Thinking about this, with with the knowledge that more transfer down than up, this is how I see it:
1. P5 Schools - this will help them. The will lose a few players who weren't playing anyway, opening up more new scholarships each year.
2 P5 Tier players - this will be a net positive for them. Those that end up playing will be unaffected, while some of those who would have labored on the 2d and 3rd team in obscurity will have a second chance by transferring down.
3. G5 schools - this will help them in one way, and hurt them in another. Rather that taking unknown Freshmen, many of their slots can be filled with transfers, allowing them to have programs that are more stable year after year. On the other hand, they will lose some of their best players, who will transfer up.
4. G5 Tier players - Some players who formerly took G5 offers will end up in the newly opened P5 positions, but other player who formerly got G5 offers will end up as walkons because the G5 schools will offer substantially less players each year. I'm guessing that G5 schools will end up offering 10-15 Freshmen a year instead of ~20 a year in the past.
Players in general will also benefit another way. Coaches will always have to be cognizant of the fact that any player could transfer at any time, so all coaches will have to treat all their players well. This is no different than the rest of the world, by the way, where if the manager at FictiousName Restaurant treats their employees poorly, they have a lot of turnover.
Last Edited: 12/9/2022 1:20:02 PM by L.C.