I don't buy that.  Not the fact that the Cats win by three and unless you're Doc Brown there's no way of knowing but the fact that the TD was a fluke or as some might say, lucky.  Luck is nothing more than doing the things you need to do to put yourself in a position to take advantage of things that happen.  A few years  back my daughter won a luxury car in a sales contest drawing.  There were over 550 entries and she had 16 of them based on the number of new contracts that she had signed.  Was she lucky?  Not really.  What she did was sell enough business (doing the things she needed to do) to put herself in position to take advantage of her number being drawn.  Had she not signed any contracts she couldn't have been "lucky."  The same with the TD.  The receiver continued to run the route (doing the things he needed to do), continued to watch the ball, and then ran it into the end zone.  Hardly a fluke in my opinion.  More like a well prepared athlete performing well and continuing to do the things he needed to do.

The point to me is that their defense didn't lose anyone of significance to transfer and was supposed to be the strength of the team.  21 points in the second half, tons of possession time, a majority of the yards gained against the vaunted defense in their house...............that is the story.

The Bobcats won a game;  Penn State did not lose it.

Whenever people talk about luck, I'm reminded of this game of backgammon I once played. The opponent got a crummy roll. If he played it right, he might still win if he next rolled double 5s or double 6s. But, totally disgusted. he played it carelessly, leaving only 6-6 as the possible winner. What did he get next roll? 5-5 of course.

My point? Sure, people sometimes get lucky and beat 10-1 odds. But if they hadn't been playing things right before then, the odds would have been 10 to none.

A lot of times, winners get lucky because they have put themselves in a position where getting lucky could make a difference.