...
@Miami 70%
EMU 90%
BGSU 80%
@Ball State 70%
@Kent 65%
Add that up, there is a 7.5% chance of going undefeated. There is also a 20% chance of losing only 1 game. ...
Revisiting these odds, and re-assessing the chances of winning each game in light of how the team has been playing, I now have:
@Miami 70% (unchanged)
EMU 90% (unchanged)
BGSU 70% (was 80%)
@Ball State 50% (was 70%)
@Kent 48% (was 65%)
That gives a chance of going 12-0 of 11%, and a chance of going 13-1 of 32%. There is still a 57% chance of two or more losses. They have to win them one game at a time, and keep avoiding the ditch. With the #25 rank, the eyepatch is all the more obvious, and the desire to beat the Bobcats that much higher.