OV, can you further define "fall Short?" does that inculde a loss in the quarter finals, or are you talking about taking an L in the chip?
I meant fall short of an NCAA bid. My analysis only is looking at us getting knocked out of an NIT bid based on the predictions of Nitology and the Bracket Projects projections. I just wanted to see what needed to happen for us to fall out. I make no claims about the accuracy of these projections.
Here is an update after last night's action.
Two more conference champions bit the dust last night (Savannah State & Bucknell) and grab NIT autobids. Two other conference champions (Montana & LIU) took care of business and won their tourneys.
Tourney Champs
Belmont
UNC-Asheville
Harvard*
Murray State
Davidson
St. Mary's
LIU
Montana
At-large Shoe-in
Temple
UNC
Kansas
Syracuse
tOSU
Memphis
Wichita State
Washington
Kentucky
New Mexico
Lost Conference Tourney
Drexel
Valpo
Iona
Oral Roberts
Middle Tennessee
Bucknell
Savannah State
Still Allive for NCAA
Stony Brook (in finals vs Vermont on Saturday)
Long Beach State (tourney starts today, strong at large candidate)
Utah Valley (tourney starts today)
Akron (semis Friday)
UT-Arlington (won opening round game)
Mississippi Valley State (won opening round game)
Nevada (tourney starts today)