Yes Mike families are a lot smaller than they were in 50 years ago. Also, the only areas growing in Ohio are the ten counties around Columbus and Cincinnati. Even with the all the growth that has occurred in the Columbus area, it pales in comparison to what has taken place in that area in northern Virginia just outside of Wash DC, Atlanta, San Antonio, Dallas, Houston, Phoenix etc.
The kicker as you said Mike is to look at high school numbers. One would expect big drops in northeast Ohio, but we see this even in Columbus. For example in 1970 Columbus public schools peaked and that's when the city was at less than 600,000 and now it is around 900,000. You might say didn't people flee the public schools after the school desegregation case in the mid 1970s? No, Catholic school enrollment as well as other non-public school enrollment has declined, in some cases in great numbers. The suburban school districts have skyrocketed around Columbus even as the city has skyrocketed. Yet, young singles, small families and unmarried couples have moved into the city, while families have left. This all has implications down the road and when you can't draw out of state students, it really throws a monkey wrench in the operations.
Several pricey private colleges were sent reeling during the economic downturn of 2008 and beyond. I believe Wittenberg got thrown for a loop a couple of years ago when the Saudi government informed them that the several hundred students they normally sent the university (at full price) would not be returning. It was rumored that he students informed the government they didn't like the cold weather, so the government found a university in Florida that met their needs; isn't that a metaphor for a lot of what ails the state's economy and investment?
Last Edited: 12/6/2018 10:42:59 PM by cbus cat fan