There is no way for a tie at 6-2, so for there to be a tie, it has to be at 5-3. So, let's assume for the moment that the Bobcats lose exactly one more.
1. If the loss is to CMU, but Ohio beats BG and Miami, then Ohio would most likely end up tied with the winner of the Miami-Temple game. In either 2-way tie, Ohio would win. BG would be out, but Kent could create a 3-way tie, Ohio-Kent-Miami if they win out, and Miami beats Temple. Ohio wins the 3-way tiebreaker as well. Thus, if Ohio loses to CMU, but wins out, Ohio still is MAC East champ.
2. If Ohio loses to BG, but beats CMU and Miami, the likely tie would be a 2-way tie with Miami/Temple winner, which Ohio wins. BG could also be in the tie, and you could even have a 4-way tie, Ohio-BG-Miami-Kent.
a. 3-way Ohio-Miami-BG - BG wins tiebreaker
b. 3-way Ohio-Temple-BG - BG wins tiebreaker
c. 4-way Ohio-Miami-BG-Kent - Kent and Miami are eliminated, then BG wins tiebreaker
Thus, we want BG to lose to NIU, or we could be rooting for Beefs to upset BG.
3. If Ohio beats CMU and BG, and then loses to Miami, a 6-2 Miami is the champ, so for a tie, Miami would also have to lose to either WMU or Temple.
a. Say Miami lost to Temple, then beats Ohio, you could get a 3-way Miami-Temple-Ohio tie. First tiebreaker is a wash, so you move to the second one. Second tiebreaker also a wash, with all at 4-2 in division. Then you look at teams played from the west, and Ohio is out - it becomes a comparison of Ball State or WMU to decide between Temple and Miami, with Miami winning only if WMU ends with a better record than Ball State.
b. Say Miami beats Temple, but loses to WMU, then beats Ohio. You can have a 2-way tie, which Miami wins, or a three way tie, Kent-Miami-Ohio, which again Miami wins.
c. Note that in obscure possible finishes, you could have Ohio lose to Miami, but Miami lose to both Temple and WMU, you can get a tie between Ohio and Temple, which Ohio wins. You can also, believe it or not, get a tie between Ohio and Kent, which Ohio also wins.
The conclusion of all this madness is that unless Miami loses to both WMU and Temple, Ohio will have to beat Miami for the MAC East championship. Ohio can lose one of the others, and still be the champion, unless the loss is to BG, and BG also beats NIU and Buffalo.
Note - yes- you could have some bizarre finishes with ties at 4-4, but it isn't likely, and I don't even want to go there....
Last Edited: 11/7/2011 1:22:48 PM by L.C.