Interesting Topic shown on Twitter from a Kentucky media's Matt Jones:

https://twitter.com/KySportsRadio/status/1250233804075282434

I'm surprised by the numbers a little -- 45% said yes, which lends me to wonder what this group would say with the same question as it relates to Ohio Football. So using almost his exact words:


If Ohio Football plays its first game on Labor Day Weekend and we still don’t have a vaccine for Coronavirus, would you go to the game?

Let’s assume it is crowded like a normal game, no social distancing, etc....normal game experience, tailgating, etc.

I would have a better chance of being injured in a car crash on the way to the game than getting infected by a virus that many experts say has a shelf life of about 4-6 weeks. Italy, Germany and Denmark are beginning to open up next week. Sweden never did shut down and they are having their normal flu season death rate. We are around 7,500 cases in Ohio and looking at the data it seems unlikely we will get much above 10,000 out of almost 12,000,000 Ohioans. I wasn't a math major, but isn't that less than .1%? When will this mass hysteria end? I will be at the home opener and hopefully many sporting events before that one as well.

I hope to.

So, what you're mis-stating is the difference between confirmed cases and actual cases. A recent antibody study in a German town (Gangelt) found that 15% of the community had been infected and that 2% were currently infected. So, I don't believe that Ohio has only 7,500 cases, only that those are the confirmed cases. I don't see any reason to believe that the number would be much different than that in Germany, and may be higher in cities like Cleveland, Cincinnati, and Columbus (as cities with their population density are much higher risk). Those numbers would put at 240,000 currently infected in Ohio if on par with the German study, and 1.8 million in the state with antibodies.

So, no, you're not more likely to be in a car accident than being infected. You may, however, be just as likely of dying in a car accident as you would be of dying from the disease. That's where the question of reaction really is. If our infection rate really is close to 15-20%, but we are accurately reporting deaths (or at least closely reporting them), then the mortality rate may be closer to .3%, much lower than the originally reported 3%. This is where the questions remain.

The scary report today is that 140 South Koreans are reporting a reoccurrence of the disease. This seems to question the belief that immunity is gained by having been cured of the disease.

Plus with the pathetic testing practices in the US - the number of actual cases is understated. 30,000 of our neighbors have died - even with the "draconian" stay at home policies. This survey will be better served after the initial openings take place (with little flooding to establishments) and yet significant spikes are still realized. I consult to the hospitality industry. Anyone who thinks a declaration of "the economy is open" is going to unleash the retail and hospitality industries is mistaken. Little will change until we have comprehensive, fast, and effective testing.

At the least, I suspect we will be required to have our temperature taken as we enter stadiums this fall - same time as they frisk us for weapons.