Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
8/7/2022 8:46 AM
Here in New York, the state of Ohio's very aggressively advertising to try and convince New Yorkers to move to Ohio.
I don't think it's working though. From what I understand more people move out of Ohio each year than move to Ohio.
Actually there has been rather large influx of New Yorkers to Ohio lately. While Florida gets all of the headlines with the large number of New Yorkers as well as their businesses that have relocated to the Sunshine State, Ohio has done quite well. I noticed lots of Illinois plates lately and was told by folks in the Higher Ed world that Illinois' state pension system is a mess, which is why many folks from the Land of Lincoln are trying to find other states to moved to for pension purposes.
A little known fact is that there has been an under the radar surge of Orthodox Jews to Ohio, much of it having to do with fears of violence directed at them in NYC. Ohio Voucher program for private schools in areas near failing public schools schools is quite popular, especially in th Cleveland area. While in Cleveland for work, an Orthodox Rabbi explained to me that many in his synagogue came to Ohio from New York and northern New Jersey because they were sick of the violence, the high taxes, and feel the quality of life in Ohio was more in keeping with their conservative values and traditions.
Yes I know, Ohio is barely keeping pace with those leaving the state and there are only about 5-10 counties out of 88 that are growing. However, we are in a much better position than New York and Illinois. Intel's arrival, along with their various subsidiairies and suppliers can only help our situation.
Interesting narrative. I know it's a popular one. Can you support this narrative with data?
I live two neighborhoods away from the second largest Orthodox neighborhood in New York. I'm not aware of an increase in crime there, nor is my wife who works there. I know there's been a national surge in anti-semitic crimes -- something like a 160% increase year over year. In New York, my understanding is that the increase was well below the national average. Something more like 25%. Statewide, there were 51 incidents in New York. The increase in Ohio year over year was 100%, with a total of 50 incidents. Meanwhile, New York's population is nearly double Ohio's, so on a per-capita basis there are far more anti-semitic crimes in Ohio than in New York.
Previously, OCF and rp told me based on second and third hand info, that Midtown Manhattan is dangerous and you need to be armed. I work there and haven't noticed. Crime's increased, but below the national average, and from a baseline so low that New York's still the safest big city in the country by a wide margin. It's something like 59th in crime rate.
Perhaps what you're noticing is more off the geographic sorting that's been plaguing American Democracy for a while now. Conservatives moving to conservative places (or in Ohio's case, a moderate place that's governed in a gerrymandered, extreme way). I doubt that's a long term winning strategy for Ohio. I guess it's cool to be proud that some people moved from New York and Illinois to Ohio, but the state has a net loss every year. I also get the value of an Intel for Columbus, but states like New York don't have to celebrate such wins because their economic output's measured on a global scale. When Amazon went campaigning for an HQ2 and New York wouldn't give them tax breaks, they "went elsewhere". Except that they already had 60k employees and a 335,000 square foot office in New York that they paid a billion dollars for. Likewise, Intel has a big office in New York.
In other words, were I a betting man I'd still bet on the horse that lapped Ohio 39 times, even if it's pace has slowed.
Last Edited: 8/7/2022 12:42:11 PM by Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame