I thought that Lewis was 3-stars. The guy I thought was 4-stars was Broagan Roback, the EMU QB, but he doesn't show that way.
Now, lets go back to the 2012 class:
3-star recruits: S. Smith, T. Clark, M. Roberts, C. Murray, Tanner, Windham
High 2-star recruits: Schany, Laseak, Wells, Edmond, Gibbons
Low 2-star recruits: Patterson, Watson, Waters, Branz, J. Brown, Stewart
Unrated: B. Brown, Reid, Rodriguez, Henry, Davis
Now let's score them. This isn't the best class to score because so many players were no shows, or were hurt early in their career before we found out what they could do. I'm going to drop the ones with early injuries from the math,
If you give 5 points for a player with all-MAC honors, 4 for a starter, 3 points for a second team player, 2 for an occasional player, and 1 for a player that never played, and ignore non-qualifiers, you find this:
3-star players: 5,na, na, na, na, inj, 4 (average 4.50)
high 2-star players: inj, 4, 3, 2, 3 (average 3.00)
low 2-star players: 4, 4, 4, 5, 3, 3 (average 3.83)
unrated players: 5, 4, 1, inj, 4 (average 3.50)
For 2012 the two 3 star players that actually enrolled, and who didn't get hurt early turned out OK. On the whole, though, there is not really any statistically significant correlation between predicted performance and actual performance.
What about 2014? These players haven't finished their careers, so before the year is out, these could change, but here is a preliminary look:
3-star recruits: Duckworth, McCray, Lowery, Walker
High 2-star recruits: C. Brown, Dudziak, C. Brunson, Kuhar
Low 2-star recruits: Meyer, Berger, Boland, Pruehs, Langenkamp, Fox, T. Jones, DiCillo, Brumfield, Brunis, P. White
Unrated: C. Washington, Nelson, Bonnstetter, Irons, Layton
Scoring them from memory:
3-star: 1, 4, 4, 3 (Average 3.00)
High 2-star: 2, 1, 3, 1 (Average 2.50)
Low 2-star: 3, 3, 4, 5, 1, 3, na, inj, na, 3, 3 (Average 3.13)
Unrated: na, 4, 5, 3, 4 (Average 4.00)
If I made a mistake scoring any players, please feel free to correct me. In particular I can't remember who was all-Mac, and who wasn't. In any case, it now looks like this:
2012 - No real correlation
2013 - Strong inverse correlation
2014 - Slight inverst correlation