Try 25%, 75% no way, the good news is we can improve. The campus is great, the coaching situation is stable and the exposure is pretty good.
I can't find my numbers for last year, so I may have to make them again. Here are the numbers from 2013 and 2014:
2013:
v. Toledo 3-2
v. Akron 3-0
v. Ball St 4-0
V. Kent 1-0
v. WMU 3-0
v. Miami 1-1
v. Buffalo 0-1
v. CMU 2-0
v. EMU 0-1
Total 17-5 77%
2014:
v. Akron 5-0
v. Buffalo 3-0
v. EMU 2-0
v. Ball St 2-0
v. Kent 6-1
v. WMU 4-1
v. Toledo 4-3
v. Miami 1-1
v. BG 4-5
Total 31-11 74%
Note - these numbers include only players that actually chose one school or the other. If, for example, a player had an offer from Ohio and and offer from Toledo, but chose to go to Illinois, it would count as neither a win or loss.
As a comparison that shows that Ohio is making progress, I also found these old numbers for 2009:
v. Ball St 0-3
v. Toledo 0-3
v. Miami 2-5
v. BG 1-3
v. Akron 1-2
v. WMU 0-2
v. NIU 0-1
v. CMU 0-1
v. Kent 0-1
v. Temple 0-1
V. Buffalo 3-0
v. EMU 4-0
Total 11-22 33%
I can't find numbers for 2006-7, but I'm sure they were worse than these. On the win side there were none in 2005, 7 in 2006, 10 in 2007, and 15 in 2008, and 7 in 2010, but I have no record of the losses.
To show how the math works, suppose you have 4 teams and 4 players, and each team offers each player. If each team gets one player, they each beat 3 teams on that one player, and lost to three teams on the other three players. Thus they are each at 50%. Thus 50% doesn't mean you get half the players. It means you get the same share as if choices were random.
If one team gets 2 of the 4 players, they beat 6 teams (3 on each player), and lost to 2, so they are at 75%, so 75% doesn't mean they get 75% of the players, but it does mean that they get about twice their share if choices were random.
Last Edited: 2/1/2016 2:04:35 PM by L.C.