Some here don't really understand Ohio politics. If this negatively affects every state school except Cowtown U, it won't go unnoticed by the General Assembly. If the Board of Regents comes down with a big hammer on these subsidies, you'll not only see the Controlling Board overruling them, you'll also see new legislation to support athletics. I have no idea exactly what form that would take, but you'll see the forming of alliances among state senators and state representatives from various parts of the state that have these universities in their districts. This could get ugly. And, if you supported limiting student fees through the BofR, you might end up with something you like even less. In saying this, I'm not commenting on the merits, I'm just telling you what I predict will be the outcome if the Regents try to get too aggressive in this area. As a result, I think you'll actually see the Regents do next to nothing in this area, because they'll realize that consequences might be more than they bargained for.
I won't go into detail here, but I will say in order to establish some bond fides here, that I once was part of an effort to abolish the Board of Regents that came up only one vote short in the Senate, after passing the House. This was a reaction to the Regents proposing to abolish the Ohio University College of Osteopathic Medicine by "merging" it with Wright State's medical school. Needless to say, it got their attention, and they backed off. IMHO, Ohio would be better off if we had succeed in our attempt.
Clearly there's already a base of support for the measure or it would've been killed in the budget process. Ultimately it'll come down to how popular the issue is. If the proponents and the media frame it successfully as a means of reducing tuition, it would likely gain some broad popular support. Then what are those legislators going to do? They'll face a hard decision between supporting a special interest in their districts over lower tuition for their constituents. Also, what percentage of legislators have a non-osu FBS school in their district or at least bordering it. I honestly don't know, but I'd be interested in seeing what their potential numbers are relative to the House and Senate as a whole.
My hunch is that this will go through some political and media meat grinder and the eventual compromise will be that the Chancellor won't unilaterally veto fees but also that Ohio will introduce through the legislature a Virginia type percentage cap on how much of an AD's budget can be subsidized.
Regarding the med school issue, do you think that a state Ohio's size (and with Ohio's historically mediocre level of higher ed funding) should be supporting six state medical schools and five state law schools? In both cases, I think that's more than what California funds. We probably disagree on the role of the USO. I'm in favor of more structure and moving away from the Rhodes era free for all and towards something more like what came about in California at roughly the same time.
The kind of compromise you suggest is certainly a possibility. In terms of the groundswell for this I think what you have is the parents of currently enrolled students and those who will enroll in the next few years very focused on this topic, but most other Ohioans in the I-don't-really-care camp. However, the I-don't-really-care camp includes folks who do care about their local college athletics. So, legislators in the scenario we are discussing would be hearing from both camps. As you know, Ohio politics can get very messy.
You are correct that I'm not a fan of the USO concept. When we were lobbying to can the BOR, we came up with some interesting stats (circa 1985) which showed just how much more money each campus could get if the BOR was abolished and its budget evenly split among all state schools. I don't recall the actual amount, but it was not an insignificant sum.
In terms of the number of state medical schools and law schools, I actually tend to agree with you that Ohio has too many. However, if you look at the situation historically, you can understand how it happened. In terms of the medical school situation, of which I'm more knowledgeable, you had some interesting dynamics with the creation of Wright State's medical school as a result of a bill that Sen. Robert Byrd (D-WV) got through Congress for the sole purpose of supplying federal start-up funding for the Marshall medical school against the wishes of the AMA, the WV BOR and the WV Legislature. It was a very masterful stroke by a master politician. The bill, however, couldn't be transparently a "Marshall bill," so it included a set of criteria which applied to Marshall and about six other colleges around the nation. You had to have a state university without a medical school in a municipality that had a VA Hospital of a particular capacity, and a few other criteria. In addition to Marshall, from memory, Wright State and East Tennessee were two other universities that started medical schools under what I'll call the "Byrd Bill." Since the Feds supplied a lot of funds for the first seven years, the Ohio General Assembly went along with the establishment of this school, just shortly before some members of the legislature were successfully lobbied by the Ohio Osteopathic Association to start the third state-supported osteopathic medical school (second at a state university). The empty dormitories at OHIO due to the precipitous enrollment decline of the early 1970s gave extra impetus to this effort, as it was seen by some in the legislature as a way to "save" the university which some feared might be ready to go bankrupt. That was a little bit of an exaggeration, but those were the kinds of terms being thrown around at the time. The argument for OU-COM, I think, was much stronger than that for NEOCOM (the consortium medical school shared by Kent, Akron and YSU, with headquarters in Rootstown) and Wright State. First, Ohio had no osteopathic medical college; second, SEO was the only region of the state that did not have a medical college; third, D.O.'s had a track record of disproportionately going into family medicine and serving in under-served areas.
Where I think we disagree here is that the onus for too many medical schools falls on the legislature and the solution, if the problem needs to be dealt with, rests on the legislature. I just don't like the concept of unelected bureaucrats making these kinds of decisions. The BOR, BTW, actually testified in the Senate Finance Committee hearings against the establishment of OU-COM, so their later action trying to get rid of us was consistent. There were many reasons for this attitude, but part of it was anti-D.O. bias. Rationally, WSU and the Medical College of Ohio at Toledo (now the UT medical school) had a weaker raison d'être than OU-HCOM.
Sorry to have rattled on so long here. I guess the bottom line is that I prefer the rough and tumble of the legislative process to piling on additional layers of bureaucracy that tend to shield the people from their representatives and add unnecessary expenses to the state budget under the pretense of cutting costs.