What's the breakdown if BG, OHIO, and Buffalo all finish with 2 losses? This assumes BG beats OHIO but loses once more along the way and Buffalo falls once more. I guess that would probably depend on who they lose to, right? OHIO's two losses would then both be in division, which wouldn't be beneficial.
Buffalo's loss is to Ohio and Bowling Green's loss is to Buffalo. So nobody has lost to a West team yet so it is possible in your scenario that all three teams are 3-2 in the division.
Under that scenario it probably would noy bode well for us. Everyone would have beaten Miami and Akron is likely to be last so record vs. Kent would matter.
That is unless Buffalo and BG both have that extra loss somewhere you mention happen against Kent too (in that scenario Kent very probably would indeed be in fourth). If that happened it goes to record vs. fifth place Miami and everyone would have beaten Miami and Akron too so if I read it right it goes to a coin flip. You'd think you'd go to the total conference record of West opponents before an flip but it looks like you don't.
If either Buffalo or BG loses to an West team instead of an East team whichever did would have the best division record and win. If the both take their second loos to a West team then Ohio would be eliminated first on a lesser division record and it then reverts back to head to head between Buffalo and BG which works in Buffalo's favor.
So under your scenario OUr loss in definitely a second division loss so I think the only way it works out for us would be if Kent oddly beats all three who are tied and we win a coin toss.