Here's the list of teams that are in (48), that aren't in yet but are at .500 or better (32), and are out (24). The 16 teams at 4-5 or 4-6 are listed but not included among those likely to get in. This week the NCAA affirmed its bowl ban for Ole Miss this year, so it's now listed as out. Notre Dame can get a bowl that has a tie-in with the ACC and is included in the ACC's total. Hawaii plays 13 games, so they need to win seven for eligibility. Liberty is in a transition year, so they might need NCAA permission to be in a bowl.
AAC [7]: In (4) ̶ Cincy, USF, UCF, Houston
Need one win (2) ̶Temps, Memphis; Need two wins (0); {Tulane (4-5), SMU (4-5)}
Out (3) ̶ UConn, Tulsa, Navy
ACC [10]: In (7) ̶ Clemson, BC, UVA, Syracuse, NCSt, Duke, ND+
Need one win (3) ̶ MiamiF, GaTech, Pitt; Need two wins (1) ̶ VaTech; {FSU (4-5), Wake (4-5)}
Out (2) ̶ L'ville, UNC
B12 [7]: In (3): Texas, Okla, WVU
Need one win (4) ̶ TxTech, OklaSt, IowaSt, Baylor; Need two wins (0); {TCU (4-5)}
B10 [9]: In (6) ̶ O$U, Mich, Iowa, PennSt, Wis, MSU
Need one win (3) ̶ NWern, MD, Purdue; Need two wins (0); {Minn (4-5), Ind (4-5), Ill (4-5)}
Out (2) ̶ Rutgers, Neb
CUSA [6]: In (5) ̶ NTex, UAB, LaTech, FIU, MTSU
Need one win (1) ̶ T'erd; Need two wins (1) ̶ SMiss; {Charlotte (4-5), FAU (4-5)}
Out (4) ̶ Rice, UTEP, ODU, WKU
MAC [5]: In (4) ̶ Buffalo, WMU, OHIO, NIU
Need one win (2) ̶ Toledo, EMU; Need two wins (1) ̶ Akron
Out (4) ̶ Kent, BG, CMU, BSU
MWC [5]: In (4) ̶ UtahSt, SDSU, Fresno, Boise
Need one win (2) ̶ Hawaii*, Nev; Need two wins (0); {Wyo (4-6)}
Out (2) ̶ SJSt, UNLV
Pac-12 [7]: In (4) ̶ Wash, WashSt, Utah, Ore
Need one win (6) ̶ Colo, Stanford, Cal, Ariz, ArizSt, USC
Out (2) ̶ UCLA, OreSt
SEC [10]: In (7) ̶ Georgia, Bama, Fla, LSU, UK, Auburn, MissSt
Need one win (3) ̶ TxAM, SoCar, Mizzou; Need two wins (0); {Vandy (4-5), Tenn (4-5)}
Out (2) ̶ Ark,
Sun Belt [5]: In: (3) ̶ GaSo, Troy, AppSt
Need one win (3) ̶ Coastal, ArkSt, ULM; Need two wins (0); {Louisiana (4-5)}
Out (2) ̶ GaSt, SBama
Indies [1]: In (1) ̶ Army
Need one win (0); Need two wins (1) ̶ Liberty#; {BYU (4-5), UMass (4-6)}
Out (1) ̶ NMSU