You have to remember that not all computer systems have the same goal.
Some of them use a "predictive algorithm" where the goal is to predict the scores of future games. If you hear something called a "Power Ranking" it usually means that this is its goal. Oregon is a good team. If Oregon played Ohio State again they would have a shot to beat them. But if they did play again on a neutral field right now how many people that claim Oregon should be ranked higher would put their money where their mouth is and bet on Oregon straight up. Not many. That's why Ohio State is higher in a "Power Ranking".
IMO, this sort of thinking is not what should be the primary factor in something like playoff inclusion. When the talking heads on ESPN talk about "resumes" they are talking about something very different than a power ranking. You could rank teams in such a way that minimizes ranking teams ahead of teams that have beaten them. In the US we tend to emphasize head to head A LOT more than most other places in the world. Doing this to some extent is fine but two teams don't exist in a vacuum and if you actually have a computer rank teams based on finding that minimum you get something that is ridiculous. I wrote something about 25 years ago that explains in simple to understand terms why this is. It was floating around on the internet for a long time but, unfortunately, I don't see it anymore and never saved it myself. It was pretty dry but contained no math or anything difficult.
But ignore computers. I used to run and participate in fan polls. I found that the people who are most likely to complain on a message board about head to head in other people's polls are far, far, far and away the most likely to have the most instances of it in their own poll. Why? Because they think of specific teams in a vacuum and are not very thoughtful and attentive to everything else.
The committee's rankings are a combination of all sorts of things but it looks to me like the biggest factor by far is something called "Strength of Record". This asks how hard is it to post this record against this schedule. In a ranking like that if team A beats team B and they have the same record Team A will be ranked higher the vast majority of the time. Even in this case though you would find OSU higher than Oregon in most calculations. Ohio State's schedule so far is not elite and they have a loss and thus their own SOR usually not top 10. But the overall schedule A LOT better than Oregon's. Oregon's loss to Stanford is MUCH worse than OSU's loss to Oregon and Ohio State had three wins that are much better than any win Oregon has other than Ohio State. Oregon has played several teams Ohio might beat. The win over OSU is worth a mountain of points in an SOR ranking but they don't have much else.
Last Edited: 10/13/2021 4:03:38 PM by Victory