The difference between our schedule and theirs shouldn't have shown up until the second half. They flat out made great adjustments after our opening drive of each half, and our O didn't make effective counters. We were outplayed and outcoached, in more ways than one.
Not true. It normally shows up midway into the second quarter, and re-appears late in the third quarter. Taking some sample games, and splitting them that way, I split the games into 2 parts, and looked at yardages gained. The "competitive" part was about the first 20 min of the first half, and the first 10 min of the second half. The "fading" parts was the final 10 min or so of the first half, and the last 20 min of the second half.
First, two games where the foe faded:
Penn State (yards, theirs, ours)
competitive - 168,84
fading - 64,115
competitive, part 2 - 49,82
fading, part 2 - 81,224
total competitive - 217,166
total fading - 145,339
EMU
competitive - 115,143
fading - 58,158
competitive, part 2 - 42,20
fading - 68,233
total competitive - 157,163
total fading - 126,391
Now three examples where Ohio faded:
BG
competitive - 38,100
fading - 124,-11
competitive, part 12,95
fading - 106,106
total competitive - 50,195
total fading - 230,95
Ohio State, 2008
competitive - 60,125
fading - 52,-2
competitive, part -6,46
fading 198,75
total competitive - 54,171
total fading - 250,73
Akron 2007
competitive - 54,177
fading - 107,24
competitive, part - 61,-7
fading 195,153
total competitive - 115,170
total fading - 302,177
Note that when a team fades, where you see it is in their defense. Yards given up:
Competitive part(30min total) Fading Part I (10 min) Fading Part II (20 min)
Penn St 166 115 224
EMU 163 158 233
Ohio v. BG 50 124 106
Ohio v. OSU '08 54 52 198
Ohio v Akron '07 115 107 195
Note that in every case I cited above with the exception of OSU '08, the fading team gave up more yards in the last ten min of the first half than in the first 20 min of the first half, and there it was about equal. Yes, the biggest, ugliest number in almost every case is the yards given up in the final 20 minutes, but you almost always see it in the late part of the first half, too. In looking at the above numbers, keep in mind that the "fading part I" is about 10 minutes long, while the "fading part II" is about 20 minutes, so the yards give up per minute are about the same in both time periods.
Note - I used yardages instead of points because points were affected by such things as turnovers, kick returns for TDs, etc.
Last Edited: 11/10/2012 10:23:44 PM by L.C.