To be fair, TOS's first three years featured much more difficult OOC schedules than have JG's first three years, and TOS also compiled a better MAC record in that span than JG has in a much weaker conference.
That's simply not true. O'Shea's second season was the massively-disappointing 02-03 campaign in which they were picked to win the MAC and finished with the 11th seed. The next season, they lost 20 games and finished 10th in the conference. Heck, in his first season, he inherited a boatload of talent and managed to finish 6th and lose to Central Michigan at home in the MAC tournament.
O'Shea's MAC records by season: 11-7, 8-10, 7-11, 11-7, 10-8, 9-7, 9-7. Even with NBA and high European-league talents, he was never more than just above .500.
But Groce has to have a winning record this year. Has to. If he can't do it this year, he might not ever be able to.
What wasn't true? Again, I'm not arguing that TOS met initial expectations (he didn't), or that JG inherited comparable talent (he didn't). Instead, I simply said was that TOS faced much more difficult OOC schedules than has JG, and that TOS had a better MAC record during his first three seasons than JG has to date. Both are true statements.
For example, in 2001-02, TOS's first year, we played games at Wisconsin, Arizona State, and Virginia, along with a home game against WVU. Meanwhile, Ken Pomeroy ranked our 2002-03 non-conference schedule the 27th most difficult in the nation, with games at Providence (when they were pretty good), DePaul (ditto), Wisconsin, and Kentucky (in Cinci), along with a home game versus UVa. In 2003-04 we ratched down the schedule, but still had DePaul at home and Wisconsin in Cleveland.
JG hasn't had to play a schedule anywhere near that tough. In fact, we've only had four comparable games in three years total under JG (Xavier and Louisville in 08-09, Pittsburgh last year, and Kansas this year), and were blown out by 22+ points each time.
Meanwhile, in terms of MAC records, as you noted TOS was 2 games over .500 his first two years, albeit in disappointing fashion. Meanwhile, JG is 14-18, so again, what I said was accurate. Even if you add in TOS's third (and worst) MAC season, he still is ahead of JG at this stage (26-28 being slightly better than 14-18). And that is before we factor in how much better the MAC was during TOS's early career than it has been the last couple years.
On a related note, I thought it was amazing given all the talk of "life on the road" that we actually went 12-18 on the road during TOS's first two years, compared to 7-21 during Groce's first two seasons.
Again, none of this is to argue that TOS was better than JG. The point is just that as much as some like to dump on TOS around here, JG's actual results to date haven't, on the whole, elevated the program.