Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
9/9/2018 1:58 PM
Per capita, across the entire population of the US, the murder rate is substantially higher than most other developed nations. It is 5X the rate if Great Britain, for instance. This is not because we are inherently violent; in fact, our rate if violent crimes it's not drastically different than Great Britain's. Instead, it's because guns are easy to get, and therefore our violent crimes are more likely to result in death. ...
I'm just going to point out that this is a logical leap, a theoretical conclusion presented as a fact. Had you said "Many believe that it's because guns are easy to get", or "the most likely explanation is because guns..." I would have no quarrel with it. The problem is that correlation doesn't prove causation. For example, it's possible that causation is something different. Perhaps, for example, US youth play more violent video games, and are thus more inclined to use guns, and also more likely to commit violent crimes (i.e. an independent cause leads to both). Or, perhaps US youth watch more violent movies, and are thus inured to violence, and thus more apt to commit violent crime. Or, perhaps they are more atheistic, or perhaps more apt to be raised in day care rather than a family home, or perhaps people in the US are more apt to be excluded from social activities and become "loners", or perhaps something altogether different.
Again, I support reasonable gun control. I think gun control would be helpful, especially in the short run. I also favor researching what is going wrong in the particular people that is causing them to commit the violence because, if we don't find the answer to that, the violence will continue, but in other (quite probably worse) forms.
No, it's not a logical leap or a theoretical conclusion presented as fact. It's a logical conclusion based on data and a comparison of that data to similar data in other societies.
These are facts:
1. Americans are not more inclined to violence, statistically speaking. There is not more crime than in other developed countries. There are just more homicides.
2. It has been generally accepted since 1999 that the major cause of this is the mere presence of guns. Violent crimes and altercations are much more likely to become lethal because of guns. This was the seminal work on the the topic:
https://www.amazon.com/Crime-Is-Not-Problem-Violence/dp/0... .
3. The same types of crimes are 54 times as likely to be lethal in New York City than in London.
If you want to present some data that any of those three things are the case because of violent video games, lack of religion, or lack of family structure, feel free. I'd be very curious to see it.
I mean, Japan, China, South Korea, Germany and Great Britain join the US as the top 6 video game playing countries. What are their homicide rates compared to ours? There are about 400,000 US children in foster care. China has 20.6 million. Many, many western countries are less religious than the US and have much lower homicide rates.
I'm presenting data and explaining the obvious logic behind my conclusion. You're throwing our theories without any support in order to avoid the obvious conclusion staring everybody in the face. You might not want to be accusing others of logical leaps.