from some of the pm's I've received and from the posts on this board that there's a group that wants Solich as coach no matter what.

It would take a disaster for them to want him gone.

Wait--in his 9th thru his 11 years here he had that: 12 double digit loss by an average of 27 points. 27 points. 12 games, on average.

Then you get people who say that those are not very indicative. What?

Rebuilding in his 9th year?....rebuilding from what--it was never built... or the total genius of 'if these didn't happen'....Uh, they did.

Solich Football Bunch (SFB) won't even admit that these 12 games indicate something of a problem.

Impressive.



So, maybe these 12 were a good thing?
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bshot44
2/15/2016 4:10 PM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
...And of those 13 double-digit losses
...

2013-14 was a rebuilding period, so data from that time doesn't tell you a lot. The only thing I really get from it is that, because they were rebuilding, Ohio was at times overmatched, but when the game was winnable, they still got it done more often than not. .....
Maybe it's just me, but a coach in their 9th year at a program that has same staff in the MAC shouldn't have to "rebuild" should he? They should just re-load? Right?

When was the last time NIU rebuilt?

Why has Ohio failed to build themselves into a consistent title contender with a coaching staff that has been in place 10+ years?

I think those are valid questions.
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Jeff McKinney
2/15/2016 4:23 PM
Is it disappointing that Ohio has yet to win a MACC under Coach Solich? Yes

But...Does a long tenure automatically mean that a staff then transcends the normal cyclical nature of wins-losses? I would argue, "no". Even with a 12 year tenure, you're still going to have cycles of performance at the mid major level. I realize it was a different era, but didn't Coach Hess experience up and down cycles?

NIU is one of the very few mid majors that has escaped the up and down cycles and has contended vritually every year. I tip my cap to them, but it's not the norm.

Having said that, I hope this program at Ohio is committed to winning a MACC ASAP. I can understand the lack of patience w this.
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Monroe Slavin
2/15/2016 4:29 PM
Thank you, Jeff. If others had posted the same, I'd stop.

But I see unreasonable, absolute, unquestionging support from so many.
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Monroe Slavin
2/15/2016 4:36 PM
Situation--good to know that your, alleged, book won't have any inherent bias. How'd that rightside-impaneled grand jury down in TX work out for you? Y'know, the one that was going to indict the bad guys but instead indicted people who made the video about the bad guys.

L.C. Haven't you at least once in prior years predicted that a team would be Solich's best--but that didn't prove to be so. So, now your willing to give him 2015-17--three more years--despite the large pitfalls of the last three years? Hey, if 2015-17 don't work out, there's always 2018-20. If one of your employees absolutely tanked about 33% of his work, would you keep him on because, hey, he'll be better over the next three years? We were so close to victory in SEAsia if those lousy liberals hadn't ruined it for us.


I have a sense of humor. I'm enjoying this.

Thank you for making it so easy for me.
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Robert Fox
2/15/2016 4:38 PM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
Thank you, Jeff. If others had posted the same, I'd stop.
I don't think you would. Because I've seen plenty of your opponents post that they want a MAC Championship and are NOT satisfied with not having one. And yet, you persist. No, you want something far more than simple acknowledgement of disappointment. I think you're more interested in building a ground-swell of discord with the program--so potent that the AD will feel significant pressure and be forced to make changes.

That's the ONLY thing that will make you stop.
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bshot44
2/15/2016 4:38 PM
Jeff McKinney wrote:expand_more
Is it disappointing that Ohio has yet to win a MACC under Coach Solich? Yes

But...Does a long tenure automatically mean that a staff then transcends the normal cyclical nature of wins-losses? I would argue, "no". Even with a 12 year tenure, you're still going to have cycles of performance at the mid major level. I realize it was a different era, but didn't Coach Hess experience up and down cycles?

NIU is one of the very few mid majors that has escaped the up and down cycles and has contended vritually every year. I tip my cap to them, but it's not the norm.

Having said that, I hope this program at Ohio is committed to winning a MACC ASAP. I can understand the lack of patience w this.
Jeff....I agree. NIU along with Boise have somehow been immune to rebuilding as mid-majors (although, Boise is closer to major status than NIU)

Marshall had a long stretch of dominance with no re-building when they were in the MAC...but since they've changes leagues, that hasn't been the story.

Boise's success was tied to Chris Petersen's long run there...was there for 8 years and only won less than 10 games once (final year won 8). Did a great job maintaining what Dan Hawkins started.

NIU has been impressive that they've been able to maintain with 3 different coaches (Kill, Doeren, Carey).

I guess I just look at NIU and say "Why the hell can't Ohio do that?" Doesn't seem so far fetched to think they can? Frustrating that they don't.
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L.C.
2/15/2016 10:16 PM
bshot44 wrote:expand_more
Maybe it's just me, but a coach in their 9th year at a program that has same staff in the MAC shouldn't have to "rebuild" should he? They should just re-load? Right?... [/QUOTE]
No one is ever completely immune to rebuilding. As we have covered many times, Ohio had a particular need to rebuild because of a unique circumstance. First, the 2010 recruiting class was not good, and then, because an incredible number of season-ending and in many cases, career-ending injuries in 2012, talented younger players were badly needed, and weren't there. By the time any of us realized there was a problem, it was 2013, and the problem had long since been corrected.


[QUOTE=Monroe Slavin] L.C. Haven't you at least once in prior years predicted that a team would be Solich's best--but that didn't prove to be so.
...

To the best of my knowledge, here are the long-range predictions I have made:
2005 - I said that 2006 would be better, and that Everson would be fine as a QB.
2006 - I said that because of heavy losses, 2007, and perhaps 2008 would be worse.
about 2008 - I predicted that 2011 would be undefeated, and that Ohio would beat Penn State in 2012.
Since 2013 or so I have been predicting that 2015 would be better than 2014, and that 2016 and 2017 would be the best two best teams yet.

So, my expectations were exceeded by the 2006 team, and I was a bit overly optimistic about the 2011 team, which lost four games, by 12 to a Rutgers team that was better than I expected, by 1 to Buffalo, by 3 to Ball State, and by 3 to NIU. While they weren't undefeated, it was certainly a good team.

Will 2016 and 2017 be as good as I think? I certainly hope so, but there's no such thing as a sure thing, and much will depend on the attitude and work ethic of the players.
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allen
2/16/2016 12:05 AM
The truth is, the coaching has been average over the last three years. The coaches have not amassed an impressive resume over the last three years. The coaching has been better in the Solich era than what we have had in the past. We have been to bowls and we have won the MAC East, but now we are in a tail spin. The people who personally like the coaches defend them to no end. They brag about being 2-12 against winning MAC, teams, they say both wins came last year and others like Monroe say the bar is way too low. I say if we don't win the MAC or see significant progress this year, we should make a change, we should not allow our program to crater. I thank Solich for turning the program around, if he cannot take us to the next level, we need to look elsewhere. If it were not for the late recruiting push, we would have had one of the MAC's worst recruiting classes, as it stands, we ended up in the middle of the pack, and teams that made coaching changes out recruited us on paper. Giving credit where credit is due, we have been able to coach up players, we have also allowed players to continually play at mediocre levels like Tettleton. We need to improve, the coaches have not been great. Go Cats
Last Edited: 2/16/2016 8:29:37 AM by allen
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Monroe Slavin
2/16/2016 2:33 AM
Robert Fox: 1) No. Incorrecto. 2) How 'bout that TX grand jury?


I love how the Solich Football Bunch (SFB) just won't answer the question about should we hire a guy like the fact.


Anyone know if Situation Manny has been speaking English long? ...C'mon--I kid because I love!
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The Situation
2/16/2016 7:14 AM
Monroe I have no idea what you're referring to in Texas. If you're referencing it as some sort of knock on conservatives I can tell you that disproving the follower doesn't disprove the principle. That'd be like saying the scientific method is broken because some schmuck in Los Angeles can't properly assemble a useful comparison of stats.

As for bias. Well, by this age you should know bias cant be eliminated. It's impossible. However bias can be reduced through transparent methodology and clearly stated criteria.

When we understand how someone came to a conclusion we can judge them on the merits of their methodology and criteria alone. Their personal bias becomes less relevant.

So when I have an opinion that the word "fair" in the context of the tax code means everyone should be taxed the same rate I'm not stating it's right or wrong. But because how I stated my opinion, it's easy for most people to see where specifically we could disagree.

But when you have an opinion that "fair" in the context of the tax code means the hungriest people at the party should get more slices of pizza it opens a never ending loop of more questions. You then have to define "hungriest" in the context of the tax code, on so on. And at no point can anyone tell you where specifically they disagree.

People are telling you where specifically they disagree with your methodology. Youre failing to satisfy basic standard conventions for the presentation of data. My criticism of you is valid even if I've wanted Frank Solich fired for years.

And anyway, are you going to answer the question or just start glitching? I gave you a very clearly defined opportunity to prove me wrong by answering a simple and fair question. This isn't reverse psychology.
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Robert Fox
2/16/2016 9:00 AM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
Robert Fox: 1) No. Incorrecto. 2) How 'bout that TX grand jury?


I love how the Solich Football Bunch (SFB) just won't answer the question about should we hire a guy like the fact.


Anyone know if Situation Manny has been speaking English long? ...C'mon--I kid because I love!
Amazing to me that you spend so much time in the pursuit of getting one man fired. Kind of sick, really. It's a game, at a mid-major school, in middle-of-nowhere midwest. Yet you devote countless keystrokes to a crusade to unseat Frank Solich, all the while expounding your keen skill working with logic and reason. Delicious irony.

Seriously, this may be a case study in lunacy. You know Solich is not going anywhere, yet you continue the endless, pointless drivel.

It's an obsession with you. Frank Solich is your white whale. And you are Captain Ahab, slowly losing your mind as you lose your grip.

"for there is no folly of the (coach) of (Ohio) which is not infinitely outdone by the madness of men."
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Bcat2
2/16/2016 9:27 AM
allen wrote:expand_more
The truth is, the coaching has been average over the last three years. The coaches have not amassed an impressive resume over the last three years. The coaching has been better in the Solich era than what we have had in the past. We have been to bowls and we have won the MAC East, but now we are in a tail spin. The people who personally like the coaches defend them to no end. They brag about being 2-12 against winning MAC, teams, they say both wins came last year and others like Monroe say the bar is way too low. I say if we don't win the MAC or see significant progress this year, we should make a change, we should not allow our program to crater. I thank Solich for turning the program around, if he cannot take us to the next level, we need to look elsewhere. If it were not for the late recruiting push, we would have had one of the MAC's worst recruiting classes, as it stands, we ended up in the middle of the pack, and teams that made coaching changes out recruited us on paper. Giving credit where credit is due, we have been able to coach up players, we have also allowed players to continually play at mediocre levels like Tettleton. We need to improve, the coaches have not been great. Go Cats


I love your "We." "We need to improve." Moving on, "we are in a tailspin." We should not allow our program to crater." Your team in a "tailspin" went from 6-6 to 8-5, beat the West Division Champs NIU, beat 10-3 Marshall and managed to improve "significantly" in nearly every offensive statistical category recorded by the MAC. Your gibberish about recruiting, "if not for," "would have been." attempts to discount very good recruiting that did happen. "Out recruited us on paper." You are unhappy, so what else is new. However, 2015 happened, it was "significantly better" than 2014. Ohio is trending upward. That is "Fact."
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allen
2/16/2016 10:20 AM
Bobcat 2, my perception is my perception. Anytime we lose to 3 MAC teams by more than three touchdowns, I cannot dub that an upswing. I hope we have a great year. The fact is, three years ago we were a top tier MAC team and the last three years we have been a middle of the pack team that has not been competitive in over 85% of the games against the MAC's top teams. We have not lost many coaches like other programs that have won, why would we go backwards? The team in my opinion is in a tail spin, maybe the end of the year is indicative of our future or maybe we will collapse again after the fourth game. I hope we win the MAC next year. God bless
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Bcat2
2/16/2016 10:55 AM
allen wrote:expand_more
Bobcat 2, my perception is my perception. Anytime we lose to 3 MAC teams by more than three touchdowns, I cannot dub that an upswing. I hope we have a great year. The fact is, three years ago we were a top tier MAC team and the last three years we have been a middle of the pack team that has not been competitive in over 85% of the games against the MAC's top teams. We have not lost many coaches like other programs that have won, why would we go backwards? The team in my opinion is in a tail spin, maybe the end of the year is indicative of our future or maybe we will collapse again after the fourth game. I hope we win the MAC next year. God bless
Thank you, above you acknowledge that Ohio during a rebuilding cycle falls way down to "middle of the pack." I can accept that. The lows continue to be higher and currently Ohio is trending upward to what to what "we" can hope will be a new higher high. So the floor of your tail spin was a middle of the pack 6-6 which is now more than a year in the past, get over yourself. God bless
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allen
2/16/2016 11:10 AM
Bcat2 wrote:expand_more
Bobcat 2, my perception is my perception. Anytime we lose to 3 MAC teams by more than three touchdowns, I cannot dub that an upswing. I hope we have a great year. The fact is, three years ago we were a top tier MAC team and the last three years we have been a middle of the pack team that has not been competitive in over 85% of the games against the MAC's top teams. We have not lost many coaches like other programs that have won, why would we go backwards? The team in my opinion is in a tail spin, maybe the end of the year is indicative of our future or maybe we will collapse again after the fourth game. I hope we win the MAC next year. God bless
Thank you, above you acknowledge that Ohio during a rebuilding cycle falls way down to "middle of the pack." I can accept that. The lows continue to be higher and currently Ohio is trending upward to what to what "we" can hope will be a new higher high. So the floor of your tail spin was a middle of the pack 6-6 which is now more than a year in the past, get over yourself. God bless
emotions. emotions, I keep thinking of the song hush little baby, don't you cry, daddy's going to sing you a lullaby.
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