For a continually updated projection, there is always Team Rankings:
https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/team/ohio-b... Based on performance so far, Ohio looks to be a better than average MAC team, but has their three tough road games, including both their key MAC East foes, WMU, Miami, and Kent. Thus, the current projections are:
Wins: 6.4
Bowl Eligible Chance: 69.7%
Chance of winning MAC East: 23%
Chance of being MACC: 6.9%
These numbers will change weekly. FWIW, ESPN thinks enough of them that they use their numbers for their game projections.
-After Iowa State:
Wins: 6.0
Bowl Eligible Chance: 56.1%
Chance of winning MAC East: 12.3%
Chance of being MACC: 3.9%
Favored to beat Akron, Fordham, Buffalo, BG, and maybe one of Ball State or NIU.
After Fordham, Ohio continues to drop in wins, and in odds of winning the East and MACC:
Wins: 5.6
Bowl Eligible Chance: 52.1%
Chance of winning MAC East: 6.9%
Chance of being MACC: 1.9%
Favored to beat Akron and BG, and maybe 2 of Ball State, Buffalo, WMU and NIU.
After Kent, Ohio continues to drop:
Wins: 5.3
Bowl Eligible Chance: 45.1%
Chance of winning MAC East: 3.5%
Chance of being MACC: 1.0%
The win over Akron, plus a few other things, such as WMU's loss, gave Ohio a bounce:
Wins: 5.7
Bowl Eligible Chance: 55.2%
Chance of winning MAC East 6.8%
Chance of being MACC: 1.8%
To make it to 6-6, Ohio needs to beat BG, beat either NIU or WMU, and win one of the other games (Miami, Ball St, Buffalo).
After WMU, Ohio continues to rise:
Wins: 6.5
Bowl Eligible Chance: 78.6%
Chance of winning MAC East: 15.4%
Chance of being MACC: 3.8%
Chance of winning the MACC, if they get there: 24.7%
Not surprisingly, Ohio moves up again after NIU:
Wins: 7.1 (Highest yet)
Bowl Eligible Chance: 93.2% (highest yet)
Chance of winning MAC East: 18.4%
Chance of being MACC: 5.6%
Chance of winning the MACC, if they get there: 30.4%
The win over Buffalo made Ohio jump again:
Wins: 7.7 (Highest yet)
Bowl Eligible Chance: 100.0% (highest yet)
Chance of winning MAC East: 51.6% (highest yet)
Chance of being MACC: 17.8% (highest yet)
Chance of winning the MACC, if they get there: 34.5%
After the win over Miami:
Wins: 8.3 (Highest yet)
Bowl Eligible Chance: 100.0%
Chance of winning MAC East: 70.1% (highest yet)
Chance of being MACC: 25.6% (highest yet)
Chance of winning the MACC game, if they get there: 36.5%
The losses by BG and Buffalo further improved Ohio's chances:
Wins: 8.4 (Highest yet)
Bowl Eligible Chance: 100.0%
Chance of winning MAC East: 89.5% (highest yet)
Chance of being MACC: 31.0% (highest yet)
Chance of winning the MACC game, if they get there: 34.6% (slight drop)
Last Edited: 11/10/2022 8:26:07 AM by L.C.