WMU beats CMU. Looking like 3 teams (WMU, Miami, Ohio) for two spots. Not a Buffalo believer.
With Buffalo this week it could be more of a case of BG mailing it in which isn't uncommon when you have a new MAC coach in the second half of the season. WMU barely got past CMU and I tend to think they are going to fade down the stretch. This time of the season plenty of game tape on everyone.
I don't think WMU is going to fade down the stretch. They just won their big rivalry game, and they've got a lot of confidence. After we beat Miami, they are going to be our biggest concern. My guess is we play them twice this year, the second time being in the MACC.
More likely to be Miami vs OU repeat championship if we win down the stretch.
I think on a totally rational, statistical basis, you are correct. But, this is the MAC, and having watched the conference for more than half a century, I sometimes go with my hunches rather than cold, hard logic. And, those hunches have often proved right when the result are in. In this case I could easily see Miami stubbing their toes at Buffalo or at home to UT.