I thought I was through, but I will answer your post, since it raises some extremely valid questions that definitely need to be addressed.
Thanks for those links. I do strongly agree with them, in part. I agree that the fact that our debt is denominated in dollars makes us semi-immune to a collapse. That is actually why, unlike many, I don't think the problem is imminent, but a generation in the future. Having the debt denominated in dollars, we could simply print 17 trillion dollars, and pay it all off. The problem is, what comes next? If the US would then have a surplus, there would be no problem at all. If not, there would be a problem because printing that much would create a one-time massive inflation, and having been paid in devalued dollars, lenders would be skeptical about lending to the US again. Still, the fact that it is an option does give greater strength to the US Debt. It also eliminates the treat of hyperinflation that you sometimes hear bandied about.
The other point in those articles that I strongly agree with is that it makes a great deal of difference to whom you owe the money. In Japan, they have a massive debt, but it is to their own citizens, and therefore no problem. In the US, there was a massive debt after WWII, but again it was to our own citizens, and therefore, not a major problem. The problem here is that increasingly
the US debt is held, not by our own citizens, but by foreigners. We have had a large current account deficit for the last 30 years or so, and that is reflected now in who holds the debt.
So, the question is, will we go from point A (where we are not like Greece) to point B (where we are like Greece)? I think the answer is yes. We are already seeing it in the
increasing foreign holdings of our debt. I think that increasingly we will see pressure on the US to issue debt no longer denominated in dollars. Instead the market will increasingly demand "inflation adjusted" bonds. These are already being issued, and are called TIPS. This sounds like no big deal, but economically it is very significant. You see, if the government does print more money, that increases inflation, and thus increases the amount to be repaid. That means you can no longer print your way out of debt. Thus the bond, while on its face is denominated in dollars, is really denominated in an absolute basis that is not dollars at all. That, combined with the fact that our debt is no longer held primarily by us, will make all the difference in the world, and so, while we are immune today, I don't believe we will be immune a generation from now. I don't know the market share of TIPS bonds, unfortunately, but I suspect that it is growing, and will continue to grow, especially if inflation starts to pick up again with a recovering economy.
As regards my comments on the Occupy movement, note that I did not say "they are Nazis". My point is that they use language similar to early language of the Nazi movement, and I said that I consider then a precursor of a future Nazi movement. To clarify my position further, I don't believe that current members are Nazis, nor do I think that most realize the similarity of their movement to the early history of nazis, but that doesn't mean that similarity isn't there. If you google "occupy wall street nazi" you'll get over 1.5 million hits, so my observation of the similarity is not isolated, or just "out of the blue".
I will further add that I am neither Jewish, nor a banker, but I find the term "banksters" offensive since it is intended to be a racial epithet. Whenever I encounter it, I try to make sure the person using it is aware of it's meaning. Again, I don't assume they are a racist - I assume they are not one, but are unknowingly using a racist term.
By they way, I did a search for "tea party racism" and got 62 million hits, and I have been reading them, but I can't seem to find what anyone seems to think the connection is, other than that they think "Tea Party is Right wing" and "right wing is racist". I did find this link that kind of explains that the Tea Party has evolved from what it once was, a basically Libertarian grass roots organization, and into an arm of the political right, where it is probably more racist than it originally was. I haven't kept up to date, I guess, and was still aware of the Tea party in it's original form. In any case, all racism should be decried wherever it is found.
Last Edited: 10/24/2013 11:42:17 AM by L.C.