Ohio Football Topic
Topic: Athlon Rates Ohio's Coaching Best In MAC
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GoCats105
5/17/2017 11:59 AM
Bshot: the Novak things sticks out to me in that list. Novak laid the ground work and couldn't get over the hump. Frank is doing the same.
Last Edited: 5/17/2017 12:00:59 PM by GoCats105
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bshot44
5/17/2017 12:19 PM
GoCats105 wrote:expand_more
Bshot: the Novak things sticks out to me in that list. Novak laid the ground work and couldn't get over the hump. Frank is doing the same.
Agree. I think their paths are pretty similar....except that Frank never had to endure the lowest of lows like Novak did...and I don't believe he's experienced the peak of success Novak has either.

Frank inherited a mess...no doubt.

But NIU was in a different boat....transitioning from the Big West (?!?!) back into the MAC. And that transition was rough.

Novak went 3-30 his first three years....compared to 19-18 for Frank.

And to take the comparison a bit further, while the time frames are that far apart, the era of CFB are greatly different.

For instance...in 2003, NIU went 10-2 (including a win on the road vs. a ranked Alabama team)...was ranked as high as #12 in the country (in a year where three MAC teams were top 15 at one point) AND THEY DIDN'T EARN A BOWL BID!?!?!?!

In comparison, all of Frank's 8 bowl invites came to teams with 9 wins or less.

It might only be a few years, but it's a different landscape in college football. What Novak did in his era might be looked at a little more impressively than what Frank has accomplished in the "every team with a pulse earns a bowl bid" era.

And while we won't know unless we hop in our Delorian and head to 2032.....do you think Ohio football in 15 years will have the same run post-Solich that NIU did post-Novak?

Maybe? Maybe not? I'd like to think our facilities, brand awareness, foundation ... all groundwork laid during Solich era ... sets Ohio up to have that type of success. We just won't know until Frank steps aside and the next era begins.

NIU was fortunate that Novak was followed up Jerry Kill & Dave Doeren before Rod Carey. Kill and Doeren went on to P5 coaching jobs to varying degrees of success.

What Ohio's future holds is intriguing ... but we'll never know until Frank steps aside. And when that is seems to be anyone's guess.
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OhioCatFan
5/17/2017 12:24 PM
Looking at Nehlen's record at BG, you'd get the idea that he was all washed up after those nine seasons, if you didn't know the rest of the story. He goes to WVU and in his 14th year there (23rd season as a college head coach) he wins his first conference title. Now, I must note that his first 11 years at WVU they were an independent. It's also instructive to note that in the three years leading up to the Big East title, his records were 4-7, 6-5 and 5-4-2. I suspect that Mountaineer Monroe was calling for his canning as a too conservative, has-been coach. Then in 1993 he goes 11-1 (7-0 in BE). I think it's premature to predict with any level of confidence that Frank can't win a MACC. He's come awfully close twice, and it looks like his best teams are yet to come.
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GoCats105
5/17/2017 12:40 PM
OhioCatFan wrote:expand_more
Looking at Nehlen's record at BG, you'd get the idea that he was all washed up after those nine seasons, if you didn't know the rest of the story. He goes to WVU and in his 14th year there (23rd season as a college head coach) he wins his first conference title. Now, I must note that his first 11 years at WVU they were an independent. It's also instructive to note that in the three years leading up to the Big East title, his records were 4-7, 6-5 and 5-4-2. I suspect that Mountaineer Monroe was calling for his canning as a too conservative, has-been coach. Then in 1993 he goes 11-1 (7-0 in BE). I think it's premature to predict with any level of confidence that Frank can't win a MACC. He's come awfully close twice, and it looks like his best teams are yet to come.
Completely different eras of football and also fan expectations. People were more loyal back then were they not?
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bshot44
5/17/2017 12:52 PM
OhioCatFan wrote:expand_more
Looking at Nehlen's record at BG, you'd get the idea that he was all washed up after those nine seasons, if you didn't know the rest of the story. He goes to WVU and in his 14th year there (23rd season as a college head coach) he wins his first conference title. Now, I must note that his first 11 years at WVU they were an independent. It's also instructive to note that in the three years leading up to the Big East title, his records were 4-7, 6-5 and 5-4-2. I suspect that Mountaineer Monroe was calling for his canning as a too conservative, has-been coach. Then in 1993 he goes 11-1 (7-0 in BE). [/QUOTE]You failed to mention that in 1988 Nehlen led WVU to the national title game. That bought him a lot of equity from 'Eers fans.

The following year after the '88 Fiesta Bowl season they went 8-3-1.

The 4-7 season came when they were replacing maybe the greatest WVU QB of all-time, Major Harris, with a guy (Greg Jones) who had thrown 59 passes in his career before that season. A falloff wasn't a shock.

The 6-5 season started 5-2 and ended with three losses on the road at #6, #2 & #16.

The 5-4-2 season you mentioned...they started 3-0-2, were ranked...then lost in consecutive weeks to #14, #14, #1 in very competitive games.

It's also worth nothing that Nehlen won the Bluebonnet Bowl in 1984 and then lost his next 8 bowls games before winning the Music City Bowl in 2000, his last season at WVU.

[QUOTE=OhioCatFan] I think it's premature to predict with any level of confidence that Frank can't win a MACC. He's come awfully close twice, and it looks like his best teams are yet to come.
I've heard this song for years .... his best teams are yet to come. What does that mean? Having two guys drafted and another one sign a UDFA contract from their defense isn't good enough to win a MACC? Oh, that's right .... it wasn't.

Having arguably the best QB in Ohio history (Tettleton) and some serious weapons/some future NFL talent around him (Price, Brazill, Foster, Blankenship, Bates) wasn't enough to get one?

He's had the talent to win a MACC and hasn't. Period. He did come awfully close a few times....but that is all. Awfully close.

I just don't see how 12 years of topping out at "awfully close" leads me to believe that he'll steal one in the next few years. We've peaked as a program under Solich. He's still a pretty good football coach and better than a lot of guys out there. But 8-4 is probably our ceiling going forward....the typical 2-2 out of conference, 5-3 or 6-2 MAC record. What has happened in the last 5 seasons .... or the last 12 ....that gives you belief that suddenly that's going to change for our 72 year old coach?
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Sam bobcat
5/17/2017 1:43 PM
We came within one score of winning the MACC last year against a team that was so good that people thought we would get embarrassed. And your response is that this coach will never be able to win us a championship? I will respectfully disagree with that. I think Solich is one of the few MAC coaches that have a realistic opportunity to do so.
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Bcat2
5/17/2017 2:09 PM
Sam bobcat wrote:expand_more
We came within one score of winning the MACC last year against a team that was so good that people thought we would get embarrassed. And your response is that this coach will never be able to win us a championship? I will respectfully disagree with that. I think Solich is one of the few MAC coaches that have a realistic opportunity to do so.
+1
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GoCats105
5/17/2017 3:16 PM
Sam bobcat wrote:expand_more
We came within one score of winning the MACC last year against a team that was so good that people thought we would get embarrassed. And your response is that this coach will never be able to win us a championship? I will respectfully disagree with that. I think Solich is one of the few MAC coaches that have a realistic opportunity to do so.
That same coach had Ohio up 20-0 in the MAC title at halftime 5 years ago and they ended up losing. That was a better shot than last year.
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Deciduous Forest Cat
5/17/2017 4:44 PM
If we keep getting there, eventually we're going to make that one play that gets it done in crunch time. Do we have that QB with ice in his veins, who's going to make the tough throw at the end? Only TT in recent memory did that for us... ever, but unfortunately not in his one title appearance.
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Sam bobcat
5/17/2017 5:43 PM
GoCats105 wrote:expand_more
We came within one score of winning the MACC last year against a team that was so good that people thought we would get embarrassed. And your response is that this coach will never be able to win us a championship? I will respectfully disagree with that. I think Solich is one of the few MAC coaches that have a realistic opportunity to do so.
That same coach had Ohio up 20-0 in the MAC title at halftime 5 years ago and they ended up losing. That was a better shot than last year.
Mark Levy took the bills to 4 straight Superbowls without winning one. No one considered firing him for it. Coaches can prepare you and get you there, but I still believe that it's up to the players to execute the game plan and win big games. It's very easy to blame the coach when they fail to do so. The fact that coach Solich has gotten our team to the MACC more than once only strengthens my belief in him as a coach that can deliver a championship. Will he? I don't know. Can he? I believe he can. Do I believe OHIO is fortunate to have him? Without a doubt.
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OhioCatFan
5/17/2017 6:01 PM
OK, I finally get it. In the case of Nehlen you are allowed to cite "almost wins" but in the case of Frank you are not allowed to do this. Two MACC losses by less than a TD don't count, and can't be used in assessing Frank's coaching ability, but Nehlen's competitive losses to ranked teams and in the so-called national championship game give him coaching credibility. As long as I understand the ground rules and the assumptions, I'm in a position of saying that your logic is impeccable and the conclusions unassailable.
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L.C.
5/17/2017 11:19 PM
bshot44 wrote:expand_more
....
I've heard this song for years .... his best teams are yet to come. What does that mean? Having two guys drafted and another one sign a UDFA contract from their defense isn't good enough to win a MACC? Oh, that's right .... it wasn't.
...

I'm sure that you realize that WMU had more and higher draft picks than Ohio, so I'm not sure what point you were trying to make here. In any case, I have a couple questions for you, if you don't mind. First, do you think that Ohio's recruiting classes are getting better, or staying about the same? Second, if you think that Ohio's recruiting classes are improving, do you think that will ultimately be reflected in team quality, and why, or why not?
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Monroe Slavin
5/18/2017 12:45 AM
Bcat2 wrote:expand_more
We came within one score of winning the MACC last year against a team that was so good that people thought we would get embarrassed. And your response is that this coach will never be able to win us a championship? I will respectfully disagree with that. I think Solich is one of the few MAC coaches that have a realistic opportunity to do so.
+1
No.

We were 8-6 last year after 8-5 the year before. We play the teams that we play so no matter how you look at it; our record was worse this past season than the one prior despite the presence of many All-MAC.

I'm not so sure that a coach in his 70's who hasn't won a league title in 12 years or developed many qb's very much is attractive to recruits.

Will someone point out to me many instances of Solich staff strategy or inspiration turning the tide and beating teams which we 'shouldn't have.' Probably Pitt at Peden. Maybe vs Penn State at their place. Otherwise, about none. Solich is what he is; 20-0 to 20-23 is too representative.

Odds that all four of these work out such that we have a good year this coming season have got to be small: key losses on D, holes to fill on O-line, little proven returning at qb and wideout.


Yes, I get it. I'm repeating again. But these is pretty much facts. Tell me the likelihood of us overcoming all of the four apparent deficits. 'Cause if we don't solve those things, we have serious vulnerabilities.
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Monroe Slavin
5/18/2017 12:46 AM
People and things tend to be what they are. Anyone surprised at the state of America given what we saw on the campaign trail?

Same with winning a MACC after 12 years of not.
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Kevin Finnegan
5/18/2017 1:52 PM
I hate that I'm going into the gutter, but I'll do it all the same.

I understand the complaint that Solich hasn't won a MACC. That's a certifiable fact and the concern that he hasn't done so in 12 years is justified. What I don't get is the complaint that he 'won't' or 'can't' win one.

There were eight conference title games before Solich arrived in the MAC. During that time, OHIO never once made the championship game. That, too, is a fact.

In the twelve years since Solich arrived, OHIO has made the title game four times. They are averaging an appearance once every three years. I could see that getting even better this upcoming year.

So I guess the question should be, "Can OHIO with Solich game plan to win a MACC in isolation?" He's getting us to the finish line, we just haven't been able to cross it.

I would compare this to our bowl games. He has not fared well in these games either, admittedly, holding a record of 2-6. However, he has gotten OHIO over the hump on occasion. He's getting us where we want to go, he's just not completing the trip consistently.

That's another valid complaint. But that doesn't mean he 'won't' or 'can't'. If you watch the MACC, those games always seem to be a toss-up, with surprising results often. Thus, if the thought is that each team has a 50/50 shot (and I think the Lefevre years and last year weren't really 50/50), Solich has had some unfortunate luck.

Solich won a conference title at Nebraska in 1999, proving he could win the title. I just hope that day comes at OHIO as well.
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L.C.
5/18/2017 10:37 PM
finnOhio wrote:expand_more
....I would compare this to our bowl games. He has not fared well in these games either, admittedly, holding a record of 2-6. ....

I got to thinking about this comment, and I wondered, how have MAC teams overall fared? I went to look at the history, and what I found was very interesting. While the number of bowls was long been increasing, the growth began in earnest in 2006. From 2002-05 there were 28 bowls, which jumped to 32 in 2006, and was up to 41 by last year. As the number of bowls grew, the number of MAC teams needed for fodder also grew.

Prior to 2006, it seems, only MAC teams that were very good got bowl invitations. From 2000-2005 there were 2.3 MAC teams a year in bowls, and those teams fared well. During the 2000-2005 time period, MAC teams were a combined 9-5 in bowls, an outstanding record.

From 2006-16, as the number of bowls exploded, so did the number of MAC teams. They jumped to 5 MAC teams a year, doubling the prior number. The "everyone goes to a bowl" era was on...but... going to a bowl and winning it are two different things. From 2006-16, the MAC only had a winning record in bowl games in one year, that being 2011 when they were 4-1. Next best was 2-2 in 2010. Meanwhile they went winless four times, 2007, 2008, 2013, and 2016. Combined, MAC teams were 15-40 from 2006-16. That's a winning percentage of 27%. I guess Ohio's win record of 2-6, 25% is probably about middle of the conference.

It seems to me that Ohio has gotten tough draws in bowls more often than not. Teams like ECU, App State, and Troy were not weak bowl teams. That got me wondering another related question. How often has Ohio been favored in bowls? I can't recall.
Last Edited: 5/18/2017 10:37:53 PM by L.C.
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bshot44
5/19/2017 2:57 AM
OhioCatFan wrote:expand_more
OK, I finally get it. In the case of Nehlen you are allowed to cite "almost wins" but in the case of Frank you are not allowed to do this. Two MACC losses by less than a TD don't count, and can't be used in assessing Frank's coaching ability, but Nehlen's competitive losses to ranked teams and in the so-called national championship game give him coaching credibility. As long as I understand the ground rules and the assumptions, I'm in a position of saying that your logic is impeccable and the conclusions unassailable.
Nehlen accomplished tangible things. Conference titles...11-0 seasons. Solich has accomplished nothing like that. A couple bowl wins is nice, but nothing like what Nehlen did at WVU.

Comparing the two is silly

When Ohio goes undefeated and plays for a potential national title twice in five years like Nehlen did at WVU...we'll start to compare them.

Hell.... when Ohio plays a schedule anything like WVU did during Nehlen era we can compare him.

So yes... almost wins over top 15 competition on a yearly basis carries a little more weight than almost wins in MACC 4 times in 12 years... or almost wins over powerhouses like Eastern Michigan on your home field.

I didn't say Solich should be fired.

I stated my opinion that I don't think he'll win a MACC.

I stated fact that he is one of longest tenured coaches in MAC history to not win a title (and two years from staking claim to that all by himself)

Argue my opinion all you want. But the facts are the facts
Last Edited: 5/19/2017 3:02:00 AM by bshot44
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bshot44
5/19/2017 3:13 AM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
....
I've heard this song for years .... his best teams are yet to come. What does that mean? Having two guys drafted and another one sign a UDFA contract from their defense isn't good enough to win a MACC? Oh, that's right .... it wasn't.
...

I'm sure that you realize that WMU had more and higher draft picks than Ohio, so I'm not sure what point you were trying to make here. In any case, I have a couple questions for you, if you don't mind. First, do you think that Ohio's recruiting classes are getting better, or staying about the same? Second, if you think that Ohio's recruiting classes are improving, do you think that will ultimately be reflected in team quality, and why, or why not?
Is recruiting getting better? I don't know. Neither do you, quite honestly. We don't recruit 4 & 5 star kids, so it's almost pointless to rate it.

Ultimate answers will be in the results the next 4 years. The last 4 years have been littered with above-average results (29-23, 19-13), zero titles & zero bowl wins. Facts.

I don't see much that leads me to believe the next four years won't bring similar results. 8-5, 5-3/6-2 seasons. That's Ohio Football. It is what it is.
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Bcat2
5/19/2017 6:20 AM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
....I would compare this to our bowl games. He has not fared well in these games either, admittedly, holding a record of 2-6. ....

I got to thinking about this comment, and I wondered, how have MAC teams overall fared? I went to look at the history, and what I found was very interesting. While the number of bowls was long been increasing, the growth began in earnest in 2006. From 2002-05 there were 28 bowls, which jumped to 32 in 2006, and was up to 41 by last year. As the number of bowls grew, the number of MAC teams needed for fodder also grew.

Prior to 2006, it seems, only MAC teams that were very good got bowl invitations. From 2000-2005 there were 2.3 MAC teams a year in bowls, and those teams fared well. During the 2000-2005 time period, MAC teams were a combined 9-5 in bowls, an outstanding record.

From 2006-16, as the number of bowls exploded, so did the number of MAC teams. They jumped to 5 MAC teams a year, doubling the prior number. The "everyone goes to a bowl" era was on...but... going to a bowl and winning it are two different things. From 2006-16, the MAC only had a winning record in bowl games in one year, that being 2011 when they were 4-1. Next best was 2-2 in 2010. Meanwhile they went winless four times, 2007, 2008, 2013, and 2016. Combined, MAC teams were 15-40 from 2006-16. That's a winning percentage of 27%. I guess Ohio's win record of 2-6, 25% is probably about middle of the conference.

It seems to me that Ohio has gotten tough draws in bowls more often than not. Teams like ECU, App State, and Troy were not weak bowl teams. That got me wondering another related question. How often has Ohio been favored in bowls? I can't recall.

In the 94 bowl games MAC teams have played the MAC prevailed only 34 times, 17 of those 34 being by Toledo & Miami.
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Bcat2
5/19/2017 7:03 AM
bshot44 wrote:expand_more
It's really hard to take this "poll" by Athlon's serious.

Frank = 13th yr

No other coach has more than 5 yrs of tenure at a MAC school

Jinks (BG) - 2nd yr
Candle (UT)-2nd yr
Creighton (EMU) - 4th yr
Martin (MU) - 4th yr
Carey (NIU) - 6th yr
Bowden (UA) - 6th yr
Haynes (Kent) - 5th yr
Leipold (UB) - 3rd yr
Neu (BSU) - 2nd yr
Lester (WMU) - 1st yr
Bonamego (CMU) - 3rd yr

How many of these coaches, if given 12 yrs, would have at least one MACC?

I don't know....and I doubt we ever will. Why? Because coaches typically don't spend 12 yrs in the MAC!

So by seniority, Frank wins this "poll" by Athlons. No other coach, except for maybe Carey and Bowden, have a body of work that are able to be judged against Frank's. It's not because Frank has been so ultra-successful...it's because he has 7 YEARS ON EVERY OTHER COACH IN THE LEAGUE.

Do I think Jason Candle wins multiple MACC if he stays at Toledo for 12 years.....yep.

Do I think the same for Chuck Martin at Miami...yep.

Do I think the same for Mike Jinks at BG....maybe.

I'd take the vegas line that every coach on here, except for maybe Bowden & Haynes, might win a MACC if given 12 years at their respective school.

Do I think Frank ever wins one at Ohio.....probably not. Proof is in the track record. If he hasn't won one in 12 years, I don't think it's coming. This isn't the SEC or the B1G. It's the MAC. 12 years is more than enough time to fall into a MACC.

Does this mean Frank is a bad coach. No. Simple answer...no.

Does this poll mean Frank is an exemplary coach. I would say no as well.

He's a pretty good football coach. Not a great one. Is the best Ohio has had in 30 yrs....without question. But it's apples and oranges to compare him to Hess or Peden. Totally different eras. Totally different job descriptions now. Running a program in 2017 is much, much different than it was in 1968 or 1958.

And for the record...I looked this up before last season....

Again....Solich one of only three coaches in MAC HISTORY to not win a MAC title in 10+ yrs in the MAC.

Head Coaches with 10+ yrs tenure in MAC

Herb Deromedi (CMU)....he won 3 in 16 years
Bill Hess (OU)...won 4 in his first 11 years....but did not win one his last 9 years
Jim Harkema (EMU)...won 1 in 11 years
Bill Doolittle (WMU)...1 in 11 years
Gary Blackney (BG)...won 2 in 10 years
Paul Schudel (BSU)...won 2 in 10 years
Gary Pinkel (UT)...won 1 in his 10 years....played for 3 others in MACC
Al Molde (WMU)....won 1 in 10 years
Doyt Perry (BG)...won 5 in 10 years

Only 3 coaches in MAC history have coached 10+ years and failed to win a MAC title. The first is from the wayback machine....1951-63 before the MACC. The other two have a somwehat similar career.....

Joe Novak resurrected NIU from a 1-10, 0-11 team his first two years into a MAC West contender in 6 of his last 7 years....he bottomed out his final year going 2-10. But he certainly laid the foundation for Husky success going forward, playing in 3 MACC games and 2 bowl games (before the era of EVERYONE WITH A PULSE GETS A BOWL!)....overall 47 MAC wins in 11 years (with three years in an unbalanced schedule where they only played 7 MAC games)

Frank Solich took a dormant program...maybe not as dormant as NIU....and built it into a MAC East contender just about every year...winning 3 MAC East titles...playing in 7 bowl games (in the EVERYONE GETS A BOWL GAME era)....overall 53 MAC wins in 11 years.

Trevor Rees (Kent)...zero in 13 years from 1951-1963
Frank Solich (OU)....zero in 11 years....played for 3 MACC
Joe Novak (NIU)....zero in 11 years...played for 3 MACC

Honorable Mention:
Lee Owens (Akron)...zero in 9 years
Don Nehlen (BG)....zero in 9 years
Randy Walker (MU)...zero in 9 years...played for 1 MACC
So if Frank is unable to win a MACC this year....he will tied for the longest tenured coach in MAC history to not win a MAC title. Not exactly elite company in a not-so-elite league.
Nehlen = good coach. 30 years, 202-128, avg 6.7-4.3, 1 Conf Championship (WVU), BG record 53-35, WVU record 149-93.

Grobe = good coach. 20 years, 117-121-1, avg 5.8-6.0, 1 Conf Championship, (Wake), Ohio record 33-33, Wake Record 77-82, Baylor 7-6.

Solich = good coach. 18 years 146-86, avg 8.1-4.7, 1 Conf Championship (Nebraska) Ohio record 88-67, Nebraska record 58-19.

Note. Three good coaches. 57 years coaching MAC, Big East, Big 12, or ACC, three conf championships, 57/3=19. 1 per every 19 years.
Last Edited: 5/19/2017 7:22:41 AM by Bcat2
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L.C.
5/19/2017 9:05 AM
bshot44 wrote:expand_more
I'm sure that you realize that WMU had more and higher draft picks than Ohio, so I'm not sure what point you were trying to make here. In any case, I have a couple questions for you, if you don't mind. First, do you think that Ohio's recruiting classes are getting better, or staying about the same? Second, if you think that Ohio's recruiting classes are improving, do you think that will ultimately be reflected in team quality, and why, or why not?

Is recruiting getting better? I don't know. Neither do you, quite honestly. We don't recruit 4 & 5 star kids, so it's almost pointless to rate it.

Ultimate answers will be in the results the next 4 years. The last 4 years have been littered with above-average results (29-23, 19-13), zero titles & zero bowl wins. Facts.

I don't see much that leads me to believe the next four years won't bring similar results. 8-5, 5-3/6-2 seasons. That's Ohio Football. It is what it is.

You are correct that I don't know for sure that recruiting is improving, but to me it appears to be. You are right that we won't know for sure till we see them play the next few years. If you don't mind, though, could you also answer the second question? If Ohio's recruiting is improving, do you think that will ultimately be reflected on the field?
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Monroe Slavin
5/19/2017 10:33 AM
Yeah. Sure. After 12 years of no MACC, 2-6 bowl games, no season with less than four losses, and 0-4 in MAC title games, there's certainly plenty of reason to think that Solich and staff will get us a MACC.

Probably this year with significant losses on defense, question marks on O-line, qb and receiver.

To me age is not a concern; if you're getting it done, then you're getting it done. But I'm not sure that an elderly coach who's not won a league title and who's not brought in a top-level qb is going to bring in top level recruits, rings a bell for 18-20 year olds.



Generally, the best predictor of the future is the past.



Nice to see bcat2, as usual, denying the truth after bshot44 factually destroys any comparison between Nehlen and Solich.
Last Edited: 5/19/2017 10:37:00 AM by Monroe Slavin
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L.C.
5/19/2017 10:42 AM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
....
Generally, the best predictor of the future is the past.
...

The past is a good starting point, but then you have to adjust for changes. If recruiting is changing, and I think it is, you have to adjust for that. If Solich was able to use bottom of the MAC recruiting to get to the Championship game every few years, and to get to bowls most years, will he be able to accomplish more with even better recruits?
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bshot44
5/19/2017 11:05 AM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
I'm sure that you realize that WMU had more and higher draft picks than Ohio, so I'm not sure what point you were trying to make here. In any case, I have a couple questions for you, if you don't mind. First, do you think that Ohio's recruiting classes are getting better, or staying about the same? Second, if you think that Ohio's recruiting classes are improving, do you think that will ultimately be reflected in team quality, and why, or why not?

Is recruiting getting better? I don't know. Neither do you, quite honestly. We don't recruit 4 & 5 star kids, so it's almost pointless to rate it.

Ultimate answers will be in the results the next 4 years. The last 4 years have been littered with above-average results (29-23, 19-13), zero titles & zero bowl wins. Facts.

I don't see much that leads me to believe the next four years won't bring similar results. 8-5, 5-3/6-2 seasons. That's Ohio Football. It is what it is.

You are correct that I don't know for sure that recruiting is improving, but to me it appears to be. You are right that we won't know for sure till we see them play the next few years. If you don't mind, though, could you also answer the second question? If Ohio's recruiting is improving, do you think that will ultimately be reflected on the field?
I think I did. The answer will come in the next four years. We can say all we want about this class or that class...but until they net results on the field, it really doesn't matter.

Ohio recruited Taylor Price, Lavon Brazill, Eric Herman, and Mike Mitchell during a four-year stretch that netted some great results between 2009-2012 .... all four drafted into the NFL .... led Ohio to zero MACC .... but maybe the best four year stretch this program has ever had (36-18, 24-8, 2 bowl wins)

So by those standards, you could say recruiting hasn't gotten better. We aren't seeing those results on the field anymore. We've declined in the last four years since that stretch.

But if you think recruiting is getting better .... then why are the results not? Why have we gone from a 36-18, 24-8 stretch from 2009-2012 to a 29-23, 19-13 stretch in 2013-2016?

Coaching maybe? Recruits not panning out? Either way, doesn't it come back to the coaching staff?

Do these numbers not support my comment that Ohio has peaked under Solich (2009-2012) and that the trends don't show that the best is yet to come? It shows more we peaked and have slipped in the last four years and have leveled out to a 8-4/8-5, 5-3/6-2 program?

Those aren't opinions....those are hard numbers.

2009-2012 (36-18, 24-8, 2 bowl wins)
2013-2016 (29-23, 19-13, 0 bowl wins)
Last Edited: 5/19/2017 11:06:32 AM by bshot44
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bshot44
5/19/2017 11:33 AM
Bcat2 wrote:expand_more
It's really hard to take this "poll" by Athlon's serious.

Frank = 13th yr

No other coach has more than 5 yrs of tenure at a MAC school

Jinks (BG) - 2nd yr
Candle (UT)-2nd yr
Creighton (EMU) - 4th yr
Martin (MU) - 4th yr
Carey (NIU) - 6th yr
Bowden (UA) - 6th yr
Haynes (Kent) - 5th yr
Leipold (UB) - 3rd yr
Neu (BSU) - 2nd yr
Lester (WMU) - 1st yr
Bonamego (CMU) - 3rd yr

How many of these coaches, if given 12 yrs, would have at least one MACC?

I don't know....and I doubt we ever will. Why? Because coaches typically don't spend 12 yrs in the MAC!

So by seniority, Frank wins this "poll" by Athlons. No other coach, except for maybe Carey and Bowden, have a body of work that are able to be judged against Frank's. It's not because Frank has been so ultra-successful...it's because he has 7 YEARS ON EVERY OTHER COACH IN THE LEAGUE.

Do I think Jason Candle wins multiple MACC if he stays at Toledo for 12 years.....yep.

Do I think the same for Chuck Martin at Miami...yep.

Do I think the same for Mike Jinks at BG....maybe.

I'd take the vegas line that every coach on here, except for maybe Bowden & Haynes, might win a MACC if given 12 years at their respective school.

Do I think Frank ever wins one at Ohio.....probably not. Proof is in the track record. If he hasn't won one in 12 years, I don't think it's coming. This isn't the SEC or the B1G. It's the MAC. 12 years is more than enough time to fall into a MACC.

Does this mean Frank is a bad coach. No. Simple answer...no.

Does this poll mean Frank is an exemplary coach. I would say no as well.

He's a pretty good football coach. Not a great one. Is the best Ohio has had in 30 yrs....without question. But it's apples and oranges to compare him to Hess or Peden. Totally different eras. Totally different job descriptions now. Running a program in 2017 is much, much different than it was in 1968 or 1958.

And for the record...I looked this up before last season....

Again....Solich one of only three coaches in MAC HISTORY to not win a MAC title in 10+ yrs in the MAC.

Head Coaches with 10+ yrs tenure in MAC

Herb Deromedi (CMU)....he won 3 in 16 years
Bill Hess (OU)...won 4 in his first 11 years....but did not win one his last 9 years
Jim Harkema (EMU)...won 1 in 11 years
Bill Doolittle (WMU)...1 in 11 years
Gary Blackney (BG)...won 2 in 10 years
Paul Schudel (BSU)...won 2 in 10 years
Gary Pinkel (UT)...won 1 in his 10 years....played for 3 others in MACC
Al Molde (WMU)....won 1 in 10 years
Doyt Perry (BG)...won 5 in 10 years

Only 3 coaches in MAC history have coached 10+ years and failed to win a MAC title. The first is from the wayback machine....1951-63 before the MACC. The other two have a somwehat similar career.....

Joe Novak resurrected NIU from a 1-10, 0-11 team his first two years into a MAC West contender in 6 of his last 7 years....he bottomed out his final year going 2-10. But he certainly laid the foundation for Husky success going forward, playing in 3 MACC games and 2 bowl games (before the era of EVERYONE WITH A PULSE GETS A BOWL!)....overall 47 MAC wins in 11 years (with three years in an unbalanced schedule where they only played 7 MAC games)

Frank Solich took a dormant program...maybe not as dormant as NIU....and built it into a MAC East contender just about every year...winning 3 MAC East titles...playing in 7 bowl games (in the EVERYONE GETS A BOWL GAME era)....overall 53 MAC wins in 11 years.

Trevor Rees (Kent)...zero in 13 years from 1951-1963
Frank Solich (OU)....zero in 11 years....played for 3 MACC
Joe Novak (NIU)....zero in 11 years...played for 3 MACC

Honorable Mention:
Lee Owens (Akron)...zero in 9 years
Don Nehlen (BG)....zero in 9 years
Randy Walker (MU)...zero in 9 years...played for 1 MACC
So if Frank is unable to win a MACC this year....he will tied for the longest tenured coach in MAC history to not win a MAC title. Not exactly elite company in a not-so-elite league.
Nehlen = good coach. 30 years, 202-128, avg 6.7-4.3, 1 Conf Championship (WVU), BG record 53-35, WVU record 149-93.

Grobe = good coach. 20 years, 117-121-1, avg 5.8-6.0, 1 Conf Championship, (Wake), Ohio record 33-33, Wake Record 77-82, Baylor 7-6.

Solich = good coach. 18 years 146-86, avg 8.1-4.7, 1 Conf Championship (Nebraska) Ohio record 88-67, Nebraska record 58-19.

Note. Three good coaches. 57 years coaching MAC, Big East, Big 12, or ACC, three conf championships, 57/3=19. 1 per every 19 years.
Stop. Just stop.

Nehlen spent over half his WVU coaching career as an independent...so 11 of those years he was unable to win a league title because there was no league title to win.

He spent the last 10 years in a league that produced a team that either won or played for the national title 4 times and that produced 26 teams that finished the season ranked in the top 25. (Compare that to Solich's 12 years in the MAC where 3 teams have finished the season ranked)

Full disclosure...I grew up in WV and have been a WVU fan for years. And no, I don't think Nehlen was an elite coach or even a great coach. But he is in the CFB Hall of Fame.
I think WVU fans remember him for turning WVU into a nationally recognized program. He took a program that had some regional recognition and made the nation stand up and take notice.

But I'm sure a lot of WVU fans also still have the bad taste of 10 years where they were pre-season Top 25 and finished in the Top 25 only 3 of those seasons.

So by the time he retired, there had been quite a few rumblings about "his time is over"

But two 11-0 seasons and two shots at a national title laid the groundwork for what Rich Rod elevated and what Bill Stewart and Dana Holgerson have continued. They aren't in the Big 12 because they were a floundering program in the 90's and into the 2000s. It's because they had built a strong program. Remember, the Big 12 took them even though they didn't have any TV market attached to them. They aren't Rutgers and Maryland, where the B1G took them just to get NYC and Wash DC TV markets for BTN. All WVU brought with them was a respectable football and basketball program that have been very competitive in the Big 12 since arriving.

What has Ohio done since Frank Solich has taken over? Yes, Ohio is a very competitive program in one of the worst FBS leagues that hasn't won a league title in nearly 50 years. Does that make Solich a bad coach? No. Never said that. But I think it's getting pretty apparent that he has taken Ohio as far as he can. We are what we are. An 8-5, 5-3/6-2 program against traditionally pretty weak schedules. Those are just the facts. We aren't a MAC powerhouse. We don't rule the league. You don't think had Brady Hoke stayed at Ball State for 12 years, they wouldn't have had a run of title or title game appearances? Turner Gill at Buffalo? Dave Doeren or Jerry Kill at NIU? Dino Babers at BG? PJ Fleck at WMU?

Solich is what he is. A good football coach. But he hasn't exactly rolled into the MAC and grabbed it by throat and turned Ohio into a national powerhouse.

We are who we are. Quit trying to elevate Ohio or Solich to something like WVU?
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