I feel like that if we lose at home to Miami then we are very unlikely to make the MACCG. If we lose at WMU, which we'd be a small underdog if it were played today I feel like we have a decent shot at 6-2 if WMU runs the table with Ohio having wins over Miami and Buffalo. If we win at Buffalo I think that it is likely that they will lose to someone other than us, possibly Miami. I haven't done any math but I think our chances of getting in at 6-2 are better if WMU wins mostly because in that situation I believe our second loss is more likely to be at WMU

I guess it doesn't matter either way. But Miami has 0 losses. If Ohio loses to Miami and wins out, should still be in MAC Championship Game. Beat Miami, even better.

What if Ohio beats Miami and then loses at WMU, Miami loses another game along the way . . . and those 3 teams all finish 6-2?