menu
Logo
Ohio Football Topic
Topic: Another Big 10/11/12 Coming to a MAC Stadium
Page: 3 of 4
OhioCatFan
General User
Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Athens, OH
Post Count: 15,715
mail
OhioCatFan
mail
Posted: 4/18/2011 11:15 AM
Yes, we were the ones that backed out of the original Louisville deal.  As I said this first Louisville offer really came as a result of ESPN trying to setup a season opening TV game.  I think it would have been another Friday night game in late August.  We would have had to drop some poor sister of the dead off of our schedule because the offer came over the summer.  I think we claimed we couldn't make the adjustment and then Louisville (who had a schedule opening for some reason this late) found another school.  The second Louisville offer came after this ESPN deal and was for a straight 1-1.  I'm not sure what excuse we used to refuse this one, which was not immediate but a year or two out -- giving us plenty of time to drop a sister of the dead.  I also hear that we turned down U of Cincy on a 1-1, but I don't really have any details on this one and I'm actually a little skeptical about it because Brian Kelly was known to have mouthed off about not wanting to play Oxford Tech any more in Oxford, but was overruled by the AD.  
D.A.
General User
DA
Member Since: 8/6/2010
Location: Georgetown, ME
Post Count: 1,198
person
mail
D.A.
mail
Posted: 4/18/2011 4:58 PM
Seems to me there are roughly twelve opportunities coming in the next month for all to make their concerns about scheduling, past, present and future, public to those who make the decisions, and to ask questions about deals that never happened.

Who's gonna step up?
Athens
General User
A
Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Alexandria, VA
Post Count: 5,454
person
mail
Athens
mail
Posted: 4/18/2011 7:38 PM
Flomo-genized wrote:expand_more

No one is suggesting that one win immediately translates into significantly higher attendance figures.  Developing a strong fan following will take consistent success over a series of years against what is perceived to be quality competition. 

Look, I agree that MAC titles and bowl wins are part of the equation.  But they just can't be the entire foundation.  We are competing for the attention of fans that were, for the most part, raised to believe that Ohio State football is the be-all, end-all of college athletics.  You aren't going to get on that type of fan's radar simply by going 11-1 against the likes of the MAC, NMSU, and Wofford.  You need to play and beat some teams that are recognizable to the common fan to be taken as legitimate.  If you want to try to follow the Marshall path, you have to recognize that they beat BCS level competition (albeit on the road), and produced first round NFL talent.  We haven't done either of late, primarily because we are only playing one BCS superpower each year on the road.



The key is consistency in bringing those BCS names. Iowa State, Pitt and UConn all drew over 24,000 fans to Peden Stadium, the only schools ever to do so. Having 1 of those type of teams in the house is going to give a sellout in Peden every year and further legitimize the program among the students and alumni. I can guarantee this. The football program has a name coach, recent bowl appearances and games on ESPN. It has a lot going for it but the one thing that can be easily improved is to bring a BCS team to the stadium every year. Even to get another 1,000 alumni out of the woodwork as season ticket holders would be huge. Not only would you be making more money by having that BCS team in the house it would also be furthering overall season ticket sales and enlarging dontations to the Ohio Bobcat Club. I would be okay with the kind of football schedules we have in place over a 4-5 year period IF this program was in rebuilding mode. Clearly we are not as we've beaten Miami the historically best football team in the MAC 5 years running, and by a large margin on the road in 2010 even in a year where they won the MACC. The program is clearly built, the only chance it has to take the next step is to continue to win on stronger schedules. As ify as what the QB situation looks for Ohio it is hard to see the team finishing any worse than 9-4 with loses to Rutgers, Marshall, CMU, and in the MAC Championship game. Folks the MAC East is a cakewalk at this point, our 3 top competitors in the East (Kent, Miami, Temple) all are bringing new coaches into Peden Stadium. The time is come to improve the home schedule.

Mike Johnson
General User
Member Since: 11/11/2004
Location: North Canton, OH
Post Count: 1,759
mail
Mike Johnson
mail
Posted: 4/18/2011 8:23 PM

If there is one topic we can be confident won't lead to consensus it's Ohio's football scheduling.  So, what the heck, I thought I'd throw a few facts into the fire and let folks draw their own conclusions.

As a source, I turned to Phil Steele's annual football guide.  I picked 6 MAC teams -- 3 East, 3 West - and looked at their records since 2005 - Coach Solich's first season.  I didn't include bowl games since, of course, they aren't pre-scheduled. 

I don't have handy 2010 home attendance figures, but as I recall, of the 6 teams that I picked, only Toledo might have averaged more than Ohio.  Perhaps NIU too.

Do I have an opinion on Ohio's football scheduling?  Of course.  But for now anyway, I'll hold my water. 

Here we go.

Records for 2005 thru 2010

School       W-L vs BCS     Overall Non-conf W-L     Total W-L
BG           2-8            8-15                     33-40
Ball State   1-11           7-16                     33-39
Miami        1-17           5-18                     26-45
NIU          2-9            9-14                     39-34
Ohio         2-10           10-13                    40-33
Toledo       5-8            10-13                    35-37

  

   
anorris
General User
Member Since: 7/7/2010
Location: Bristol, CT
Post Count: 2,262
mail
anorris
mail
Posted: 4/18/2011 10:29 PM
Mike Johnson wrote:expand_more
I don't have handy 2010 home attendance figures, but as I recall, of the 6 teams that I picked, only Toledo might have averaged more than Ohio.  Perhaps NIU too.


Do I have an opinion on Ohio's football scheduling?  Of course.  But for now anyway, I'll hold my water. 

Here we go.

Records for 2005 thru 2010

School       W-L vs BCS     Overall Non-conf W-L     Total W-L   Avg Att. (Games)
BG           2-8            8-15                     33-40       13,306   (5)
Ball State   1-11           7-16                     33-39       8,947    (5)
Miami        1-17           5-18                     26-45      
15,519   (5)
NIU          2-9            9-14                     39-34       17,760   (5)
Ohio         2-10           10-13                    40-33       19,046   (6)
Toledo       5-8            10-13                    35-37       19,333   (6)



Ball State.  Yikes.

Rest of the conference, for fun:

Akron - 10,185, 6 games.
Buffalo - 12,981, 6 games.
Kent State - 16,152, 5 games.
Temple - 20,515, 6 games.

Central - 20,448, 5 games.
Eastern - 15,885, 5 games.
Western - 14,255, 6 games.

http://www.ncaa.org/wps/wcm/connect/public/ncaa/pdfs/2011/2010+national+college+football+attendance

Last Edited: 4/18/2011 10:30:16 PM by anorris
OhioCatFan
General User
Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Athens, OH
Post Count: 15,715
mail
OhioCatFan
mail
Posted: 4/20/2011 10:09 PM
D.A. wrote:expand_more
Seems to me there are roughly twelve opportunities coming in the next month for all to make their concerns about scheduling, past, present and future, public to those who make the decisions, and to ask questions about deals that never happened.  Who's gonna step up?


I already have. 
D.A.
General User
DA
Member Since: 8/6/2010
Location: Georgetown, ME
Post Count: 1,198
person
mail
D.A.
mail
Posted: 4/20/2011 10:45 PM
OhioCatFan wrote:expand_more
Seems to me there are roughly twelve opportunities coming in the next month for all to make their concerns about scheduling, past, present and future, public to those who make the decisions, and to ask questions about deals that never happened.  Who's gonna step up?


I already have. 


You've got me hooked; what did they say?  I was sorry not to see anything in the paper's reporting of the event last night.  I'm looking forward to seeing it in the coverage of the Cincy and Cbus events as well, as surely there will be a media outlet or two at those, and I'm sure we'll have posters raising their concerns at each as well.
Mike Johnson
General User
Member Since: 11/11/2004
Location: North Canton, OH
Post Count: 1,759
mail
Mike Johnson
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 11:23 AM
anorris wrote:expand_more
I don't have handy 2010 home attendance figures, but as I recall, of the 6 teams that I picked, only Toledo might have averaged more than Ohio.  Perhaps NIU too.


Do I have an opinion on Ohio's football scheduling?  Of course.  But for now anyway, I'll hold my water. 

Here we go.

Records for 2005 thru 2010

School       W-L vs BCS     Overall Non-conf W-L     Total W-L   Avg Att. (Games)
BG           2-8            8-15                     33-40       13,306   (5)
Ball State   1-11           7-16                     33-39       8,947    (5)
Miami        1-17           5-18                     26-45      
15,519   (5)
NIU          2-9            9-14                     39-34       17,760   (5)
Ohio         2-10           10-13                    40-33       19,046   (6)
Toledo       5-8            10-13                    35-37       19,333   (6)



Ball State.  Yikes.

Rest of the conference, for fun:

Akron - 10,185, 6 games.
Buffalo - 12,981, 6 games.
Kent State - 16,152, 5 games.
Temple - 20,515, 6 games.

Central - 20,448, 5 games.
Eastern - 15,885, 5 games.
Western - 14,255, 6 games.

http://www.ncaa.org/wps/wcm/connect/public/ncaa/pdfs/2011/2010+national+college+football+attendance


 

If you accept the above facts as evidence, then Coach Solich's scheduling philosophy holds merit.  Of the other 5 schools shown, only 1 - Miami - has played more BCS teams than has Ohio since Solich's arrival.  Only 1 of those 5 - Toledo - had higher average 2010 attendance than Ohio and that by a margin that could be called statistically insignificant. 

And Ohio?  Of the 6 schools, it has won more than any of the rest and its 2010 attendance ranked just a tad below Toledo's - rather remarkable when considering Ohio's remote location and tiny local fan base versus Toledo's. 

In the above facts, I see no evidence that scheduling more BCS teams will lead to more victories and higher attendance.  Miami's record during that period suggests that booking more BCS teams leads to more losses and lower attendance.

Were I occupying Coach Solich's office, I'd likely be thinking: "We're winning more games, recruiting better talent, competing for more titles and earning more bowl invitations.  It seems the scheduling formula we're using is pretty sound."

 

Last Edited: 4/21/2011 1:48:06 PM by Mike Johnson
Bobcat36
General User
Member Since: 1/5/2005
Location: Delaware, OH
Post Count: 1,167
mail
Bobcat36
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 11:56 AM

I'm bookmarking this post so I can read it for sanity's sake every time the scheduling rants come out...

Well said Mike!

C Money
General User
Member Since: 8/28/2010
Post Count: 3,420
mail
C Money
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 12:08 PM
Mike Johnson wrote:expand_more
Only 1 of those 5 - Toledo - had higher average 2010 attendance than Ohio and that by a margin that could be called statistically insignificant.  



AND in a metro area just a tad larger than Athens County.
UpSan Bobcat
General User
Member Since: 8/30/2005
Location: Upper Sandusky, OH
Post Count: 3,817
mail
UpSan Bobcat
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 12:45 PM
I agree. It would be exciting to play BCS schools all the time, but I don't want to end up 1-17 against them like Miami and have people not show up because of the poor results. In reality, look at the numbers. There was little difference in attendance opening the season at home with UConn and with Wofford. Most people really don't care who we're playing, but they care more how we're playing. I'll let Solich schedule the way he thinks is best. He probably knows better than any of us.
Athens
General User
A
Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Alexandria, VA
Post Count: 5,454
person
mail
Athens
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 1:33 PM
Bobcat36 wrote:expand_more

I'm bookmarking this post so I can read it for sanity's sake every time the scheduling rants come out...

Well said Mike!



You aren't getting what I and Flomo are getting at. What we are saying that as far as W-L performance is concerned out of the football program we are probably maxed out at 8 wins a year. Over the long term here, I know there could be an occassional 10+ win season but I'm talking about on average. Over the last 5 years, Ohio has averaged 7.2 wins while beating the historically top team Miami 5 straight years. How much more are you going to see out of this program in conference play? Therefore, if you want to move the perception of the program forward among the alumni base you are going to need a stronger non-conference schedule, with more Big Ten teams, and Big Ten teams at home. I remember going to the Minnesota game, while it didn't sell out it brought out a few thousand alumni that I had never seen before because it was Big Ten. Let's say we have a consistent strategy with a Big Ten in the house every year; over time that will resonate with the alumni base that Ohio is a serious program that dominates the MAC and plays Big Ten. A sellout or 2 every year would justify an expanded stadium and pull donors out of the woodwork to pay for it. That is how you build into a Boise State type program, not by scheduling 1 for 1's with WAC/SBC level teams.
Flomo-genized
General User
F
Member Since: 12/20/2004
Post Count: 574
person
mail
Flomo-genized
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 2:19 PM
Mike Johnson wrote:expand_more
[If you accept the above facts as evidence, then Coach Solich's scheduling philosophy holds merit.  Of the other 5 schools shown, only 1 - Miami - has played more BCS teams than has Ohio since Solich's arrival.  Only 1 of those 5 - Toledo - had higher average 2010 attendance than Ohio and that by a margin that could be called statistically insignificant. 

And Ohio?  Of the 6 schools, it has won more than any of the rest and its 2010 attendance ranked just a tad below Toledo's - rather remarkable when considering Ohio's remote location and tiny local fan base versus Toledo's. 

In the above facts, I see no evidence that scheduling more BCS teams will lead to more victories and higher attendance.  Miami's record during that period suggests that booking more BCS teams leads to more losses and lower attendance.

Were I occupying Coach Solich's office, I'd likely be thinking: "We're winning more games, recruiting better talent, competing for more titles and earning more bowl invitations.  It seems the scheduling formula we're using is pretty sound."



You are assuming quite a bit here that isn't given.  For starters, you are assuming that all fan bases react to BCS games the same way.  Perhaps Ohio fans value BCS home games more than other MAC programs? Given that I believe our three highest attended home games in history all were against BCS opponents, this is certainly plausible.

Second, it's unclear what impact the prevalence of BCS games had on each of those school's attendance.  For instance, maybe Miami's attendance would have been even lower if they hadn't been hosting BCS programs during that time. 

Third, your data just accounts for record vs. BCS games generally, and not the number of BCS home games that each program had.

So the data presented here alone really doesn't justify the current scheduling strategy in my mind.

Last Edited: 4/21/2011 4:13:36 PM by Flomo-genized
JSF
General User
Member Since: 1/29/2005
Location: Houston, TX
Post Count: 6,581
mail
JSF
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 3:07 PM
I don't see how New Mexico or New Mexico State or Nevada State or any team like that is in any way preferable to an Illinois, a very beatable team.
D.A.
General User
DA
Member Since: 8/6/2010
Location: Georgetown, ME
Post Count: 1,198
person
mail
D.A.
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 3:34 PM
I'll preface this by saying it is pretty neat when a FBS team comes to Peden.  I was at the Pitt game, and it was largely the launching point for me (re)discovering a significant interest in Ohio Football.  And it was also cool to go to the UConn game.

And for both of those games, no one on this board knows if the events cash flowed for the Athletic Department, particularly considering the increased attendance at both was bolstered by higher student attendance (which is a GREAT thing, although it doesn't produce revenue for the gate), HEAVILY discounted tickets (remember the $5 tickets that were only available for a couple of weeks but actually were available until the week of the games) PLUS likely comp tickets for high school marching bands in the case of the UConn game.

I think that the university should be working hard to deliver FBS schools to Peden on occasion to deliver value for the students, season ticket holders and to deliver casual fans that might normally just pass over the program.  Hovever, my primary concern is that a lot people here are assuming that this is EASY to do, and I think that is awfully pollyanna when EVERYONE wants to play Big Six schools non-con on a one for one.

So WMU admits in the mlive AD article that they will likely lose money on the Illini home game, as I would surmise we likely did for both Pitt and UConn.  IF WMU is already admitting that, do you think they needed to sweeten the pot for the Illini to come?  Likely so.  Why does everyone think that we would get an even swap with a Big Six team?

Just for giggles, say you are in the Big Six conferences: which of you WON'T produce more than double the attendance in your home stadium WITHOUT deeply discounting your tickets when you host Ohio compared to the gate Ohio could deliver when you played them in Peden.  A little research and speculation leaves me with the following list:

ACC-Duke, UVA, Wake
Big 12- IA St.
BE- Cincy, maybe UConn, Louisville, USF
Big Tweleven- IU, NW
Pac 12- WSU
SEC- Vandy

You have 12 CUSA, 9 SBC, 9 WAC, 13 MAC, 9 MWC and three independents all vying to land one for ones with you.  That's 55 (soon 53) schools total against 13 likely targets.  Not a target rich environment.

HOWEVER, you also have the options of paying for one and dones with all the FCS schools with the appropriate scholarship level against whom a victory counts as a FBS victory, and after the payout are surely going to be as profitable for you as the one home game of the one for one that the non-BCS schools want you to sign.

Please explain, why would the 13 above schools not have leverage for a better deal than a one for one with the 55 non-BCS, and why does everyone think this should be easy for Ohio to pull off every year?
Last Edited: 4/21/2011 3:55:44 PM by D.A.
Flomo-genized
General User
F
Member Since: 12/20/2004
Post Count: 574
person
mail
Flomo-genized
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 4:01 PM
D.A. wrote:expand_more
Please explain, why would the 13 above schools not have leverage for a better deal than a one for one with the 55 non-BCS, and why does everyone think this should be easy for Ohio to pull off every year?


That's simple: because a number of other MAC programs (as well as other non-BCS conference schools) are routinely scheduling home games against BCS conference opponents.  Indeed, if some of the posts here are to be believed (and I have no reason to assume they are unreliable), we have actually turned down offers from BCS conference programs for home-and-home contracts. 

Is it realistic to have a BCS-level home game every season?  No.  It might not even be reasonable to expect one every other year, while still maintaining a schedule that affords us a strong probability of success.  But there is simply no reason we can't schedule one of these games every 3-4 years.  As I noted above, there are a variety of reasons why a BCS school would elect to schedule a one-for-one with a non-BCS program. 

Even if we assume for the sake of argument, though, that we can't get a BCS home game on a strict one-for-one basis, then I would suggest that we should occassionally be inking such deals on a 2-for-1 basis, as I believe the long-term benefit to the program outweighs that of having 6 home games every season.

As for your list of target schools, just off the top of my head you left off Illinois, Purdue, and Minnesota from the list of potential Big 10 target schools, and Syracuse from the Big East.  And you are also assuming that all 53 non-BCS schools are vying for these type of games, which likely isn't the case (given that we ourselves are turning potential BCS home games down).

At the end of the day, I'd turn the question around to you.  Why is it that the majority of other MAC schools are able to schedule home games with BCS schools, and we are not?  What makes us different than CMU, Miami, or NIU?
Last Edited: 4/21/2011 4:14:16 PM by Flomo-genized
Robert Fox
General User
RF
Member Since: 11/17/2004
Location: Knoxville, TN
Post Count: 2,039
person
mail
Robert Fox
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 4:05 PM
Our strategy.
Flomo-genized
General User
F
Member Since: 12/20/2004
Post Count: 574
person
mail
Flomo-genized
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 4:07 PM
Robert Fox wrote:expand_more
Our strategy.


Assuming this is in response to me, I agree completely.  That is what is driving this, not finances, and not an inability to ink deals with BCS teams.  Personally I (obviously) think this is a loser of a strategy, but it is what it is.
Robert Fox
General User
RF
Member Since: 11/17/2004
Location: Knoxville, TN
Post Count: 2,039
person
mail
Robert Fox
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 4:26 PM
And I think that's where the debate needs to be: whether or not the strategy is a good one. But in reality, the strategy is already in full force and the proof will be in the results over the next 3 to 5 seasons. In other words, we can all debate, but it's kind of pointless.
Athens
General User
A
Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Alexandria, VA
Post Count: 5,454
person
mail
Athens
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 4:27 PM
D.A. wrote:expand_more
Please explain, why would the 13 above schools not have leverage for a better deal than a one for one with the 55 non-BCS, and why does everyone think this should be easy for Ohio to pull off every year?


I would expand this list more broadly to include any BCS program drawing under 60,000. That includes schools like Kansas or an Oregon State type program. Another option would be to take a bite out of the plan UMass has for hosting in an NFL facility and move all of our football games to Cleveland. This way we could host 1 for 1's with big fanbases like Florida or Texas. Have at least 1 BCS game either at home or at a neutral site for the big guys every year. BG, Toledo and Kent State have all used Cleveland Stadium for hosting a BCS opponent. Toledo made quite a few million this way by hosting Ohio State.
Athens
General User
A
Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Alexandria, VA
Post Count: 5,454
person
mail
Athens
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 4:29 PM
Robert Fox wrote:expand_more
And I think that's where the debate needs to be: whether or not the strategy is a good one. But in reality, the strategy is already in full force and the proof will be in the results over the next 3 to 5 seasons. In other words, we can all debate, but it's kind of pointless.


This is year 4 of the strategy. In my opinion its already mission accomplished. Its time to move on and schedule up with at least 1 BCS home game a year to pump up the fanbase.
Robert Fox
General User
RF
Member Since: 11/17/2004
Location: Knoxville, TN
Post Count: 2,039
person
mail
Robert Fox
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 4:36 PM
I'm not sure we're "there" yet. That's debatable too, but I would feel better if we win a MAC Championship this or next year.
Athens
General User
A
Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Alexandria, VA
Post Count: 5,454
person
mail
Athens
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 5:09 PM
Robert Fox wrote:expand_more
I'm not sure we're "there" yet. That's debatable too, but I would feel better if we win a MAC Championship this or next year.


No worries, most of the Bobcat fanbase still feels the same way. I'm imploring that we are there looking from 1) Solich's winning record and length of tenure at Ohio, 2) Five straight wins over Fiami, 3) Program Depth, 4) Recruiting improving each year. We've averaged 7.2 wins over the past 5 seasons. For the MAC that is pretty top notch. Ohio wins 10 games next year and that five year average moves to 7.4. The only piece of the success formula that is missing from the program is that 1 BCS home game a year to maximize alumni interest.
D.A.
General User
DA
Member Since: 8/6/2010
Location: Georgetown, ME
Post Count: 1,198
person
mail
D.A.
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 5:18 PM
Flomo-genized wrote:expand_more
[Is it realistic to have a BCS-level home game every season?  No.  It might not even be reasonable to expect one every other year, while still maintaining a schedule that affords us a strong probability of success.  But there is simply no reason we can't schedule one of these games every 3-4 years.

At the end of the day, I'd turn the question around to you.  Why is it that the majority of other MAC schools are able to schedule home games with BCS schools, and we are not?  What makes us different than CMU, Miami, or NIU?


I think that is what we have had, isn't it?  Obvliously we have the "five year plan" that was carved in stone and might break that cycle for one five year window, but I don't believe once we break through that window that we aren't hosting FBS on the same cycle that you cite. I think that is realistic and sustainable considering the economy for public universities.  And that is the frequency with which the schools above are hosting as well.

I think your point about two for one's is a great one, as I would be very open to returning to that.  However it's easy for me to say as I don't live in Ohio, and although I am a season ticket holder, I really don't care whether or not we are playing five or six at home.  The policy on that was set to appease the local fan base, which I respect, but don't really care about.

I would much rather five home every other year if it meant one more money game every other season and one more FBS home every four.  I'd much rather take a roadie to UNC/UGA/FSU than consider a roadie to Athens for anyone that we can get to play us in Athens.  And I love Athens.

Just please don't let the pay date be tOSU.  I'm through with all that nonsense.
anorris
General User
Member Since: 7/7/2010
Location: Bristol, CT
Post Count: 2,262
mail
anorris
mail
Posted: 4/21/2011 8:02 PM
Uncle Wes wrote:expand_more
Another option would be to take a bite out of the plan UMass has for hosting in an NFL facility and move all of our football games to Cleveland.

This will help our image:



Big time football being played there.  Big time.
Showing Messages: 51 - 75 of 77



extra small (< 576px)
small (>= 576px)
medium (>= 768px)
large (>= 992px)
x-large (>= 1200px)
xx-large (>= 1400px)