The question I would say to you is if a split from the G5 is imminent then why hasn't it already happened and how do you explain the gradual improvement in post season access by the G5 over time in that context?
I actually don't think this is necessarily true. The access the G5s have been given has more or less been a handout to a major bowl game, but hampered their ability to compete for an actual national championship and every time a G5 gets close to that, they (committees, power conferences) change the rules or formatting.
During the BCS era, teams like Boise and TCU were regular "BCS Busters" and got as highly ranked in the BCS standings as #2 and #3 at one point. Boise was #3 in November 2010. NIU was given a BCS bowl berth on a technicality in 2012 and the system was changed to a 4-team playoff just two years later.
I don't care what anyone says, the 4-team playoff and subsequent New Year's Six bowls were designed to keep the G5 out of the national championship. Throw them a bone and give them an autobid to a Fiesta or Cotton Bowl, but it would almost take an act of God for one to be ranked in the Top Four. Oh and look what happened? American Conference Cincinnati gets good enough, has the right schedule and gets into the 4-team playoff.
What do they do? Immediately change it to a 12-team playoff and most people thought any G5 would be ranked #12 and get immediately washed in the first round, or at most round two.
Boise gets a 4-seed, whether or not they actually deserved it, they played by the rules and got a bye and what happens? The rules are changed and you'll probably never see a G5 get an auto bye again. Again, without a minor miracle, a G5 will never play for a national championship in this era. The system just won't allow it to happen.
Last Edited: 10/30/2025 12:59:53 PM by GoCats105