The more I think about this, the more I think it doesn't change much of anything. The four bowls that were the BCS bowls still exist, and will probably pick more or less the same teams. All that happens is that one additional game gets placed after the bowls, as a Championship Game, and that doesn't come from the existing pool of bowl games. In the past there was an elite 2 that got to play for the championship, now there is an elite 4. That broadens the pool of who can be included slightly, but not much.
So, who has played in the championship game? I have adjusted these numbers to place teams in their new conferences, VT and Miami to the ACC, and Nebraska to the Big 10. The adjusted numbers since inception:
SEC - 9 teams
Big 12 - 6 teams
ACC - 6 teams
Big 10 - 4 teams
PAC 12 - 3
Big East - 0 No current team has ever made it
But, the composition of the early games was much different than they have been lately. If you just look at the last 9 years, these are the numbers
SEC - 8
Big 12 - 5
Pac 12 - 3
Big 10 - 2
All others - none
It's already a championship controlled by four conferences. With 4 teams in, that will increase the chances of some outsider getting in, but only slightly.
Can Ohio in theory get into the championship? i think they are more likely this way than they would with only 2 teams. Let's say, hypothetically that they beat Penn State by 35 this fall, and had a 30 point lead at the half in all the other games. If that happened, it would be clear they were a good team, but, how good? In the old system, I think they would get an also-ran ticket for one of the other BCS bowls, where they could attempt to show they belonged in the elite group of 10, but they could not win the championship. That's what Boise State got, for example.
In the new system, the top two teams you would have taken before will get in, plus the team that everyone thought should get in, but didn't before. The fourth spot would go to the next best team, probably a team with a couple losses. If Ohio put together the kind of season that I described in the hypothetical case, I think a lot of people would say, what the heck, give them the fourth spot, and let them give it a try.
In the end, I don't see how this hurts anything, and, in an unusual case where Ohio (or some other MAC team) actually had a team good enough to belong in the Championship, I think this way they have a much better chance of actually getting in. Obviously they would need to be undefeated, and to totally dominate all their opponents, and probably need a big name win or two, but, it isn't impossible now. It probably was impossible before.
Last Edited: 6/28/2012 8:27:32 PM by L.C.